{"id":220147,"date":"2018-04-30T01:17:55","date_gmt":"2018-04-30T08:17:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/?p=220147"},"modified":"2018-04-30T18:01:53","modified_gmt":"2018-05-01T01:01:53","slug":"%e9%ab%98%e6%b2%b9%e4%bb%b7%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e6%94%b9%e5%8f%98%e4%ba%9a%e6%b4%b2%e4%b8%89%e4%b8%aa%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%9a%84%e5%91%bd%e8%bf%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/blog\/2018\/04\/%e9%ab%98%e6%b2%b9%e4%bb%b7%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e6%94%b9%e5%8f%98%e4%ba%9a%e6%b4%b2%e4%b8%89%e4%b8%aa%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e7%9a%84%e5%91%bd%e8%bf%90\/","title":{"rendered":"\u9ad8\u6cb9\u4ef7\u53ef\u80fd\u6539\u53d8\u4e9a\u6d32\u4e09\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u547d\u8fd0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"color: #000000;font-family: \u7b49\u7ebf\">\u4e9a\u6d32\u4e09\u4e2a\u5916\u90e8\u6700\u8106\u5f31\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u2014\u2014\u5370\u5ea6\u3001\u5370\u5c3c\u548c\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u8fd1\u671f\u63a5\u4e8c\u8fde\u4e09\u906d\u53d7\u6253\u51fb\u3002\u9996\u5148\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd<span lang=\"EN-US\">10<\/span>\u5e74\u671f\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u7834\u5907\u53d7\u5173\u6ce8\u7684<span lang=\"EN-US\">3%<\/span>\u7ea2\u7ebf\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u4e8e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5347\u606f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5176\u6b21\u662f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u89e6\u53ca\u5230\u4e86\u8fd1\u4e09\u5e74\u534a\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u9ad8\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u51e0\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5728\u4e9a\u6d32\u4e3b\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u4e2d\u7ecf\u5e38\u8d26\u6237\u8d64\u5b57\u6700\u5927\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u77f3\u6cb9\u8fdb\u53e3\u4e5f\u6700\u591a\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;font-family: \u7b49\u7ebf\">\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u80fd\u6e90\u54a8\u8be2\u516c\u53f8<span lang=\"EN-US\">Muse, Stancil &amp; Co.<\/span>\u5206\u6790\u5e08<span lang=\"EN-US\">Tilak Doshi<\/span>\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u5982\u679c\u9ad8\u6cb9\u4ef7\u7ee7\u7eed\u7ef4\u6301\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u5347\u606f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5c06\u8d85\u51fa\u9884\u671f\u3002\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;font-family: \u7b49\u7ebf\">\u5728\u5bf9\u589e\u957f\u548c\u901a\u80c0\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5370\u5c3c\u592e\u884c\u66fe\u8868\u793a\u53ef\u63a5\u53d7\u7684\u6cb9\u4ef7\u6c34\u5e73\u4e3a\u6bcf\u6876<span lang=\"EN-US\">60<\/span>\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u592e\u884c\u8868\u793a\u4e3a\u6bcf\u6876<span lang=\"EN-US\">55-70<\/span>\u7f8e\u5143\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u800c\u5370\u5ea6\u5219\u4e3a<span lang=\"EN-US\">65<\/span>\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;font-family: \u7b49\u7ebf\">\u5370\u5c3c\u592e\u884c<span lang=\"EN-US\">2<\/span>\u6708\u4efd\u65f6\u5c06<span lang=\"EN-US\">2018<\/span>\u5e74\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u6d4b\u4ece\u6b64\u524d\u7684<span lang=\"EN-US\">3.4%<\/span>\u4e0a\u4fee\u81f3<span lang=\"EN-US\">4.3%<\/span>\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u5c31\u662f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u521d\u65f6\uff0c\u5370\u5c3c\u592e\u884c\u9884\u8ba1\u4eca\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u52a0\u606f\u4e00\u5230\u4e24\u6b21\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u73b0\u5728\u5f88\u591a\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u4e09\u6b21\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u5370\u5c3c\u53bb\u5e74\u8fd8\u66fe\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u4eca\u5e74\u5168\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u7ef4\u6301\u5f53\u524d\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5347\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4ea6\u5b58\u5728\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;font-family: \u7b49\u7ebf\">\u5370\u5c3c\u672c\u5468\u4e8c\u66fe\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u81ea\u4e0a\u5468\u4ee5\u6765\u5f00\u59cb\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u51fa\u552e\u5916\u6c47\u4ee5\u963b\u6b62\u5362\u6bd4\u8d2c\u503c\u3002\u800c\u5370\u5ea6\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f<span lang=\"EN-US\">Urjit Patel<\/span>\u5468\u65e5\u5728\u534e\u76db\u987f\u53c2\u52a0<span lang=\"EN-US\">IMF<\/span>\u4f1a\u8bae\u65f6\u5c06\u6cb9\u4ef7\u6807\u6ce8\u4e3a\u5f15\u53d1\u901a\u80c0\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;font-family: \u7b49\u7ebf\">\u91ce\u6751\u8bc1\u5238\u4e9a\u6d32\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6<span lang=\"EN-US\">Robert Subbaraman<\/span>\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u9884\u8ba1\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u5728\u672a\u6765\u4e09\u6b21\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u540e\u5c06\u5347\u606f\u4e09\u6b21\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u5f53\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u5347\u606f\u2026\u2026\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u5c31\u662f\u5370\u5c3c\u3002\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;font-family: \u7b49\u7ebf\">\u5b98\u65b9\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u7684\u7ecf\u5e38\u8d26\u76ee\u8d64\u5b57\u7ffb\u756a\u81f3\u53bb\u5e74<span lang=\"EN-US\">GDP<\/span>\u7684<span lang=\"EN-US\">0.8%<\/span>\uff0c\u5370\u5c3c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u7ecf\u5e38\u8d26\u76ee\u8d64\u5b57\u4ea6\u7ffb\u500d\uff0c\u5360<span lang=\"EN-US\">GDP<\/span>\u7684<span lang=\"EN-US\">2%<\/span>\uff0c\u4e0e\u5370\u5ea6\u53bb\u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u76f8\u5f53\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;font-family: \u7b49\u7ebf\">\u4eca\u5e74\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\uff0c\u5370\u5c3c\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u8fdb\u53e3\u8d26\u5355\u6fc0\u589e\u4e86<span lang=\"EN-US\">$10<\/span>\u4ebf\u5143\uff0c\u589e\u5e45<span lang=\"EN-US\">54.5%<\/span>\uff1b\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u4eca\u5e74\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u5927\u5e45\u524a\u51cf\u4e86\u539f\u6cb9\u8fdb\u53e3\u603b\u91cf\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u8d39\u7528\u4ecd\u7136\u540c\u6bd4\u589e\u52a0\u4e86<span lang=\"EN-US\">$1.3<\/span>\u4ebf\u5143\uff1b\u540c\u671f\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u8fdb\u53e3\u8d39\u7528\u589e\u957f\u4e86<span lang=\"EN-US\">$50<\/span>\u4ebf\u5143\uff0c\u589e\u5e45<span lang=\"EN-US\">26%<\/span>\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;font-family: \u7b49\u7ebf\">\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u7684\u6bd4\u7d22\u3001\u5370\u5c3c\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u5362\u6bd4\u76ee\u524d\u8f83\u4eca\u5e74\u4e00\u6708\u521d\u65f6\u7684\u9ad8\u70b9\u90fd\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e86<span lang=\"EN-US\">5%<\/span>\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\u80a1\u5e02\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e86\u8fd1<span lang=\"EN-US\">6%<\/span>\uff0c\u5370\u5c3c\u548c\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u5206\u522b\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e86<span lang=\"EN-US\">11%<\/span>\u548c<span lang=\"EN-US\">17%<\/span>\u3002<span lang=\"EN-US\">10<\/span>\u5e74\u671f\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e86<span lang=\"EN-US\">40<\/span>\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff0c\u5370\u5c3c\u548c\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u540c\u671f\u6da8\u5e45\u90fd\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86<span lang=\"EN-US\">100<\/span>\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;font-family: \u7b49\u7ebf\">\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u672a\u6765\u8fd8\u5c06\u627f\u53d7\u629b\u538b\u3002\u672c\u5468\uff0c\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u94f6\u884c\u5c06\u5370\u5ea6\u5362\u6bd4<span lang=\"EN-US\">2018<\/span>\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4ece\u6b64\u524d\u7684<span lang=\"EN-US\">1<\/span>\u7f8e\u5143\u5bf9<span lang=\"EN-US\">63.50<\/span>\u5362\u6bd4\u4e0b\u4fee\u81f3<span lang=\"EN-US\">1<\/span>\u7f8e\u5143\u5bf9<span lang=\"EN-US\">66<\/span>\u5362\u6bd4\uff0c\u6fb3\u65b0\u94f6\u884c\u4ece<span lang=\"EN-US\">1<\/span>\u7f8e\u5143\u5bf9<span lang=\"EN-US\">66<\/span>\u5362\u6bd4\u4e0b\u4fee\u81f3<span lang=\"EN-US\">1<\/span>\u7f8e\u5143\u5bf9<span lang=\"EN-US\">67<\/span>\u5362\u6bd4\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;font-family: \u7b49\u7ebf\">\u636e\u91ce\u6751\u8bc1\u5238\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u6bcf\u4e0a\u6da8<span lang=\"EN-US\">10<\/span>\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u6c34\u5e73\u5c06\u4e0a\u5347<span lang=\"EN-US\">20<\/span>\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff1b\u5370\u5c3c\u4e0a\u5347<span lang=\"EN-US\">10<\/span>\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff1b\u5370\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5347<span lang=\"EN-US\">30-40<\/span>\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;font-family: \u7b49\u7ebf\">\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u4e9a\u6d32\u4e00\u4e9b\u6bd4\u8f83\u7a77\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c24\u5176\u5177\u6709\u653f\u6cbb\u654f\u611f\u6027\uff0c\u66f4\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\u53ef\u80fd\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5404\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u63d0\u9ad8\u8865\u8d34\u6216\u5bf9\u4ef7\u683c\u5b9e\u65bd\u66f4\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u7ba1\u63a7\u4ee5\u6291\u5236\u901a\u80c0\uff0c\u4f46\u6b64\u4e3e\u5c06\u4f24\u5bb3\u653f\u5e9c\u9884\u7b97\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u4f01\u4e1a\u5229\u76ca\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;font-family: \u7b49\u7ebf\">\u963f\u4f2f\u4e01\u6807\u51c6\u6295\u8d44\u8d44\u6df1\u65b0\u5174\u5e02\u573a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6<span lang=\"EN-US\">Alexander Wolf<\/span>\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u6211\u4f1a\u5c06\u653f\u5e9c\u8865\u8d34\u5f52\u4e3a\u653f\u7b56\u5931\u8bef\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u4f4e\u6548\u7684\u91cd\u65b0\u5206\u914d\u8d22\u653f\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u5c06\u4fb5\u8680\u5e02\u573a\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;font-family: \u7b49\u7ebf\">\u82f1\u6587\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u8def\u900f\u793e<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u4e9a\u6d32\u4e09\u4e2a\u5916\u90e8\u6700\u8106\u5f31\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u2014\u2014\u5370\u5ea6\u3001\u5370\u5c3c\u548c\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u8fd1\u671f\u63a5\u4e8c\u8fde\u4e09\u906d\u53d7\u6253\u51fb\u3002\u9996\u5148\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd10\u5e74\u671f\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u672c\u5468\u7a81\u7834\u5907\u53d7 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":220184,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[430],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-220147","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trends-strategies-zh-hans","sectors-oil-gas-zh-hans","locations-618"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/220147","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=220147"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/220147\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/220184"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=220147"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=220147"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=220147"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}