{"id":206183,"date":"2018-01-10T21:30:07","date_gmt":"2018-01-11T05:30:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/blog\/2018\/01\/chinese-caution-u-s-debt-clouds-financing-trumps-tax-cut\/"},"modified":"2018-01-10T21:42:15","modified_gmt":"2018-01-11T05:42:15","slug":"%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e6%88%96%e5%81%9c%e6%ad%a2%e8%b4%ad%e4%b9%b0%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e5%9b%bd%e5%80%ba-%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e8%b5%84%e6%9c%ac%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e9%a3%8e%e5%a3%b0%e9%b9%a4%e5%94%b3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/blog\/2018\/01\/%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e6%88%96%e5%81%9c%e6%ad%a2%e8%b4%ad%e4%b9%b0%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e5%9b%bd%e5%80%ba-%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e8%b5%84%e6%9c%ac%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e9%a3%8e%e5%a3%b0%e9%b9%a4%e5%94%b3\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u56fd\u6216\u505c\u6b62\u8d2d\u4e70\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a \u7f8e\u56fd\u8d44\u672c\u5e02\u573a\u98ce\u58f0\u9e64\u5533"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u6b63\u5728\u79ef\u6781\u4e3a\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7a0e\u6539\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u9884\u7b97\u8d64\u5b57\u5bfb\u6c42\u8d44\u91d1\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6001\u5ea6\u8f6c\u53d8\u53ef\u80fd\u4ee4\u5176\u878d\u8d44\u7684\u96be\u5ea6\u52a0\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n

Jefferies\u8d44\u6df1\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6Thomas Simons\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u5982\u679c\u7f3a\u4e4f\u4e2d\u56fd\u53c2\u4e0e\uff0c\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5de8\u989d\u8d64\u5b57\u878d\u8d44\u7684\u96be\u5ea6\u5c06\u6781\u5927\u3002\u201dSimons\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u51cf\u7a0e\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7f29\u8868\u5c06\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d22\u653f\u90e82018\u5e74\u7684\u878d\u8d44\u9700\u6c42\u4e0a\u534770%\u3002<\/p>\n

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Sheets\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f5c\u4e3a\u7f8e\u503a\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u6d77\u5916\u6301\u6709\u56fd\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u505a\u51fa\u4e0d\u5229\u4e8e\u503a\u5238\u5e02\u573a\u7a33\u5b9a\u5e76\u6709\u635f\u81ea\u8eab\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u4e3e\u52a8\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u5728\u4ed6\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u6765\u81ea\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u6d77\u5916\u7684\u5bf9\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u503a\u5238\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4ecd\u7136\u5f88\u5f3a\u52b2\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u4e00\u4f4d\u9ad8\u7ea7\u5b98\u5458\u6b64\u524d\u4e5f\u8868\u793a\u4e86\u5bf9\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u5238\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u79f0\u5f53\u524d14.5\u4e07\u4ebf\u7684\u7f8e\u503a\u89c4\u6a21\u4ecd\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u4e3b\u7ba1\u56fd\u9645\u4e8b\u52a1\u7684\u526f\u90e8\u957fDavid Malpass\u5468\u4e09\u5728\u5e03\u9c81\u585e\u5c14\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u5e02\u573a\u662f\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5177\u6df1\u5ea6\u548c\u6d3b\u529b\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u5f3a\uff0c\u56fd\u503a\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5f3a\u52b2\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u5171\u548c\u515a\u53c2\u8bae\u5458John Kennedy\u5468\u4e09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u5728\u5168\u7403\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u5e7f\u53d7\u6b22\u8fce\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6709\u610f\u51fa\u624b\uff0c\u9a6c\u4e0a\u5c31\u4f1a\u6709\u4eba\u63a5\u76d8\uff0c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

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Simons\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u56fd\u505c\u6b62\u8d2d\u4e70\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u8fd8\u662f\u4f1a\u8499\u53d7\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u201c\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u4e2a\u6d77\u5916\u56fd\u5bb6\u6301\u6709\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6295\u8d44\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c\u624b\u4e2d\u7684\u7b79\u7801\u5c31\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c\u5c06\u8feb\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u53bb\u5bfb\u627e\u5176\u4ed6\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u4e70\u5bb6\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u53bb\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u901a\u8fc7\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fd1\u4e09\u5341\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u6700\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u51cf\u7a0e\u9884\u8ba1\u5728\u672a\u6765\u5341\u5e74\u5c06\u51cf\u5c111.5\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8054\u90a6\u6536\u5165\u3002<\/p>\n

\u867d\u7136\u653f\u5e9c\u5b98\u5458\u548c\u5171\u548c\u515a\u56fd\u4f1a\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u6b64\u524d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7a0e\u6539\u5c06\u63d0\u632f\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u4ee5\u5f25\u8865\u7a0e\u6536\u7f3a\u53e3\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u636e\u5b98\u65b9\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u5341\u5e74\u95f4\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u7684\u9884\u7b97\u8d64\u5b57\u5c06\u56e0\u6b64\u800c\u589e\u52a0\u8d85\u8fc71\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u767d\u5bab\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6Jared Bernstein\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u56fd\u503a\u9700\u6c42\u4e0b\u964d\u5f15\u53d1\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u589e\u957f\u9884\u671f\u653e\u7f13\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u5eb7\u5948\u5c14\u5927\u5b66\u4e2d\u56fd\u95ee\u9898\u4e13\u5bb6Eswar Prasad\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u6b64\u4e3e\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u610f\u4e49\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u5bf9\u6765\u81ea\u534e\u76db\u987f\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u654c\u610f\u53d1\u51fa\u7684\u8b66\u544a\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

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