{"id":358875,"date":"2020-11-23T23:55:12","date_gmt":"2020-11-24T07:55:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/?p=358875"},"modified":"2020-11-23T23:54:53","modified_gmt":"2020-11-24T07:54:53","slug":"%e6%8a%95%e8%b3%87-%e9%80%99%e4%b8%89%e9%9a%bb-%e9%87%91%e5%b1%ac%e8%82%a1-%e8%83%bd%e5%a4%a0-2021%e5%b9%b4-%e4%bf%9d%e9%a7%95-%e8%ad%b7%e8%88%aa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/blog\/2020\/11\/%e6%8a%95%e8%b3%87-%e9%80%99%e4%b8%89%e9%9a%bb-%e9%87%91%e5%b1%ac%e8%82%a1-%e8%83%bd%e5%a4%a0-2021%e5%b9%b4-%e4%bf%9d%e9%a7%95-%e8%ad%b7%e8%88%aa\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6295\u8cc7\u9019\u4e09\u96bb\u91d1\u5c6c\u80a1\u80fd\u5920\u70ba2021\u5e74\u4fdd\u99d5\u8b77\u822a"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u61c9\u8a72\u9084\u8a18\u61b6\u7336\u65b0\uff0c\u7576\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u57282018\u5e74\u8a66\u5716\u7d50\u675f\u91cf\u5316\u5bec\u9b06\u9031\u671f\u6642\uff0c\u7d50\u5c40\u662f\u4ee5\u5931\u6557\u544a\u7d42\u3002\u7576\u5e7412\u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9b91\u5a01\u723e(Jerome Powell)\u6c7a\u5b9a\u9806\u52e2\u800c\u70ba\uff0c\u5f9e\u52a0\u606f\u8f49\u5411\u5927\u5e45\u964d\u606f\u3002\u9019\u5c0d\u91d1\u5c6c\u80a1\u7522\u751f\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u7a4d\u6975\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u4eca\u5929\u6211\u5011\u8981\u8a0e\u8ad6\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u65b9\u9762\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2020\u5e74\u5145\u6eff\u4e86\u5404\u7a2e\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u610f\u5916\uff0c\u4f46\u78ba\u5be6\u4f7f\u4e00\u4e9b\u8cc7\u7522\u985e\u5225\u53d7\u76ca\u3002\u5168\u7403\u6027\u7684\u75c5\u6bd2\u707d\u96e3\u63a8\u52d5\u4e86\u91d1\u5c6c\u80a1\u548c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e63\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u53cd\u5f48\u3002\u9ec3\u91d1\u548c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e63\u6700\u7d42\u7a81\u7834\u4e86\u4ee5\u524d\u7684\u5931\u6557\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4ee4\u61f7\u7591\u8005\u555e\u53e3\u7121\u8a00\u3002\u4eca\u5929\u6211\u5011\u6311\u9078\u51fa\u4e86\u9019\u4e00\u4e3b\u984c\u4e0b\u7684\u4e09\u96bb\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u90fd\u8207\u9ec3\u91d1\u6216\u591a\u6216\u5c11\u7684\u6709\u4e9b\u95dc\u4fc2\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9ec3\u91d1\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u7372\u5229\u5f88\u5927\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u8981\u6b78\u529f\u65bc\u592e\u884c\u3002\u5404\u570b\u8ca8\u5e63\u7684\u7af6\u76f8\u63a2\u5e95\u5f15\u767c\u4e86\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u5c0d\u6301\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u8cc7\u7522\u985e\u5225\u7684\u6050\u614c\u3002\u75ab\u60c5\u7206\u767c\u5f8c\uff0c\u73fe\u91d1\u53ef\u4ee5\u8aaa\u662f\u88ab\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u548c\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7b49\u6a5f\u69cb\u627c\u6bba\uff0c\u8feb\u4f7f\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u5c0b\u6c42\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u50f9\u503c\u5132\u85cf\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u9806\u52e2\u4e0a\u6f32\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5373\u4fbf\u662f\u5728\u91d1\u50f9\u5275\u51fa\u6b77\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4e5f\u66fe\u63d0\u9192\u904e\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u4e00\u500b\u4e8b\u5be6\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u73fe\u91d1\u6b63\u5728\u6d88\u4ea1\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u9700\u8981\u4e00\u7a2e\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u4f86\u5132\u5b58\u50f9\u503c\u3002\u9019\u4e00\u9ede\u73fe\u5728\u66f4\u52a0\u660e\u986f\u4e86\u3002\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u4e0d\u6703\u505c\u6b62\u5370\u9214\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u4ed6\u5011\u7121\u6cd5\u7528\u50b3\u7d71\u6a19\u6e96\u8861\u91cf\u4e0d\u65b7\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u901a\u8139\uff0c\u76f8\u53cd\u53ea\u6703\u66f4\u52a0\u6fc0\u9032\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c31\u7b97\u662f\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u50f9\u683c\u6307\u6578(CPI)\u4ecd\u7136\u8868\u660e\u6c92\u6709\u901a\u8139\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u5011\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u90fd\u77e5\u9053\u901a\u8139\u78ba\u5be6\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u4e8b\u5be6\u4e0a\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u5df2\u7d93\u5230\u4e86\u975e\u5e38\u56b4\u91cd\u7684\u5730\u6b65\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u7684\u8861\u91cf\u6a19\u5c3a\u537b\u767c\u63ee\u4e0d\u4e86\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u57fa\u65bc\u5404\u570b\u592e\u884c\u9677\u5165\u91cf\u5316\u5bec\u9b06\u7121\u9650\u5faa\u74b0\u7684\u5047\u8a2d\uff0c\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u4e00\u4e9b\u975e\u5e38\u503c\u5f97\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u95dc\u6ce8\u7684\u91d1\u5c6c\u80a1\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>SPDR Gold Shares<\/strong>(NYSEARCA:<a href=\"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/%e8%82%a1%e7%a5%a8%e6%9f%a5%e8%a9%a2\/?qm_symbol=GLD\"><strong>GLD<\/strong><\/a>)<\/li>\n<li><strong>VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF<\/strong>(NYSEARCA:<a href=\"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/%e8%82%a1%e7%a5%a8%e6%9f%a5%e8%a9%a2\/?qm_symbol=GDX\"><strong>GDX<\/strong><\/a>)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Freeport-McMoRan<\/strong>(NYSE:<a href=\"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/%e8%82%a1%e7%a5%a8%e6%9f%a5%e8%a9%a2\/?qm_symbol=FCX\"><strong>FCX<\/strong><\/a>)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u5230\u4eca\u5929\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u5df2\u7d93\u53ef\u4ee5\u5fcd\u53d7\u9577\u671f\u6301\u6709\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u5c07GDX\u7684\u80a1\u50f9\u63a8\u5f97\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002\u8207\u6b64\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u9285\u50f9\u7684\u9019\u4e00\u6ce2\u6f32\u52e2\u53ef\u80fd\u66ab\u6642\u5230\u982d\u4e86\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u61c9\u8a72\u5373\u4f7f\u7372\u5229\u4e86\u7d50\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)<\/h3>\n<p>\u9ec3\u91d1\u5f9e\u53e4\u81f3\u4eca\u53d7\u4eba\u559c\u611b\u3002\u5e7e\u5341\u5e74\u4f86\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u52aa\u529b\u5c0b\u627e\u91d1\u7926\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u70ba\u4e86\u958b\u63a1\u9ec3\u91d1\u4e0d\u60dc\u63a1\u53d6\u4e00\u4e9b\u6975\u7aef\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u3002\u6709\u4e9b\u4eba\u64c1\u6709\u9ec3\u91d1\u56e0\u70ba\u89ba\u5f97\u6709\u50f9\u503c\uff0c\u4f46\u5927\u591a\u6578\u4eba\u559c\u6b61\u9ec3\u91d1\u56e0\u70ba\u5b83\u5920\u9583\u8000\u3002\u4f46\u5be6\u7269\u9ec3\u91d1\u7121\u8ad6\u662f\u8cfc\u8cb7\u9084\u662f\u5132\u5b58\u90fd\u4e0d\u65b9\u4fbf\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u597d\u5728\u6211\u5011\u6709\u50cfGLD\u9019\u6a23\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u4ea4\u6613\u57fa\u91d1\u3002\u4f5c\u70ba\u57fa\u91d1\uff0c\u5b83\u4ea4\u6613\u8d77\u4f86\u975e\u5e38\u4fbf\u6377\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u662f\u4ee5\u5be6\u7269\u9ec3\u91d1\u70ba\u4f9d\u8a17\u7684\uff0c\u7dca\u8ddf\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u8d70\u52e2\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u6709\u5f88\u5f37\u7684\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p>GLD\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u57282011\u5e74\u9054\u5230\u9802\u5cf0\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u9677\u5165\u4e86\u9577\u905410\u5e74\u7684\u51b7\u6e05\u3002\u76f4\u5230\u4eca\u5e74\u91d1\u50f9\u5275\u4e0b\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u624d\u5e36\u52d5GLD\u50f9\u683c\u4e00\u8def\u4e0a\u6f32\u3002\u7576\u7136\uff0c\u9019\u80cc\u5f8c\u7684\u4ee3\u50f9\u662f\u4e00\u5834\u5e2d\u6372\u5168\u7403\u7684\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u548c\u5404\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u6975\u7aef\u6fc0\u9032\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u74b0\u5883\u5f9e\u5169\u500b\u65b9\u9762\u5c0e\u81f4\u4e86\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u4e0a\u6f32\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u548c\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u884c\u52d5\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u73fe\u91d1\u7684\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u5c0b\u6c42\u9ec3\u91d1\u907f\u96aa\u3002\u4f46\u8207\u6b64\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4e5f\u770b\u5230\u98a8\u96aa\u80a1\u7968\u6253\u7834\u7d00\u9304\u3002\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u5728\u7dca\u5f35\u4e0d\u5b89\u7684\u540c\u6642\u4e5f\u901a\u904e\u9ec3\u91d1\u4ee5\u5c0b\u6c42\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u842c\u4e00\u80a1\u5e02\u5d29\u76e4\uff0c\u6301\u6709\u9ec3\u91d1\u53ef\u4ee5\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u907f\u98a8\u6e2f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>GLD\u7684\u547d\u904b\u73fe\u5728\u638c\u63e1\u5728\u591a\u982d\u624b\u4e2d\u3002\u53ea\u8981\u80fd\u4fdd\u6301\u5728155\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u5c31\u6703\u7e7c\u7e8c\u4e0a\u6f32\u3002\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u6703\u51fa\u73fe\u56de\u8abf\uff0c\u4f46\u50f9\u683c\u80af\u5b9a\u64fa\u812b\u4e0d\u4e86\u4e8b\u5be6\u3002\u52a0\u4e0a\u9ec3\u91d1\u672c\u8eab\u5f88\u7a00\u6709\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u958b\u63a1\u96e3\u5ea6\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u5927\u3002\u518d\u6709\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u9019\u9ebc\u591a\u7c89\u7d72\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6295\u8cc7GLD\u5c31\u7b49\u65bc\u64c1\u6709\u4e86\u4e00\u500b\u9577\u671f\u7684\u52dd\u5229\u7d44\u5408\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX)<\/h3>\n<p>\u6240\u6709\u6295\u8cc7\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u908f\u8f2f\u4e5f\u90fd\u9069\u7528\u65bcGDX 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