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\u7f8e\u80a1\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6b63\u9762\u4e34\u53cc\u91cd\u6253\u51fb\u2014\u2014\u968f\u7740\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u5173\u7a0e\u653f\u7b56\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u9175\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u5728\u672c\u5468\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u6216\u5c06\u91cd\u7533\u5176\u89c2\u671b\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u671f\u5f85\u7684”\u7279\u6717\u666e\u6216\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743”\u6050\u5c06\u53cc\u53cc\u843d\u7a7a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u65e5\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728\u63a5\u53d7\u7535\u89c6\u91c7\u8bbf\u65f6\u660e\u786e\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e0d\u4f1a\u56e0\u77ed\u671f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6ce2\u52a8\u6539\u53d8\u5173\u7a0e\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u6001\u5ea6\u6253\u7834\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9”\u7279\u6717\u666e\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743”\u7684\u671f\u5f85\u2014\u2014\u5373\u5f53\u80a1\u5e02\u5267\u70c8\u4e0b\u8dcc\u65f6\uff0c\u603b\u7edf\u4f1a\u901a\u8fc7\u653f\u7b56\u8c03\u6574\u6258\u5e02\u3002\u53d7\u6b64\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u6807\u666e500\u6307\u6570\u8fde\u7eed\u56db\u5468\u4e0b\u632b\uff0c\u8fde\u540c\u7eb3\u65af\u8fbe\u514b\u7efc\u5408\u6307\u6570\u8fdb\u5165\u4fee\u6b63\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u7f57\u7d202000\u5c0f\u76d8\u80a1\u6307\u6570\u66f4\u662f\u4e00\u5ea6\u8fdb\u5165\u718a\u5e02\u3002<\/p>\n

Capital Economics\u7f8e\u56fd\u526f\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u65af\u8482\u82ac\u00b7\u5e03\u6717\uff08Stephen Brown\uff09\u6307\u51fa\uff1a\u8003\u8651\u5230\u901a\u80c0\u4e0a\u884c\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u80a1\u5e02\u8fd1\u671f\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u4f46\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\u51fa\u73b0\u201c\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\u201d\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e5f\u5fae\u4e4e\u5176\u5fae\u3002\u6240\u8c13”\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743”\uff0c\u662f\u6307\u5e02\u573a\u666e\u904d\u9884\u671f\u5f53\u80a1\u5e02\u66b4\u8dcc\u65f6\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u901a\u8fc7\u964d\u606f\u7b49\u624b\u6bb5\u6551\u5e02\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u7406\u5ff5\u6e90\u81ea1987\u5e74\u80a1\u707e\u540e\u683c\u6797\u65af\u6f58\u7684\u6551\u5e02\u4e3e\u63aa\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u662f\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5229\u7a7a<\/h2>\n

New York Life Investments\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u517c\u9996\u5e2d\u5e02\u573a\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u52b3\u4f26\u00b7\u53e4\u5fb7\u6e29\uff08Lauren Goodwin\uff09\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4e0e\u4ee5\u5f80\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u51e0\u5468\u7684\u629b\u552e\u5e76\u975e\u7531\u4f01\u4e1a\u76c8\u5229\u6216\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5373\u7ecf\u6d4e\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u6076\u5316\u6240\u9a71\u52a8\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u76f4\u63a5\u51b2\u51fb\u5e02\u573a\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5927\u5b663\u6708\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570\u4ece\u4e0a\u6708\u768464.7\u9aa4\u964d\u81f357.6\uff0c\u5370\u8bc1\u4e86\u8fd9\u79cd\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5609\u4fe1\u7406\u8d22\u9ad8\u7ea7\u6295\u8d44\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u51ef\u6587\u00b7\u6208\u767b\uff08Kevin Gordon\uff09\u5f3a\u8c03\uff1a\u4f01\u4e1a\u771f\u6b63\u6050\u60e7\u7684\u4e0d\u662f\u5173\u7a0e\u672c\u8eab\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u7684\u4e0d\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u6027\u3002\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u653f\u7b56\u6e05\u6670\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u8c03\u6574\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4f46\u671d\u4ee4\u5915\u6539\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u65b9\u5f0f\u6b63\u8feb\u4f7f\u4f01\u4e1a\u524a\u51cf\u652f\u51fa\u548c\u62db\u8058\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u7ecf\u6d4e\u51cf\u901f\u751a\u81f3\u8870\u9000\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9762\u5bf9\u653f\u7b56\u8ff7\u96fe\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u540c\u6837\u4e3e\u6b65\u7ef4\u8270\u3002\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u672c\u521d\u5df2\u8868\u6001\uff0c\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u524d\u666f\u660e\u6717\u524d\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u89c2\u671b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5f53\u524d\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u8ba12025\u5e74\u5c06\u6709\u4e09\u6b2125\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u4f46\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u5728\u5173\u7a0e\u653f\u7b56\u8def\u5f84\u4e0d\u660e\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u96be\u4ee5\u51c6\u786e\u8bc4\u4f30\u5176\u5bf9\u901a\u80c0\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002Capital Economics\u7684\u5e03\u6717\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u88c1\u5458\u6f6e\u53ef\u80fd\u4f34\u968f\u901a\u80c0\u6500\u5347\uff0c\u800c\u6208\u767b\u5efa\u8bae\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5e94\u805a\u7126\u4f18\u8d28\u80a1\u7968\u2014\u2014\u5373\u5177\u5907\u6301\u7eed\u76c8\u5229\u589e\u957f\u3001\u73b0\u91d1\u6d41\u5145\u88d5\u3001\u4f4e\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u4e14\u6d77\u5916\u98ce\u9669\u655e\u53e3\u8f83\u5c0f\u7684\u4f01\u4e1a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u573a\u7531\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u52a8\u8361\uff0c\u6b63\u5728\u8003\u9a8c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u5b9a\u4ef7\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u5f53”\u7279\u6717\u666e\u548c\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743”\u53cc\u53cc\u5931\u6548\u4e4b\u65f6\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u6216\u8bb8\u53ea\u80fd\u4f9d\u9760\u4f01\u4e1a\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u6765\u62b5\u5fa1\u8fd9\u573a\u98ce\u66b4\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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