{"id":300070,"date":"2019-10-26T00:10:11","date_gmt":"2019-10-26T07:10:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/blog\/2019\/10\/1929%e5%b9%b4%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e8%82%a1%e7%81%be90%e5%b9%b4%e5%9b%9e%e7%9c%b8%ef%bc%8c%e6%88%91%e4%bb%ac%e9%83%bd%e5%ad%a6%e5%88%b0%e4%ba%86%e4%bb%80%e4%b9%88%ef%bc%9f\/"},"modified":"2019-10-28T14:57:34","modified_gmt":"2019-10-28T21:57:34","slug":"1929%e5%b9%b4-%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e8%82%a1%e7%81%be-%e8%82%a1%e5%b8%82%e6%b3%a2%e5%8b%95-%e9%98%b2%e7%a6%a6%e8%82%a1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/blog\/2019\/10\/1929%e5%b9%b4-%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e8%82%a1%e7%81%be-%e8%82%a1%e5%b8%82%e6%b3%a2%e5%8b%95-%e9%98%b2%e7%a6%a6%e8%82%a1\/","title":{"rendered":"1929\u5e74\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u707e90\u5e74\u56de\u7738\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u90fd\u5b78\u5230\u4e86\u4ec0\u9ebd\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u6211\u5011\u5148\u4f86\u56de\u9867\u4e00\u4e0b1929\u5e74\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u707e\u3002\u7576\u5e74\u768410\u670824\u65e5\uff0c\u9053\u74ca\u65af\u5de5\u696d\u5e73\u5747\u6307\u6578\uff08DJIA\uff09\u55ae\u65e5\u4e0b\u8dcc11%\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8457\u540d\u7684\u201c\u9ed1\u8272\u661f\u671f\u56db\u201d\u3002\u96a8\u5f8c\u572828\u65e5\u548c29\u65e5\uff0c\u9053\u6307\u5206\u5225\u518d\u6b21\u4e0b\u8dcc12.8%\u548c11.7%\uff0c\u5169\u592924.5%\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u63db\u7b97\u5230\u4eca\u5929\u76f8\u7576\u4e8e\u9053\u6307\u4e0b\u8dcc6,576\u9ede\u3002\u5982\u4eca\uff0c90\u5e74\u904e\u53bb\u4e86\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\u9084\u767c\u751f\u591a\u6b21\u5d29\u76e4\uff0c\u800c\u4e00\u6b21\u6b21\u7684\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u53c8\u900f\u9732\u51fa\u54ea\u4e9b\u8b8a\u5316\u548c\u8da8\u52e2\uff1f\u6211\u5011\u53c8\u8a72\u5982\u4f55\u61c9\u5c0d\uff1f<\/p>\n<h2>\u7f8e\u80a1\u66b4\u8dcc\u5f8c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u89e3\u5957\u6642\u9593\u5927\u5e45\u7e2e\u77ed<\/h2>\n<p>1929\u5e74\u7684\u80a1\u707e\uff0c\u9053\u6307\u82b1\u4e8625\u5e74\u624d\u56de\u5230\u539f\u4f86\u7684\u9ede\u4f4d\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u4ea4\u6613\u901f\u5ea6\u7684\u4e0d\u65b7\u52a0\u5feb\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u5c0d\u4e8e\u65b0\u4fe1\u606f\u7684\u53cd\u61c9\u548c\u8abf\u6574\u901f\u5ea6\u4e5f\u5927\u5e45\u52a0\u5feb\uff0c\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u662f\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u89e3\u5957\u7684\u6642\u9593\u4e5f\u5927\u5927\u7e2e\u77ed\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-300055 lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/dow-jones-1929-2019.jpg\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1060px) 100vw, 1060px\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/dow-jones-1929-2019.jpg 1060w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/dow-jones-1929-2019-300x177.jpg 300w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/dow-jones-1929-2019-768x452.jpg 768w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/dow-jones-1929-2019-1024x603.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/dow-jones-1929-2019-800x471.jpg 800w\" alt=\"\" width=\"1060\" height=\"624\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1060px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 1060\/624;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\uff0c1945\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\u51fa\u73fe\u768412\u500b\u718a\u5e02\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u89e3\u5957\u6240\u82b1\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6642\u9593\u53ea\u670925\u500b\u6708\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u8dcc\u5e45\u572840%\u53ca\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u201c\u8d85\u7d1a\u5d29\u76e4\u201d\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u56de\u672c\u7684\u6642\u9593\u4e5f\u53ea\u670958\u500b\u6708\uff0c\u4e0d\u52305\u5e74\u6642\u9593\u3002\u6700\u8fd12007-2009\u5e74\u7684\u80a1\u5e02\u5d29\u76e4\uff0c\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\uff08SPX\uff09\u82b1\u4e8649\u500b\u6708\u586b\u88dc\u6389\u9019\u671f\u959357%\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u3002\u66f4\u65e9\u4e00\u4e9b2000\u5e74-2002\u5e74\u7684\u80a1\u707e\uff0c\u89e3\u5957\u82b1\u4e8656\u500b\u6708\u7684\u6642\u9593\u3002<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u4e0b\u8dcc\u985e\u578b<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>\u767c\u751f\u6b21\u6578<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>\u5e73\u5747\u8dcc\u5e45<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5e73\u5747\u6301\u7e8c\u6708\u6578<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>\u89e3\u5957\u5e73\u5747\u6708\u6578<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\u5c0f\u5e45\u56de\u843d (5%\u81f39.9%)<\/td>\n<td>58<\/td>\n<td>-7%<\/td>\n<td>1.2<\/td>\n<td>1.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u4fee\u6b63 (10%\u81f319.9%)<\/td>\n<td>23<\/td>\n<td>-14%<\/td>\n<td>4.4<\/td>\n<td>3.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u6240\u6709\u718a\u5e02 (20%\u53ca\u4ee5\u4e0a)<\/td>\n<td>12<\/td>\n<td>-33%<\/td>\n<td>13.8<\/td>\n<td>25<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u5178\u578b\u718a\u5e02 (20%\u81f340%)<\/td>\n<td>9<\/td>\n<td>-26%<\/td>\n<td>10.8<\/td>\n<td>14<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u8d85\u7d1a\u5d29\u76e4 (40%\u4ee5\u4e0a)<\/td>\n<td>3<\/td>\n<td>-51%<\/td>\n<td>23<\/td>\n<td>58<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><em>\u6578\u64da\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a<\/em><em>CFRA<\/em><em>\uff0c\u6a19\u666e<\/em><em>500<\/em><em>\u6307\u6578\uff08<\/em><em>1945<\/em><em>\u5e74<\/em><em>12<\/em><em>\u6708<\/em><em>31<\/em><em>\u65e5\u81f3<\/em><em>2019<\/em><em>\u5e74<\/em><em>10<\/em><em>\u6708<\/em><em>21<\/em><em>\u65e5\uff09<\/em><\/p>\n<h2>\u5f31\u5e02\u4e0b\u677f\u584a\u8868\u73fe\u9075\u5faa\u4e86\u540c\u4e00\u500b\u201c\u5957\u8def\u201d<\/h2>\n<p>\u5728\u5e02\u5834\u9762\u81e8\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u5fc5\u9700\u6d88\u8cbb\u54c1\u3001\u91ab\u7642\u548c\u516c\u7528\u4e8b\u696d\u677f\u584a\u7372\u5f97\u4e86\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u7684\u9752\u775e\uff0c\u7a69\u5b9a\u7684\u76c8\u5229\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u7a69\u5b9a\u6027\u30021946\u5e74\u51fa\u73fe\u4e86\u718a\u5e02\u7576\u4e2d\uff0c\u90193\u500b\u677f\u584a\u8dd1\u8d0f\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u6982\u7387\u9054\u5230\u4e8683%\u3002<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u6a19\u666e<\/strong><strong>500<\/strong><strong>\u6307\u6578\u677f\u584a<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>\u5e73\u5747\u6ce2\u5e45<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>\u6392\u540d<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>\u8dd1\u8d0f\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u6982\u7387<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\u5fc5\u9808\u6d88\u8cbb\u54c1<\/td>\n<td>-12%<\/td>\n<td>1<\/td>\n<td>83%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u91ab\u7642<\/td>\n<td>-13%<\/td>\n<td>2<\/td>\n<td>83%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u516c\u7528\u4e8b\u696d<\/td>\n<td>-20%<\/td>\n<td>3<\/td>\n<td>83%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u80fd\u6e90<\/td>\n<td>-25%<\/td>\n<td>4<\/td>\n<td>42%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u6750\u6599<\/td>\n<td>-25%<\/td>\n<td>5<\/td>\n<td>42%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u6240\u6709\u677f\u584a<\/td>\n<td>-27%<\/td>\n<td>N\/A<\/td>\n<td>N\/A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u4fe1\u606f\u6280\u8853<\/td>\n<td>-28%<\/td>\n<td>6<\/td>\n<td>67%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u91d1\u878d<\/td>\n<td>-28%<\/td>\n<td>7<\/td>\n<td>42%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u975e\u5fc5\u9700\u6d88\u8cbb\u54c1<\/td>\n<td>-31%<\/td>\n<td>8<\/td>\n<td>33%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u5de5\u696d<\/td>\n<td>-33%<\/td>\n<td>9<\/td>\n<td>8%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u96fb\u4fe1\u670d\u52d9<\/td>\n<td>-37%<\/td>\n<td>10<\/td>\n<td>75%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><em>\u6578\u64da\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a<\/em><em>CFRA<\/em><em>\uff0c<\/em><em>1946<\/em><em>\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\u6a19\u666e<\/em><em>500<\/em><em>\u6307\u6578\u5404\u5927\u677f\u584a\u5728\u718a\u5e02\u4e2d\u7684\u8868\u73fe<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u4e5f\u9075\u5faa\u4e86\u540c\u6a23\u7684\u201c\u5957\u8def\u201d\u3002\u53d7\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u66f2\u7dab\u5012\u6302\u4ee5\u53ca\u8cbf\u6613\u885d\u7a81\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u591a\u6b21\u51fa\u73fe\u7d93\u6fdf\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe\u8870\u9000\u7684\u6050\u614c\u60c5\u7dd2\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u50be\u5411\u4e8e\u4fdd\u5b88\u548c\u8b39\u614e\u30024\u670830\u65e5\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/\u80a1\u7968\u67e5\u8be2\/?qm_symbol=XLU\">SPDR\u516c\u7528\u4e8b\u696d\u6307\u6578ETF\uff08NYSEARCA: XLU\uff09<\/a>\u4e0a\u6f329.6%\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/\u80a1\u7968\u67e5\u8be2\/?qm_symbol=XLP\">SPDR\u5fc5\u9700\u6d88\u8cbb\u54c1\u6307\u6578ETF\uff08NYSEARCA: XLP\uff09<\/a>\u4e0a\u6f325.9%\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/\u80a1\u7968\u67e5\u8be2\/?qm_symbol=XLV\">SPDR\u91ab\u7642\u884c\u696d\u6307\u6578ETF\uff08NYSEARCA: XLV\uff09<\/a>\u4e0a\u6f323.5%\uff0c\u540c\u671f<a href=\"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/\u80a1\u7968\u67e5\u8be2\/?qm_symbol=%5ESPX\">\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\uff08SPX\uff09<\/a>\u50c5\u4e0a\u6f321.5%\uff0c\u800c<a href=\"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hans\/\u80a1\u7968\u67e5\u8be2\/?qm_symbol=XLE\">SPDR\u80fd\u6e90\u884c\u696d\u6307\u6578ETF\uff08NYSEARCA: XLE\uff09<\/a>\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e8611%\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u5982\u4f55\u898f\u907f\u80a1\u5e02\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\uff1f<\/h2>\n<p>\u5982\u4f55\u898f\u907f\u80a1\u5e02\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\uff1f\u8cb7\u5165\u5e77\u6301\u6709\u7121\u7591\u662f\u9577\u671f\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u7684\u4e0a\u4f73\u4e4b\u9078\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u6301\u6709\u7684\u662f\u591a\u5143\u5316\u7684\u57fa\u91d1\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u7121\u610f\u53c3\u8207\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u53ca\u6642\u6b62\u640d\u662f\u4fdd\u5b58\u6295\u8cc7\u6536\u76ca\u7684\u8b39\u614e\u63aa\u65bd\u3002\u7576\u7136\u4e86\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u60f3\u7e7c\u7e8c\u53c3\u8207\u80a1\u5e02\uff0c\u53c8\u5e0c\u671b\u76e1\u53ef\u80fd\u5730\u63a7\u5236\u8667\u640d\uff0c\u9084\u662f\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u7b56\u7565\u53ef\u4f9b\u9078\u64c7\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6bd4\u5982\u8aaa\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\u51fa\u73fe\u4e86\u5f88\u591a\u5e6b\u52a9\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u6291\u5236\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u6b62\u76c8\u6b62\u640d\u57fa\u91d1\uff0c\u8af8\u5982<a 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