{"id":381315,"date":"2021-05-06T17:01:31","date_gmt":"2021-05-07T00:01:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/?p=381315"},"modified":"2021-05-06T17:01:31","modified_gmt":"2021-05-07T00:01:31","slug":"%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e8%88%87%e9%bb%83%e9%87%91-%e9%97%9c%e4%bf%82-%e9%a2%a8%e9%9a%aa-%e6%a9%9f%e6%9c%83","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/blog\/2021\/05\/%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e8%88%87%e9%bb%83%e9%87%91-%e9%97%9c%e4%bf%82-%e9%a2%a8%e9%9a%aa-%e6%a9%9f%e6%9c%83\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5229\u7387\u8207\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u95dc\u4fc2\uff1a\u65e2\u662f\u98a8\u96aa\u4e5f\u662f\u6a5f\u6703\uff08\u4e0a\uff09"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u5229\u7387\u8207\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u95dc\u4fc2\u975e\u5e38\u8907\u96dc\uff0c\u4f46\u5c31\u904e\u53bb\u5169\u5e74\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u8d70\u52e2\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u5229\u7387\u6240\u4e3b\u5c0e\u30022020\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u5927\u6f3225%\uff0c\u540c\u671f\u5229\u7387\u4e0b\u6ed1\u5e77\u89f8\u53ca\u6b77\u53f2\u4f4e\u9ede\u3002\u4f46\u5230\u4e862021\u5e74\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u9ec3\u91d1\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u9ec3\u91d1\u98fe\u54c1\u548c\u91d1\u689d\u91d1\u5e63\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u5df2\u7d93\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u4f46\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u5374\u662f\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u9a45\u52d5\u56e0\u7d20\u5c31\u662f\u5168\u7403\u56fa\u5b9a\u6536\u76ca\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u5229\u7387\u51fa\u73fe\u5927\u5e45\u6500\u5347\uff08<a href=\"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/blog\/2021\/05\/%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e8%88%87%e9%bb%83%e9%87%91-%e9%97%9c%e4%bf%82-%e9%a2%a8%e9%9a%aa-%e6%a9%9f%e6%9c%83-2\/\">\u5229\u7387\u8207\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u95dc\u4fc2\uff1a\u65e2\u662f\u98a8\u96aa\u4e5f\u662f\u6a5f\u6703\uff08\u4e0b\uff09<\/a>\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u9a45\u52d5\u529b\u662f\u7d93\u6fdf\u74b0\u5883\u7684\u6539\u5584\u4ee5\u53ca\u901a\u8139\u9810\u671f\u7684\u62ac\u5347\u3002\u5118\u7ba1\u5f9e\u77ed\u671f\u770b\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u5c0d\u9ec3\u91d1\u4e0d\u5229\uff0c\u4f46\u9ec3\u91d1\u4f9d\u7136\u662f\u6230\u7565\u6027\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u7d44\u6210\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u7406\u7531\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u74b0\u5883\u5e77\u4e0d\u7e3d\u662f\u5c0e\u81f4\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u8868\u73fe\u4e0d\u4f73<\/li>\n<li>\u901a\u8139\u7387\u548c\/\u6216\u8ca8\u5e63\u4f9b\u61c9\u91cf\u7684\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u62b5\u6d88\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u6240\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u8ca0\u9762\u5f71\u97ff<\/li>\n<li>\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u91c7\u53d6\u53e6\u985e\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u5de5\u5177\u9650\u5236\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u8ca0\u9762\u5f71\u97ff<\/li>\n<li>\u77ed\u671f\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\u901a\u904e\u964d\u4f4e\u9810\u671f\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u548c\/\u6216\u589e\u52a0\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u5c0e\u81f4\u8cc7\u672c\u914d\u7f6e\u7b56\u7565\u767c\u751f\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u8f49\u8b8a<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-381299 lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/1-1620283079995.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1098\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/1-1620283079995.png 1920w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/1-1620283079995-300x172.png 300w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/1-1620283079995-1024x586.png 1024w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/1-1620283079995-768x439.png 768w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/1-1620283079995-1536x878.png 1536w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/1-1620283079995-800x458.png 800w\" data-sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1920px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 1920\/1098;\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u5c0d\u9ec3\u91d1\u69cb\u6210\u77ed\u671f\u4e0d\u5229<\/h2>\n<p>\u51b3\u5b9a\u91d1\u50f9\u8d70\u52e2\u7684\u56db\u5927\u9a45\u52d5\u529b\u4e4b\u4e00\u662f\u6301\u6709\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u9ad8\u7968\u606f\u6216\u9ad8\u80a1\u606f\u6703\u964d\u4f4e\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u5438\u5f15\u529b\uff0c\u9019\u5c0d\u8981\u6c42\u7a69\u5b9a\u6536\u76ca\u6d41\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u66f4\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u4e0d\u6d3e\u767c\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u201c\u6536\u76ca\u201d\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u5728\u4e8e\u9ec3\u91d1\u6c92\u6709\u4ea4\u6613\u5c0d\u624b\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u4efb\u4f55\u4eba\u7684\u8ca0\u50b5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u591a\u5e74\u4f86\u5229\u7387\u4e00\u76f4\u5448\u73fe\u4e0b\u884c\u8da8\u52e2\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u908f\u8f2f\u4e5f\u56e0\u6b64\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u5f3a\u3002\u5118\u7ba1\u6700\u8fd1\u570b\u50b5\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4f46\u5f88\u591a\u540d\u7fa9\u5229\u7387\u4f9d\u7136\u662f\u8ca0\u7684\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u6240\u6709\u767c\u9054\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u4e3b\u6b0a\u50b5\u6263\u9664\u7269\u50f9\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u5be6\u969b\u5229\u7387\u4e5f\u662f\u8ca0\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u904e\u53bb\u6578\u5341\u5e74\u4f86\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u540d\u7fa9\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u7684\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0b\u884c\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u8207\u570b\u50b5\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u76f8\u95dc\u6027\u57fa\u672c\u8655\u4e8e\u8ca0\u503c\u5340\u9593\uff0c\u4f46\u6700\u8fd1\u51fa\u73fe\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u8207\u6b64\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u80a1\u5e02\u4f30\u503c\u7684\u9ad8\u4f01\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u80a1\u606f\u7387\u4e5f\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u671f\u9593\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u57fa\u672c\u662f\u4e0a\u6f32\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-381302 lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/2-1620288469737.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1098\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/2-1620288469737.png 1920w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/2-1620288469737-300x172.png 300w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/2-1620288469737-1024x586.png 1024w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/2-1620288469737-768x439.png 768w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/2-1620288469737-1536x878.png 1536w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/2-1620288469737-800x458.png 800w\" data-sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1920px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 1920\/1098;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u9ec3\u91d1\u8207\u5229\u7387\u548c\u8ca8\u5e63\u50f9\u503c\u7684\u5bc6\u5207\u95dc\u4fc2\u4e0d\u662f\u6700\u8fd1\u624d\u51fa\u73fe\u7684\u73fe\u8c61\u3002\u77ed\u671f\u9ec3\u91d1\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u5206\u6790\u986f\u793a\uff0c2000\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u8207\u8ca8\u5e63\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\u4e00\u8cab\u5448\u8ca0\u76f8\u95dc\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u767c\u9054\u570b\u5bb6\u5e02\u5834\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u5c0d\u5229\u7387\u7684\u654f\u611f\u6027\u5728\u901a\u8139\u9810\u671f\u52a0\u5287\u671f\u9593\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u8aaa2008\u5e74\uff0c2012\u5e74\u548c2020\u5e74\u4e5f\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002\u7a76\u5176\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u66f4\u52a0\u95dc\u6ce8\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u592e\u884c\u7684\u884c\u52d5\u6216\u524d\u77bb\u6027\u6307\u5f15\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-381305 lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/3-1620288798821.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1098\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/3-1620288798821.png 1920w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/3-1620288798821-300x172.png 300w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/3-1620288798821-1024x586.png 1024w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/3-1620288798821-768x439.png 768w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/3-1620288798821-1536x878.png 1536w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/3-1620288798821-800x458.png 800w\" data-sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1920px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 1920\/1098;\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\uff08\u66f4\u9ad8\uff09\u5229\u7387\u5e77\u4e0d\u5fc5\u7136\u5c0e\u81f4\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u8d70\u5f31<\/h2>\n<p>\u5118\u7ba1\u5229\u7387\u6700\u8fd1\u5feb\u901f\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u8655\u4e8e\u6b77\u53f2\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u5e77\u4e14\u767c\u9054\u570b\u5bb6\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u5be6\u969b\u5229\u7387\u591a\u6578\u90fd\u662f\u8ca0\u7684\u3002\u5206\u6790\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5be6\u969b\u5229\u7387\u9700\u8981\u5347\u81f32.5%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u624d\u6703\u5c0d\u9ec3\u91d1\u9020\u6210\u9577\u671f\u7684\u8ca0\u9762\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u5118\u7ba1\u7576\u524d\u7684\u5be6\u969b\u5229\u7387\u4f4e\u4e8e\u96f6\uff0c\u4f46\u54110-2.5%\u5340\u9593\u56de\u6b78\u7684\u904e\u7a0b\u6703\u65bd\u58d3\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u5be6\u969b\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u96e2\u9577\u671f\u5747\u503c\u76846.1%\u4e5f\u4e0d\u6703\u592a\u9060\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u5229\u7387\u4e0b\u884c\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u884c\u7121\u7591\u5c0d\u9ec3\u91d1\u66f4\u7232\u4e0d\u5229\uff0c\u4f46\u9ec3\u91d1\u5728\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u74b0\u5883\u4e0b\u4ecd\u80fd\u591f\u63d0\u4f9b\u6b63\u7684\u5be6\u969b\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd1\u671f\u5229\u7387\u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\u767c\u751f\u5728\u901a\u8139\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5229\u7387\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u53ea\u662f\u540d\u7fa9\u5c64\u9762\u4e0a\u7684\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4e0a\u4e16\u7d0090\u5e74\u4ee3\u4e2d\u671f\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u7684\u901a\u8139\u653f\u7b56\u90fd\u570d\u7e5e2%\u5de6\u53f3\u7684\u76ee\u6a19\u5c55\u958b\uff0c\u9019\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e86\u51cf\u8f15\u4e86\u540d\u7fa9\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u7576\u524d\u57fa\u6578\u5c31\u5f88\u4f4e\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u5c24\u5176\u5982\u6b64\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u8868\u4e00\uff1a\u9ec3\u91d1\u5728\u4e2d\u7b49\u5be6\u969b\u548c\u540d\u7fa9\u5229\u7387\u74b0\u5883\u4e0b\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9577\u671f\u5747\u503c<\/h3>\n<p>\u4e0d\u540c\u5229\u7387\u74b0\u5883\u4e0b\u7684\u9ec3\u91d1\u5e73\u5747\u6536\u76ca\u7387*<\/p>\n<table width=\"552\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>\u5e74\u5316\u540d\u7fa9\u6536\u76ca\u7387<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>\u5e74\u5316\u5be6\u969b\u6536\u76ca\u7387<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u7d55\u5c0d\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u6240\u6709\u6c34\u5e73<\/td>\n<td><strong>7.90%<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>3.90%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u8ca0\u5229\u7387<\/td>\n<td>19.30%<\/td>\n<td>11.40%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u4e2d\u7b49 (0-2.5%)<\/td>\n<td>9.30%<\/td>\n<td>6.10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u9ad8\u7b49 (\u5927\u4e8e2.5%)<\/td>\n<td>2.70%<\/td>\n<td>-0.60%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u5229\u7387\u65b9\u5411<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u4e0b\u884c<\/td>\n<td>6.86%<\/td>\n<td>4.33%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a<\/td>\n<td>10.54%<\/td>\n<td>6.84%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u4e0a\u884c<\/td>\n<td>5.07%<\/td>\n<td>-1.34%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>*1970\u5e741\u670831\u65e5\u81f32021\u5e743\u670831\u65e5\u3002\u5229\u7387\u74b0\u5883\u7684\u5206\u985e\u6a19\u6e96\u662f\u7f8e\u570b10\u5e74\u671f\u5229\u7387\u6536\u76ca\u7387\uff08US 10-year interest rate yield\uff09<\/p>\n<h2>\u901a\u8139\u5f15\u767c\u7684\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u53ef\u80fd\u5229\u597d\u9ec3\u91d1<\/h2>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u901a\u8139\u771f\u7684\u51fa\u73fe\u6578\u5341\u5e74\u4f86\u672a\u66fe\u51fa\u73fe\u7684\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u63da\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u5c31\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7a81\u78342.5%\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u6301\u6709\u80a1\u7968\u7b49\u98a8\u96aa\u8cc7\u7523\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u6210\u672c\u5c31\u6703\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u98a8\u96aa\u8cc7\u7523\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u4f5c\u7232\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u8ca2\u737b\u8005\u7684\u50f9\u503c\u5c31\u6703\u9ad4\u73fe\u51fa\u4f86\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u901a\u8139\u5468\u671f\u524d\u7684\u5e7e\u500b\u6708\u7684\u6642\u9593\u88cf\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u985e\u4f3c\u7576\u524d\u7684\u201c\u901a\u8ca8\u518d\u81a8\u8139\u201d\u671f\u9593\u2014\u2014\u7d93\u6fdf\u6062\u5fa9\u589e\u9577\u540c\u6642\u901a\u8139\u7387\u548c\u5229\u7387\u4e5f\u4e0a\u5347\u2014\u2014\u5176\u4ed6\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u8868\u73fe\u5728\u524d\u516d\u500b\u6708\u512a\u4e8e\u9ec3\u91d1\uff0c\u4f46\u5230\u7b2c\u4e8c\u548c\u7b2c\u4e09\u5e74\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5176\u4ed6\u677f\u584a\u548c\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u3002\u7576\u524d\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u74b0\u5883\u662f\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u8a66\u5716\u7dad\u6301\u5be6\u969b\u5229\u7387\u76f8\u5c0d\u56fa\u5b9a\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u672a\u4f86\u901a\u8139\u524d\u666f\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u4e00\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u7279\u5fb5\u652f\u6301\u9ec3\u91d1\u5728\u81f3\u5c11\u4e2d\u671f\u7684\u901a\u8139\u5c0d\u6c96\u7b56\u7565\u4e2d\u7684\u50f9\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img 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