{"id":248856,"date":"2018-12-12T15:48:50","date_gmt":"2018-12-12T23:48:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/?p=248856"},"modified":"2018-12-12T16:48:38","modified_gmt":"2018-12-13T00:48:38","slug":"%e5%8f%88%e4%b8%80%e7%99%be%e8%90%ac%e8%b3%ad%e5%b1%80%ef%bc%9f%e6%af%94%e7%89%b9%e5%b9%a3vs%e6%a8%99%e6%99%ae%e6%8c%87%e6%95%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/blog\/2018\/12\/%e5%8f%88%e4%b8%80%e7%99%be%e8%90%ac%e8%b3%ad%e5%b1%80%ef%bc%9f%e6%af%94%e7%89%b9%e5%b9%a3vs%e6%a8%99%e6%99%ae%e6%8c%87%e6%95%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"\u53c8\u4e00\u767e\u842c\u8ced\u5c40\uff1f\u6bd4\u7279\u5e63VS\u6a19\u666e\u6307\u6578"},"content":{"rendered":"

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2018\u5e74\uff0c\u5e7e\u4e4e\u6240\u6709\u6295\u8cc7\u54c1\u985e\u90fd\u906d\u9047\u5bd2\u51ac\uff0c\u4f46\u5c0d\u6bd4\u7279\u5e63\u53ca\u5176\u5e95\u5c64\u5340\u584a\u93c8\u6280\u8853\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u4e0d\u50c5\u50f9\u683c\u66b4\u8dcc\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7121\u4eba\u80fd\u53ca\uff08\u9644\u8868\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u8072\u8b7d\u66f4\u662f\u5f9e\u201c\u5177\u6709\u985b\u8986\u73fe\u6709\u793e\u6703\u9ad4\u7cfb\u80fd\u529b\u201c\u7684\u4fe1\u4ef0\u8dcc\u7834\u81f3\u53f2\u4e0a\u53c8\u4e00\u8d85\u7d1a\u9a19\u5c40\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8868\uff1a\u6bd4\u7279\u5e632018\u5e74\u5f9e\u6700\u9ad81.9\u842c\u8dcc\u81f33300<\/em><\/p>\n

\"NAI<\/p>\n

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\u4f5c\u70ba\u5c11\u6578\u66fe\u7d93\u9810\u6e2c\u52302008\u5e74\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u6a5f\u7206\u767c\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u6709\u201c\u672b\u65e5\u535a\u58eb\u201d\u4e4b\u7a31\u7684Nouriel Roubini \u7a31\u6bd4\u7279\u5e63\u70ba\u201c\u6240\u6709\u6ce1\u6cab\u4e4b\u6bcd\u201d\uff0c\u52a0\u5bc6\u8ca8\u5e63\u662f\u6240\u6709\u9a19\u5c40\u4e4b\u6bcd\u3002\u5c31\u9023\u6578\u5b57\u52a0\u5bc6\u8ca8\u5e63\u5e95\u5c64\u6280\u8853\u5340\u584a\u93c8\uff0cRoubini \u4e5f\u8a8d\u70ba\u662f\u201c\u7092\u4f5c\u6700\u904e\u5ea6\u7684 – \u4eba\u985e\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u6c92\u7528\u7684\u6280\u8853\uff0c\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\u5176\u4e0d\u6703\u6bd4\u6f02\u4eae\u7684\u96fb\u5b50\u8868\u683c\u6216\u6578\u64da\u5eab\u597d\u591a\u5c11\u201d\u4ed6\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u6703\u5c71\u7684\u807d\u8b49\u6703\u4e0a\uff0c\u5c0d\u65b0\u578b\u6578\u5b57\u8cc7\u7522\u7684\u591a\u500b\u65b9\u9762\u767c\u51fa\u8b66\u544a\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u4e8b\u5be6\u4e0a\uff0c\u52a0\u5bc6\u8ca8\u5e63\u5f9e\u4f86\u6c92\u6709\u7372\u5f97\u4e3b\u6d41\u6295\u8cc7\u754c\u7684\u8a8d\u53ef\uff0c\u5176\u958b\u59cb\u53ea\u662f\u6d41\u50b3\u65bc\u8a08\u7b97\u6a5f\u6975\u5ba2\u4e4b\u9593\uff0c\u5f8c\u56e0\u5e7e\u6ce2\u8d85\u7d1a\u66b4\u6f32\u884c\u60c5\u7d93\u904e\u5a92\u9ad4\u50b3\u64ad\uff0c\u5951\u5408\u4e86\u5927\u773e\u4e00\u591c\u66b4\u5bcc\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\uff0c\u4e00\u8e8d\u6210\u70ba\u9a19\u5b50\u6c3e\u6feb\u7684\u6eab\u5e8a\u3002\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e63\u4f5c\u70ba\u8ca8\u5e63\u53ca\u6295\u8cc7\u54c1\u7684\u529f\u80fd\u767c\u63ee\u5f97\u4e26\u4e0d\u660e\u986f\uff0c\u4f46\u4f5c\u70ba\u8a50\u9a19\u5de5\u5177\u53cd\u800c\u98a8\u751f\u6c34\u8d77\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u5728\u6b64\u6ce2\u5927\u8dcc\u6f6e\u4e2d\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u90fd\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u201c\u52a0\u5bc6\u8ca8\u5e63\u4e0d\u8a00\u5e95\u201c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u7e3d\u6709\u4eba\u4e0d\u4fe1\u90aa\uff0c\u52a0\u5bc6\u8ca8\u5e63\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\uff0cMorgan Creek \u6578\u5b57\u8cc7\u7522\u516c\u53f8\u5275\u59cb\u4eba Anthony Pompliano\u4f9d\u7136\u5805\u5b9a\u5531\u591a\u52a0\u5bc6\u8ca8\u5e63\u3002Pompliano \u6700\u8fd1\u901a\u904eTwitter\u7684\u767c\u5e03\u8ced\u5c40\uff1a10\u5e74\u5167\uff0c\u4ed6\u6240\u6301\u6709\u7684\u52a0\u5bc6\u8ca8\u5e63\u8cc7\u7522\u8868\u73fe\u6703\u8d85\u904e\u7f8e\u570bS&P\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u8ced\u8cc7\u70ba1\u767e\u842c\u7f8e\u91d1\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u76f4\u63a5\u53eb\u677fNouriel\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"NAI<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Nouriel Roubini\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u8868\u793a\u63a5\u53d7\u8ced\u5c40\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u8af7\u523aPompliano2018\u5e74\u65b0\u9810\u6e2c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e63\u80fd\u52305\u842c\u7f8e\u91d1\u5462\uff0c\u7d50\u679c\u7576\u5e74\u201c\u8667\u4e8685\uff05\u9084\u662f95\uff05\u201d\uff0cRoubini\u7a31Pompliano\u4e0d\u904e\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u201c\u81ea\u5927\u7684\uff0c\u81ea\u6211\u7092\u4f5c\u7684\u9a19\u5b50\u201c\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u96a8\u5f8c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e63\u958b\u59cb\u4e86\u5927\u8d77\u5927\u843d\u7684\u5f81\u7a0b\uff0c2011\u5e7411\u6708\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u5f9e30\u7f8e\u5143\u8dcc\u81f32\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8dcc\u5e4593\uff05;<\/p>\n

2013\u5e7412\u6708\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u5f9e1166\u7f8e\u5143\u8dcc\u81f3170\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8dcc\u5e4585\uff05;\u6bcf\u6b21\u5927\u8dcc\u4e4b\u5f8c\u90fd\u6703\u6709\u66f4\u70ba\u58ef\u95ca\u7684\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5438\u5f15\u4e86\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5df2\u7d93\u5f62\u6210\u70ba\u4e00\u500b\u751f\u614b\u93c8\u3002<\/p>\n

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