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CPI\u6570\u636e\u516c\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u4e89\u8bba\u7684\u7126\u70b9\u5df2\u7ecf\u4ece\u662f\u5426\u964d\u606f\u8f6c\u4e3a\u964d\u606f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u548c\u5e45\u5ea6\uff0c\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u89c2\u5bdf\u4eba\u58eb\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u79ef\u6781\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9020\u6210\u4e25\u91cd\u635f\u5bb3\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u8003\u8651\u5230\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u6b63\u5728\u8d70\u5f31\u3002<\/p>\n
Independent Advisor Alliance\u9996\u5e2d\u6295\u8d44\u5b98Chris Zaccarelli\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5df2\u7ecf\u4ece\u62c5\u5fc3\u901a\u80c0\u8f6c\u5411\u62c5\u5fc3\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u964d\u606f\u7684\u8282\u594f\u662f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6700\u5173\u5fc3\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e00\u76f4\u80a9\u8d1f\u7740\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7269\u4ef7\u7a33\u5b9a\u548c\u6700\u5927\u5c31\u4e1a\u7684\u53cc\u91cd\u4f7f\u547d\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\uff08Jerome Powell\uff09\u548c\u5176\u4ed6FOMC\u59d4\u5458\u5747\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6700\u5feb\u57289\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u5c31\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4ecd\u5b8c\u5168\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6bd5\u9a6c\u5a01\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6Diane Swonk\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u964d\u6e29\u548c\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u5f3a\u5316\u4e869\u6708\u4efd\u964d\u606f50\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u8bba\u70b9\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u907f\u514d\u9677\u5165\u5168\u9762\u8870\u9000\u3002<\/p>\n
CME Group\u7684FedWatch\u5de5\u5177\u76ee\u524d\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u57289\u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u964d\u606f50\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e3a 37%\uff0c\u4e0e\u4e0a\u5468\u521d\u76f8\u6bd4\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5f53\u65f67\u6708\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u516c\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u964d\u606f50\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u63a5\u8fd1100%\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u4e0d\u6392\u9664\u53ef\u80fd\u53ec\u5f00\u7d27\u6025\u4f1a\u8bae\u3002<\/p>\n
\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5c06\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u8f6c\u5411\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u8fd1\u671f\u5373\u5c06\u53d1\u8868\u7684\u8bb2\u8bdd\u3002\u672c\u5468\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5723\u8def\u6613\u65af\u8054\u50a8\u603b\u88c1Alberto Musalem\u548c\u8d39\u57ce\u8054\u50a8\u603b\u88c1Patrick Harker\u5c06\u53d1\u8868\u8bb2\u8bdd\u3002\u800c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u5c06\u4e8e8\u670823\u65e5\u5728\u6000\u4fc4\u660e\u5dde\u6770\u514b\u900a\u970d\u5c14\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5e74\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u8ba8\u4f1a\u4e0a\u53d1\u8868\u8bb2\u8bdd\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5728FOMC\u4e0b\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5b9a\u4e8e9\u67086\u65e5\u53d1\u5e03\u76848\u6708\u4efd\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u5c06\u63d0\u4f9b\u6709\u5173\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u5065\u5eb7\u72b6\u51b5\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u89e3\u8bfb\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u662f9\u670817\u65e5\u81f318\u65e5\u8bae\u606f\u4f1a\u8bae\u524d\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n
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