{"id":482319,"date":"2024-01-04T23:23:59","date_gmt":"2024-01-05T07:23:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/?p=482319"},"modified":"2024-01-04T23:23:59","modified_gmt":"2024-01-05T07:23:59","slug":"%e4%b8%89%e5%a4%a7%e5%9b%a0%e7%b4%a0%ef%bc%8c%e5%bc%80%e5%90%af2024%e5%b9%b4%e7%9a%84%e9%bb%84%e9%87%91%e7%89%9b%e5%b8%82","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/blog\/2024\/01\/%e4%b8%89%e5%a4%a7%e5%9b%a0%e7%b4%a0%ef%bc%8c%e5%bc%80%e5%90%af2024%e5%b9%b4%e7%9a%84%e9%bb%84%e9%87%91%e7%89%9b%e5%b8%82\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e09\u5927\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u5f00\u542f2024\u5e74\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\u725b\u5e02"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>2023\u5e74\u591a\u6570\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\uff0c\u5f3a\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u65bd\u538b\u9ec4\u91d1\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\u5230\u4e86\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5f00\u59cb\u9884\u6d4b\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u4e2d\u6b62\u6b64\u8f6e\u52a0\u606f\u5468\u671f\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u5f00\u59cb\u4e0a\u6da8\u5e76\u572812\u6708\u521d\u521b\u51fa\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u76842125\u7f8e\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8\u3002\u867d\u7136\u6b64\u540e\u91d1\u4ef7\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u4f46\u5efa\u7acb\u4e862000\u7f8e\u5143\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5f3a\u652f\u6491\u4f4d\uff0c\u5168\u5e74\u6536\u6da813%\uff0c\u521b2020\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u5927\u6da8\u5e45\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fdb\u51652024\u5e74\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u518d\u6b21\u7784\u51c6\u4e86\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u800c\u9700\u6c42\u3001\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u548c1\u6708\u8fd93\u5927\u56e0\u7d20\u5c06\u5f00\u542f\u9ec4\u91d1\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u725b\u5e02\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u9700\u6c42\u56e0\u7d20<\/h2>\n<p>\u76db\u5b9d\u94f6\u884c\u7684Ole Hansen\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u65b0\u5e74\u63d0\u632f\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u56e0\u7d20\u67093\u4e2a\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u5206\u522b\u4e3a\u8ffd\u9010\u52a8\u91cf\u7684\u5bf9\u51b2\u57fa\u91d1\uff0c\u6301\u7eed\u8d2d\u5165\u5b9e\u7269\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u5168\u7403\u592e\u884c\uff0c\u4ee5\u53caETF\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u590d\u82cf\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5148\u8bf4\u592e\u884c\uff0c2023\u5e74\u524d3\u4e2a\u5b63\u5ea6\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u603b\u8ba1\u51c0\u4e70\u5165800\u5428\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd42022\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u589e\u957f14%\uff0c\u521b1950\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u7eaa\u5f55\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u8fd9\u4e00\u8d8b\u52bf\u5e94\u8be5\u4f1a\u6301\u7eed\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u9ec4\u91d1\u534f\u4f1a\uff08WGC\uff09\u53bb\u5e74\u6625\u5b63\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c24%\u7684\u592e\u884c\u8ba1\u5212\u5728\u672a\u676512\u4e2a\u6708\u589e\u52a0\u9ec4\u91d1\u50a8\u5907\uff0c71%\u7684\u592e\u884c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u50a8\u5907\u6c34\u5e73\u5c06\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd42022\u5e74\u63d0\u9ad810\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u592e\u884c\u8d2d\u91d1\u706b\u70ed\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c2023\u5e74\u591a\u6570\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\u9ec4\u91d1ETF\u5374\u5448\u73b0\u51c0\u6d41\u51fa\u7684\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u6240\u5e78\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5230\u4e8611\u6708\uff0c\u5916\u6d41\u5927\u5e45\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5317\u7f8eETF\u5f55\u5f975\u4e2a\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u9996\u4e2a\u9ec4\u91d1\u6d41\u5165\u3002\u968f\u7740\u91d1\u4ef7\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4f1a\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\u6d41\u5165ETF\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u63d0\u632f\u5168\u7403\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u5982\u679c\u518d\u53e0\u52a0\u5229\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6709\u4e9b\u673a\u6784\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u91cd\u8fd4\u9ec4\u91d1\u5e02\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u56e0\u7d20<\/h2>\n<p>\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b62\uff0c\u5f71\u54cd\u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6700\u5927\u56e0\u7d20\u662f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u800c12\u6708\u7684FOMC\u4f1a\u8bae\u6b63\u597d\u7ed9\u5e02\u573a\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u5b83\u4eec\u6700\u60f3\u8981\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff1a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u8f6c\u53d8\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u505c\u6b62\u52a0\u606f\u5468\u671f\uff0c\u660e\u5e74\u8d77\u5f00\u59cb\u964d\u606f\u3002\u6d88\u606f\u4e00\u51fa\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u968f\u673a\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4e3b\u6d41\u89e3\u8bfb\u662f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6253\u8d62\u4e86\u6297\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u6218\u5f79\uff0c\u4f46\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\u5e94\u8be5\u662f\u7f34\u68b0\u6295\u964d\u3002\u65e0\u8bba\u6309\u7167\u4ec0\u4e48\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4f9d\u7136\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u5c31\u8fde\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5426\u8ba4\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u672a\u6765\u964d\u606f\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u6210\u529f\u6291\u5236\u4e86\u901a\u80c0\u8fd8\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u9884\u9632\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u5229\u597d\u90fd\u662f\u7b49\u540c\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8bd5\u60f3\u4e00\u4e0b\uff1a\u5728\u53bb\u5e74\u5404\u79cd\u5229\u7a7a\u56e0\u7d20\u2014\u2014\u5f3a\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u5728\u66f4\u957f\u65f6\u671f\u5185\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u66f4\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u9884\u671f\u2014\u2014\u4e4b\u4e0b\u9ec4\u91d1\u4f9d\u7136\u8868\u73b0\u575a\u633a\u3002\u5982\u4eca\u5229\u7387\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u5f00\u59cb\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u518d\u6b21\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u53c8\u4f1a\u6709\u600e\u6837\u7684\u8868\u73b0\uff1f<\/p>\n<h2>1\u6708\u56e0\u7d20<\/h2>\n<p>1\u6708\u662f\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u201c\u5927\u6708\u201d\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u9ec4\u91d1\u534f\u4f1a\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c1971\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d11\u6708\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e3a1.79%\uff0c\u8fd9\u51e0\u4e4e\u662f\u957f\u671f\u6708\u5747\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u76843\u500d\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u6b64\u671f\u95f4\uff0c1\u6708\u9ec4\u91d1\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e3a\u6b63\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u63a5\u8fd160%\uff0c2000\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u66f4\u662f\u8fbe\u5230\u4e8670%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4f1a\u6709\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\uff1f\u4e16\u754c\u9ec4\u91d1\u534f\u4f1a\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e863\u4e2a\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u5e74\u521d\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u518d\u5e73\u8861<\/li>\n<li>\u5b9e\u9645\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u75b2\u8f6f<\/li>\n<li>\u4e1c\u4e9a\u56fd\u5bb6\u519c\u5386\u65b0\u5e74\u524d\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\u8865\u8d27<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2023\u5e74\u591a\u6570\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\uff0c\u5f3a\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u65bd\u538b\u9ec4\u91d1\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\u5230\u4e86\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5f00\u59cb\u9884\u6d4b\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u4e2d\u6b62\u6b64\u8f6e\u52a0\u606f\u5468\u671f\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u5f00 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":27,"featured_media":482320,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[1521,430],"tags":[2164,2161,659,440],"class_list":["post-482319","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-1521","category-trends-strategies-zh-hans","tag-2164","tag-2161","tag-659","tag-440","sectors-gold-zh-hans","locations-us-zh-hans"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/482319","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/27"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=482319"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/482319\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/482320"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=482319"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=482319"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=482319"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}