\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u534f\u4f1a\uff08CREA\uff09\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u53d1\u5e03\u6700\u65b0\u9884\u6d4b\u79f0\uff0c2023\u5e74\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4f4f\u623f\u5747\u4ef7\u5c06\u4e0b\u8dcc4.8%\u81f3670389\u52a0\u5143\uff0c\u4f462024\u5e74\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4e0a\u6da84.7%\u81f3702214\u52a0\u5143\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u4f4f\u623f\u9500\u91cf\u9884\u8ba1\u4e5f\u5c06\u4e0b\u964d1.1%\u81f3492674\u5957\uff0c\u4f462024\u5e74\u5c06\u589e\u957f13.9%\u81f3561090\u5957\u3002<\/p>\n
2022\u5e74\u590f\u5b63\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4f4f\u623f\u9500\u91cf\u6708\u5ea6\u73af\u6bd4\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4f46\u968f\u7740\u8d2d\u623f\u8005\u6162\u6162\u91cd\u65b0\u8fdb\u5165\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\uff0c2\u6708\u548c3\u6708\u7684\u73af\u6bd4\u6570\u636e\u5f00\u59cb\u6e29\u548c\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n
\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u534f\u4f1a\u4f1a\u957fJill Oudil\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u6625\u5b63\u5e02\u573a\u51fa\u73b0\u5347\u6e29\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6709\u4e70\u5bb6\u4e0d\u518d\u89c2\u671b\uff0c\u4f46\u9700\u8981\u8c28\u8bb0\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8fc7\u53bb\u51e0\u5e74\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u72b6\u51b5\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u6d88\u5931\uff0c\u800c\u4ec5\u4ec5\u53ea\u662f\u88ab\u6682\u65f6\u5c01\u51bb\u800c\u5df2\u3002\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4eba\u6b63\u5728\u91cd\u73b0\u8fdb\u5165\u7684\u8fd9\u4e2a\u697c\u5e02\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u6301\u7eed\u6570\u6708\u9500\u91cf\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u6302\u724c\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u8fde\u7eed8\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u52a0\u5927\u8d37\u6b3e\u6210\u672c\u5e76\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e70\u5bb6\u60c5\u7eea\u4f4e\u843d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4f46\u6700\u8fd1\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fde\u7eed\u4e24\u6b21\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u90e8\u5206\u8d2d\u623f\u8005\u8d81\u7740\u623f\u4ef7\u4f9d\u7136\u5f88\u4f4e\u7684\u65f6\u673a\u518d\u6b21\u8003\u8651\u8d2d\u623f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d8b\u52bf\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u59273\u6708\u4f4f\u623f\u9500\u91cf\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u4e0b\u964d34.4%\u81f341636\u5957\u3002\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u7684\u9500\u91cf\u4e3a33833\u5957\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd42\u6708\u5927\u7ea6\u589e\u957f\u4e861\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n
TD Economics\u7684Rishi Sondhi\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4f4f\u623f\u9500\u91cf\u8fde\u7eed\u4e24\u4e2a\u6708\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5229\u7387\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u52a9\u529b\u201c\u4e70\u5bb6\u5fc3\u7406\u201d\u4ee5\u53ca\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u662f\u9500\u91cf\u589e\u957f\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u9a71\u52a8\u529b\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u6309\u7167\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u4f4f\u623f\u9500\u91cf\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u589e\u957f\u662f\u5927\u6982\u7387\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u4f46\u76d1\u7ba1\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u53d8\u52a8\u4f1a\u8ba9\u623f\u8d37\u7533\u8bf7\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u56f0\u96be\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u5927\u7684\u4e0b\u884c\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n
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3\u6708\u4f4f\u623f\u65b0\u6302\u724c\u91cf\u5b63\u8c03\u540e\u603b\u8ba153298\u5957\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd42\u6708\u4e0b\u964d5.8%\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u65b0\u6302\u724c\u91cf68597\u5957\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u4e0b\u964d27.4%\u3002Oudil\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4f9b\u7ed9\u5904\u4e8e\u5386\u53f2\u4f4e\u70b9\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4e0d\u4ec5\u597d\u9500\u800c\u4e14\u9500\u552e\u901f\u5ea6\u66f4\u5feb\u4e86\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd8\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6709\u4e9b\u5356\u5bb6\u5c06\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u623f\u4ea7\u6302\u51fa\u6765\u3002Sondhi\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5356\u5bb6\u9700\u8981\u770b\u5230\u66f4\u591a\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u9500\u552e\u548c\u4ef7\u683c\u6301\u7eed\u56de\u6696\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\uff0c\u6b64\u540e\u6302\u724c\u91cf\u624d\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u660e\u663e\u7684\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n
BMO Capital Markets\u7684\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6Robert Kavcic\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5404\u79cd\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u5356\u5bb6\u5728\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5e02\u5f53\u4e2d\u51fa\u552e\u623f\u4ea7\u7684\u610f\u613f\u4e0d\u9ad8\u3002\u6709\u7684\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5c31\u4e1a\u5e02\u573a\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u6b64\u5916\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\u76d1\u7ba1\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\uff08OSFI\uff09\u5df2\u7ecf\u5bf9\u591a\u6570\u4e70\u5bb6\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u538b\u529b\u6d4b\u8bd5\uff0c\u623f\u8d37\u8fdd\u7ea6\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8fd8\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u79df\u8d41\u5e02\u573a\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f9d\u9760\u3002\u4ed6\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u8c03\u6574\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fc7\u53bb\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u9884\u671f\u6b63\u5728\u4e0d\u65ad\u5f3a\u5316\uff0c\u800c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u7684\u6307\u5f15\u5f3a\u5316\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u5e02\u573a\u5fc3\u7406\u3002<\/p>\n
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