{"id":588131,"date":"2025-08-18T02:15:40","date_gmt":"2025-08-18T09:15:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/blog\/2025\/08\/why-allocate-to-gold-ray-dalio-recommends-15-in-gold-or-bitcoin\/"},"modified":"2025-08-18T02:15:59","modified_gmt":"2025-08-18T09:15:59","slug":"%e4%b8%ba%e4%bb%80%e4%b9%88%e8%a6%81%e9%85%8d%e7%bd%ae%e9%bb%84%e9%87%91%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/blog\/2025\/08\/%e4%b8%ba%e4%bb%80%e4%b9%88%e8%a6%81%e9%85%8d%e7%bd%ae%e9%bb%84%e9%87%91%ef%bc%9f\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u8981\u914d\u7f6e\u9ec4\u91d1\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u6865\u6c34\u57fa\u91d1\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u745e\u00b7\u8fbe\u5229\u6b27\uff08Ray Dalio\uff09\u8fd1\u65e5\u5728\u8bbf\u8c08\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u9274\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u72b6\u51b5\uff0c\u800c\u8fc7\u5ea6\u4e3e\u503a\u4e0e\u8d64\u5b57\u652f\u51fa\u6b63\u524a\u5f31\u7f8e\u5143\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5e94\u8003\u8651\u5c06\u7ea615%\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u914d\u7f6e\u4e8e\u9ec4\u91d1\u6216\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u503a\u52a1\u5371\u673a\u51b2\u51fb\u3002<\/p>\n

\u81f3\u4e8e\u914d\u7f6e\u903b\u8f91\uff0c15%\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5c5e\u4e8e\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u4fdd\u62a4\u6027\u5bf9\u51b2\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u65e8\u5728\u5206\u6563\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fbe\u5229\u6b27\u4e2a\u4eba\u66f4\u503e\u5411\u9ec4\u91d1\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u5f3a\u8c03\u6cd5\u5b9a\u8d27\u5e01\u8d2c\u503c\u624d\u662f\u6838\u5fc3\u7ecf\u6d4e\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u6025\u901f\u6269\u5927\u7684\u503a\u52a1\u89c4\u6a21\u5df2\u5f15\u53d1\u7f8e\u5143\u8d2c\u503c\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u503a\u52a1\u603b\u989d\u9996\u6b21\u7a81\u783434\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c2023\u8d22\u5e74\u5229\u606f\u652f\u51fa\u8fbe\u521b\u7eaa\u5f55\u76846590\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6700\u65b0\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u5168\u7403\u5916\u6c47\u50a8\u5907\u4e2d\u7684\u5360\u6bd4\u5df2\u964d\u81f358%\uff0c\u521b\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u6765\u65b0\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1\u65e2\u80fd\u4fdd\u503c\uff0c\u8fd8\u80fd\u589e\u503c<\/h2>\n

\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u51ef\u6069\u65af\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u201c\u52a8\u7269\u7cbe\u795e\u201d\u4e3b\u5bfc\u9ec4\u91d1\u77ed\u671f\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u800c\u957f\u671f\u8d70\u52bf\u5219\u7531\u201c\u8d27\u5e01\u7cbe\u795e\u201d\u9a71\u52a8\u3002\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff1a2020\u5e743\u6708\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u53d1\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u7d2f\u8ba1\u4e0a\u6da8123%\uff0c\u767d\u94f6\u66b4\u6da8192%\u3002\u5982\u679c\u7ee7\u7eed\u62c9\u957f\u5468\u671f\uff0c1971-2025\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u5e74\u5747\u56de\u62a5\u738710%\uff0c\u7d2f\u8ba1\u4e0a\u6da8541%\u3002<\/p>\n

1971\u5e74\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0e\u9ec4\u91d1\u8131\u94a9\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u767d\u94f6\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u5353\u8d8a\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u5bf9\u51b2\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u89c2\u70b9\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u6570\u636e\u4e0a\u7684\u652f\u6491\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e\u4f50\u8bc1\uff081971-2025\uff09\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u6307\u6807<\/strong><\/td>\n\u7d2f\u8ba1\u589e\u957f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e74\u5747\u589e\u901f<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6700\u5927\u5e74\u5ea6\u6ce2\u52a8<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c<\/td>\n541%<\/td>\n10%<\/td>\n+92%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
M3\u8d27\u5e01\u4f9b\u5e94<\/td>\n384%<\/td>\n7%<\/td>\n+29%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CPI\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7269\u4ef7<\/td>\n214%<\/td>\n4%<\/td>\n+14%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u6ce8\uff1a<\/em>CPI<\/em>\u5728<\/em>2009<\/em>\u3001<\/em>2015<\/em>\u5e74\u96f6\u589e\u957f\uff1b<\/em>M3<\/em>\u5728<\/em>2023<\/em>\u964d<\/em>4%<\/em>\u3001<\/em>2024<\/em>\u964d<\/em>6%<\/em><\/p>\n

\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u80fd\u529b<\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1VS\u4f20\u7edf\u8d44\u4ea7\uff081971-2025\uff09\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u8d44\u4ea7\u7c7b\u522b<\/strong><\/td>\n\u7d2f\u8ba1\u6536\u76ca<\/strong><\/td>\n\u5e74\u5747\u56de\u62a5<\/strong><\/td>\n\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
\u9ec4\u91d1<\/td>\n541%<\/td>\n10%<\/td>\n27%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u6807\u666e500\u6307\u6570<\/td>\n484%<\/td>\n9%<\/td>\n17%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u540d\u4e49GDP<\/td>\n339%<\/td>\n6%<\/td>\n3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u6865\u6c34\u57fa\u91d1\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u745e\u00b7\u8fbe\u5229\u6b27\uff08Ray Dalio\uff09\u8fd1\u65e5\u5728\u8bbf\u8c08\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u9274\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u72b6\u51b5\uff0c\u800c\u8fc7\u5ea6\u4e3e\u503a\u4e0e\u8d64\u5b57\u652f\u51fa […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":27,"featured_media":553236,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[1521,430,2196],"tags":[2131,2134,659,440],"class_list":["post-588131","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-1521","category-trends-strategies-zh-hans","category-2196","tag-2131","tag-2134","tag-659","tag-440","sectors-gold-zh-hans","locations-us-zh-hans"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/588131","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/27"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=588131"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/588131\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":588134,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/588131\/revisions\/588134"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/553236"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=588131"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=588131"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=588131"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}