{"id":310520,"date":"2019-12-19T16:30:59","date_gmt":"2019-12-20T00:30:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/?p=310520"},"modified":"2019-12-19T17:36:30","modified_gmt":"2019-12-20T01:36:30","slug":"%e9%8a%85-2020%e5%b9%b4-%e7%86%b1%e9%96%80-%e9%87%91%e5%b1%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/blog\/2019\/12\/%e9%8a%85-2020%e5%b9%b4-%e7%86%b1%e9%96%80-%e9%87%91%e5%b1%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\u9285\u5c07\u6210\u70ba2020\u5e74\u7684\u71b1\u9580\u91d1\u5c6c"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u7531\u65bc\u8207\u7d93\u6fdf\u9031\u671f\u5bc6\u5207\u76f8\u95dc\uff0c\u9285\u7d20\u4f86\u6709\u201c\u9285\u535a\u58eb\u201d\u7684\u7f8e\u8b7d\uff0c\u800c\u96a8\u8457\u5168\u7403\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u5fa9\u8607\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6578\u884c\u696d\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u9285\u50f9\u57282020\u5e74\u5c07\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u91d1\u5c6c\u9285\u5c07\u6210\u70ba\u660e\u5e74\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u4e2d\u7684\u71b1\u9580\u91d1\u5c6c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u964d\u606f\u9810\u671f\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u5c0e\u81f4\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u95dc\u4fc2\u7dca\u5f35\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u9285\u7926\u516c\u53f8\u4eca\u5e74\u6536\u7a6b\u9817\u8c50\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u65b0\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\u4f86\u81e8\u4e4b\u969b\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u4e5f\u64d4\u6182\u8cbf\u6613\u5a01\u8105\u4f7f\u57fa\u672c\u91d1\u5c6c\u7684\u5168\u7403\u9700\u6c42\u6e1b\u5f31\u3002<\/p>\n

Jefferies\u5206\u6790\u5e2bChristopher LaFemina\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u9700\u6c42\u56de\u6696\uff0c\u660e\u5e74\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe\u9006\u8f49\uff0c\u9285\u50f9\u5c07\u4e0a\u6f32\u3002\u4ed6\u5728\u7d66\u5ba2\u6236\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u5831\u544a\u4e2d\u5beb\u9053\uff0c\u4f4e\u5eab\u5b58\u3001\u7d2f\u7a4d\u7684\u7a7a\u982d\u982d\u5bf8\u3001\u4f9b\u61c9\u9650\u5236\u548c\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u70ba\u9285\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\u5275\u9020\u4e86\u689d\u4ef6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u540c\u6a23\u770b\u6f32\u9285\u50f9\u7684\u9084\u6709\u9ad8\u76db\u7684Jeffrey Currie\uff0c\u8a8d\u70ba\u9285\u50f9\u57282020\u5e74\u5c07\u8fce\u4f86\u62d0\u9ede\u3002\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u7684\u5176\u4ed6\u5e7e\u5927\u6295\u884c\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229\u3001\u7f8e\u570b\u9280\u884c\u548c\u82b1\u65d7\u4e5f\u90fd\u5c0d\u9285\u548c\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u6539\u5584\u62b1\u6709\u7a4d\u6975\u7684\u671f\u671b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b77\u53f2\u7d93\u9a57\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5728\u8cb4\u91d1\u5c6c\u8dd1\u8d0f\u5927\u5e02\u5f8c\uff0c\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\u57fa\u672c\u91d1\u5c6c\u516c\u53f8\u5c07\u8fce\u982d\u8d95\u4e0a\u3002\u6a19\u666e\/TSX\u5168\u7403\u57fa\u672c\u91d1\u5c6c\u6307\u6578(TXBE)\u57282016\u5e74\u843d\u5f8c\u65bc\u6a19\u666e\/TSX\u5168\u7403\u9ec3\u91d1\u6307\u6578(TXGE)\u5f8c\uff0c\u5f8c\u4f86\u57282017\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\u6642\u8d95\u4e0a\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u5c0d2020\u5e74\u9285\u7684\u524d\u666f\u662f\u6b63\u78ba\u7684\uff0c\u540c\u6a23\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u53ef\u80fd\u5f88\u5feb\u5c31\u6703\u5230\u4f86\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u5c0d\u65bc2020\u5e74\u91d1\u5c6c\u548c\u7926\u696d\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u9810\u6e2c\uff1a<\/p>\n

Jefferies<\/h3>\n

LaFemina\u5beb\u9053\uff0c\u8a72\u516c\u53f82020\u5e74\u6700\u770b\u597d\u9285\u7926\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u4f9b\u61c9\u91cf\u5c07\u7121\u6cd5\u6eff\u8db3\u201c\u751a\u81f3\u9069\u5ea6\u7684\u9031\u671f\u6027\u9700\u6c42\u5fa9\u8607\u201d\u3002\u9810\u8a08\u81ea\u7531\u6e2f\u9ea5\u514b\u83ab\u862d\u3001\u7b2c\u4e00\u91cf\u5b50\u548c\u5609\u80fd\u53ef\u90fd\u5c07\u53d7\u76ca\u65bc\u9285\u50f9\u7684\u56de\u5347\u3002\u81ea\u7531\u6e2f\u548c\u7b2c\u4e00\u91cf\u5b50\u662f\u4ed6\u7684\u9996\u9078\u3002\u9084\u9810\u8a08\u82f1\u7f8e\u8cc7\u6e90\u96c6\u5718\u3001\u6de1\u6c34\u6cb3\u8c37\u548c\u529b\u62d3\u7b49\u7cbe\u9078\u9435\u7926\u77f3\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u8868\u73fe\u5c07\u512a\u65bc\u5927\u5e02\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u50f9\u683c\u6709\u671b\u4fdd\u6301\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002\u8a72\u516c\u53f8\u5c0d\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u770b\u6f32\u6700\u70ba\u4fdd\u5b88\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9ad8\u76db<\/h3>\n

\u6839\u64da\u9ad8\u76db\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u5718\u968a\u7684\u8aaa\u6cd5\uff0c2020\u5e74\u201c\u9285\u662f\u6211\u5011\u6700\u770b\u6f32\u7684\u91d1\u5c6c\u201d\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u9285\u9700\u6c42\u4eca\u5e74\u53d7\u5230\u201c\u96fb\u7db2\u3001\u623f\u5730\u7522\u548c\u904b\u8f38\u884c\u696d\u8868\u73fe\u4e0d\u4f73\u201d\u7684\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u9019\u7a2e\u60c5\u6cc1\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u57282020\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u767c\u751f\u8b8a\u5316\u3002\u9ad8\u76db\u9810\u8a08\u672a\u4f86\u5169\u5e74\u7684\u5b8c\u5de5\u91cf\u5c07\u5f37\u52c1\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u623f\u5730\u7522\u884c\u696d\u5c07\u7e7c\u7e8c\u4fdd\u6301\u81ea8\u6708\u4ee5\u4f86\u7684\u7a4d\u6975\u614b\u52e2\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u653f\u5e9c\u57fa\u790e\u8a2d\u65bd\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\uff0c\u96fb\u7db2\u6295\u8cc7\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u57282020\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u5f37\u52c1\u589e\u9577\u3002\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u201c\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u6230\u7565\u5730\u4f4d\u201d\u4ecd\u7136\u5f88\u978f\u56fa\u3002<\/p>\n

\u82b1\u65d7<\/h3>\n

\u82b1\u65d7\u660e\u5e74\u6700\u770b\u597d\u6c27\u5316\u92c1\u3001\u9285\u548c\u7149\u7126\u7164\uff0c\u770b\u8dcc\u92c5\u548c\u9435\u7926\u77f3\u3002\u8a72\u884c\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u5c07\u53d7\u76ca\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u6eab\u548c\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u6539\u5584\u4f86\u81ea\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u4e2d\u671f\u4e5f\u770b\u597d\u9ec3\u91d1\u3002\u82b1\u65d7\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u8fd1\u671f\u4e0a\u8abf\u4e86\u6cf0\u514b\u8cc7\u6e90\u6709\u9650\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u8a55\u7d1a\u81f3\u8cb7\u5165\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u7149\u7126\u7164\u7684\u524d\u666f\u548c\u4f30\u503c\u63d0\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6469\u6839\u58eb\u4e39\u5229<\/h3>\n

\u5927\u6469\u7684\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u5718\u968a\u9810\u8a08\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u5230\u5e74\u5e95\u7684\u201c\u5c0f\u9031\u671f\u5fa9\u8607\u201d\uff0c\u9700\u6c42\u5c07\u57282020\u5e74\u6eab\u548c\u589e\u9577\u3002\u5927\u6469\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u770b\u597d\u5317\u7f8e\u7684\u63a1\u7926\u696d\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u6709\u9285\uff0c\u500b\u80a1\u4e2d\u770b\u597d\u81ea\u7531\u6e2f\u9ea5\u514b\u83ab\u862d\u548c\u6cf0\u514b\u8cc7\u6e90\u3002\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u770b\u8dcc\u92c1\u548c\u6c27\u5316\u92c1\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u8a8d\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u92c1\u696d\u57282020\u5e74\u6709\u4e0a\u6f32\u7a7a\u9593\u3002\u5927\u6469\u6700\u770b\u6f32\u7684\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u662f\u9237\u548c\u9285\uff0c\u4e0d\u770b\u597d\u9435\u7926\u77f3\u3001\u92f0\u548c\u92c5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u9280<\/h3>\n

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