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\u6700\u65b0\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u7ee7\u7eed\u98d9\u9ad8\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u56e0\u4e3a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6b64\u524d\u7684\u52a0\u606f\u800c\u88ab\u6291\u5236\u4f4f\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u672c\u670826-27\u65e5\u7684\u8bae\u606f\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u538b\u529b\u53ea\u589e\u4e0d\u51cf\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8003\u8651\u76f4\u63a5\u52a0\u606f100\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u52a0\u606f100\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u8981\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u600e\u4e48\u8bf4\uff1f<\/h2>\n

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\u5c31\u662f\u5426\u652f\u6301\u57287\u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e2d\u652f\u6301\u52a0\u5927\u52a0\u606f\u529b\u5ea6\u8fd9\u4e00\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u514b\u5229\u592b\u5170\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2dLoretta Mester\u62d2\u7edd\u56de\u7b54\uff0c\u79f0\u8fd9\u671f\u95f4\u8fd8\u6709\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6709\u5f85\u53d1\u5e03\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\u5979\u4e5f\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u52a0\u606f\u5e45\u5ea6\u201c\u6ca1\u6709\u7406\u7531\u201d\u4f4e\u4e8e75\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002Mester\u4ece\u6700\u65b0\u901a\u80c0\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u5f97\u51fa\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\u662f\uff0c\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u6ca1\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u597d\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u4f9d\u7136\u5904\u4e8e\u4e0d\u53ef\u63a5\u53d7\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u770b\u5230\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u8bf4\u670d\u529b\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u8d8b\u52bf\u5df2\u7ecf\u51fa\u73b0\u62d0\u70b9\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\u7ee7\u7eed\u575a\u6301\u52a0\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u65e7\u91d1\u5c71\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2dMary Daly\u5468\u4e09\u63a5\u53d7\u91c7\u8bbf\u65f6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ece\u5df2\u7ecf\u770b\u5230\u7684\u6570\u636e\u51fa\u53d1\uff0c\u5979\u6700\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u52a0\u606f\u7acb\u573a\u662f75\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff0c\u79f0\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u4e0d\u597d\u770b\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u9884\u671f\u4e4b\u5185\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u73b0\u5728\u5e94\u5bf9\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u7acb\u573a\u5df2\u7ecf\u975e\u5e38\u5f3a\u786c\uff0c\u4f46\u6b64\u524d\u56e0\u4e3a\u53cd\u5e94\u8fdf\u7f13\u800c\u9887\u53d7\u6307\u8d23\u3002\u6279\u8bc4\u4eba\u58eb\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u901a\u80c0\u8d8b\u52bf\u5224\u65ad\u5931\u8bef\u5bfc\u81f4\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u51fa\u73b0\u52a8\u8361\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u8fd8\u52a0\u5927\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9677\u5165\u8870\u9000\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u9488\u5bf9\u6743\u8861\u901a\u80c0\u548c\u5c31\u4e1a\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\uff0cBostic\u548cMester\u5747\u4e88\u4ee5\u9a73\u65a5\uff0c\u79f0\u4ed6\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u5b9e\u73b0\u4ef7\u683c\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u54ea\u6015\u4ed8\u51fa\u635f\u5bb3\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4ee3\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u600e\u4e48\u8bf4\uff1f<\/h2>\n

Bloomberg Economics\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6Anna Wong\u548cAndrew Husby\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6709\u7406\u7531\u5bf9\u4e8e\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u671f\u7684\u5931\u63a7\u611f\u5230\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u4e00\u62a5\u544a\u63d0\u5347\u4e86\u672a\u6765\u52a0\u606f\u5e45\u5ea6\u751a\u81f3\u9ad8\u4e8e75\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

Nomura Securities International\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6Aichi Amemiya\u3001Robert Dent\u548cJacob Meyer\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u6bcf\u6708\u5728\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u5728\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b21\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u671f\u95f4\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u63d0\u9ad81\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u201c\u65b0\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u95ee\u9898\u5df2\u7ecf\u6076\u5316\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u4eec\u4e3a\u4e86\u5f3a\u5316\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u4fe1\u8a89\u5c06\u4f1a\u52a0\u7801\u52a0\u606f\u529b\u5ea6\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u5fb7\u610f\u5fd7\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u8d44\u6df1\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6Brett Ryan\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u7406\u7531\u6ce8\u610f\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u91ca\u653e\u51fa\u660e\u786e\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u4e4b\u524d\u8fd8\u662f\u6392\u9664\u8fd9\u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u9e70\u6d3e\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u5c3150\u523075\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u6307\u5f15\u8fbe\u6210\u4e00\u81f4\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5c31\u9009\u62e9\u52a0\u606f75\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4ed6\u4eec\u60f3\u628a\u8fd9\u4e00\u4fe1\u606f\u91ca\u653e\u51fa\u6765\uff0c\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u8fdb\u884c\u6c9f\u901a\u3002<\/p>\n

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