{"id":326224,"date":"2020-04-01T20:35:29","date_gmt":"2020-04-02T03:35:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/?p=326224"},"modified":"2020-04-01T20:37:28","modified_gmt":"2020-04-02T03:37:28","slug":"%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%ad%a6%e5%ae%b6-%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b-%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd-%e7%94%b3%e8%af%b7-%e5%a4%b1%e4%b8%9a-%e6%95%91%e6%b5%8e-%e4%ba%ba%e6%95%b0-%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd-%e8%b6%85%e8%bf%87-550","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/blog\/2020\/04\/%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%ad%a6%e5%ae%b6-%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b-%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd-%e7%94%b3%e8%af%b7-%e5%a4%b1%e4%b8%9a-%e6%95%91%e6%b5%8e-%e4%ba%ba%e6%95%b0-%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd-%e8%b6%85%e8%bf%87-550\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0a\u5468\u521d\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u53ef\u80fd\u8d85\u8fc7550\u4e07"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u6839\u636e\u5317\u7f8e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u57283\u670828\u65e5\u7ed3\u675f\u7684\u8fd9\u5468\u521d\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u5c06\u521b\u51fa\u65b0\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u8bb0\u5f55\u3002\u5b98\u65b9\u6570\u636e\u5c06\u5728\u5468\u56db\u6e05\u6668\u516c\u5e03\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8def\u900f\u793e\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u9884\u4f30\u4e0a\u5468\u5931\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u4e2d\u503c\u4e3a350\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u9884\u4f30\u5931\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u53ef\u80fd\u8d85\u8fc7500\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u56e0\u5168\u56fd\u5404\u5730\u5f00\u59cb\u6267\u884c\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u75ab\u60c5\u671f\u95f4\u4e0b\u8fbe\u7684\u505c\u5de5\u4ee4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9ad8\u76db\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6Jan Hatzius\u5468\u4e8c\u5728\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u201c\u88c1\u5458\u4eba\u6570\u7684\u6fc0\u589e\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d85\u51fa\u4e86\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u57283\u670822\u65e5\u81f328\u65e5\u4e00\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u7684\u4eba\u6570\u589e\u52a0\u4e86200\u591a\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230550\u4e07\u4eba\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u51ef\u6295\u5b8f\u89c2\u8d44\u6df1\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6Andrew Hunter\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u5468\u56db\u5373\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6570\u636e\u5c06\u5f88\u201c\u5e9e\u5927\u201d\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u4eba\u6570\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u5728500\u4e07\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7687\u5bb6\u94f6\u884c\u8d44\u672c\u5e02\u573a\u3001\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u94f6\u884c\u548c\u82b1\u65d7\u96c6\u56e2\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0a\u5468\u5e94\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86400\u4e07\u4e2a\u5c31\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d\u3002\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u662f350\u4e07\u4e2a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u5468\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u6570\u636e\u662f328\u4e07\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\uff0c\u6253\u7834\u4e8638\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u8bb0\u5f55\u3002\u5373\u4fbf\u662f2008\u5e74\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6bcf\u5468\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u8d85\u8fc71982\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u671f\u95f4\u521b\u4e0b\u768469.5\u4e07\u4eba\u7684\u7eaa\u5f55\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u957f\u52aa\u94a6\u79f0\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0a\u5468\u901a\u8fc7\u4e862\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u523a\u6fc0\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u6570\u5b57\u5df2\u65e0\u5173\u7d27\u8981\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u73b0\u5b9e\u60c5\u51b5\u662f\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u6570\u636e\u5bf9Hatzius\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u6765\u8bf4\u7edd\u4e0d\u662f\u65e0\u5173\u7d27\u8981\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u636e\u4e0d\u4ec5\u88ab\u7528\u6765\u5224\u65ad\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f55\u65f6\u89e6\u5e95\uff0c\u8fd8\u4f1a\u5bf9GDP\u4ea7\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Hatzius\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u672c\u6b21\u5371\u673a\u671f\u95f4\u7684\u5047\u8bbe\u662f\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u6bcf\u4e0a\u53471\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c(GDP)\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8d8b\u52bf\u6c34\u5e73\u5c31\u4f1a\u4e0b\u964d\u5927\u7ea61%\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u9884\u8ba1\u75ab\u60c5\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u8fbe\u523015%\u7684\u5cf0\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Hatzius\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u5728\u5371\u673a\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u5934\u4e09\u5468\uff0c\u5c06\u6709\u8d85\u8fc71100\u4e07\u4eba\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u57283\u670830\u65e5\u81f34\u67083\u65e5\u7684\u4e00\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u8fd8\u4f1a\u6709200\u4e07\u4eba\u7533\u8bf7\u6551\u6d4e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u82b1\u65d7\u96c6\u56e2\u9996\u5e2d\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e08Andrew Hollenhorst\u5468\u4e8c\u5728\u4e00\u4efd\u7ed9\u5ba2\u6237\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u57283\u6708\u5e95\u5931\u4e1a\u7533\u8bf7\u6f6e\u7ed3\u675f\u540e\uff0c\u4ed6\u9884\u8ba1\u5931\u4e1a\u4eba\u65704\u6708\u8fd8\u5c06\u589e\u52a01000\u4e07\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6839\u636e\u5317\u7f8e\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u57283\u670828\u65e5\u7ed3\u675f\u7684\u8fd9\u5468\u521d\u6b21\u7533\u8bf7\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u4eba\u6570\u5c06\u521b\u51fa\u65b0\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u8bb0\u5f55\u3002\u5b98\u65b9\u6570\u636e\u5c06\u5728\u5468\u56db\u6e05\u6668 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":31,"featured_media":326225,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[428],"tags":[668,558],"class_list":["post-326224","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economics-politics-zh-hans","tag-668","tag-558","sectors-1602","sectors-oil-gas-zh-hans","sectors-financial-products-zh-hans","sectors-technology-zh-hans","locations-us-zh-hans","exchange-nasdaq-zh-hans","exchange-nyse-zh-hans"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/326224","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/31"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=326224"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/326224\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/326225"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=326224"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=326224"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=326224"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}