{"id":401401,"date":"2021-10-18T00:21:00","date_gmt":"2021-10-18T07:21:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/blog\/2021\/10\/%e4%bb%80%e4%b9%88%e6%98%af%e7%86%8a%e5%b8%82bear-market-%e6%8a%95%e8%b5%84%e8%80%85-%e6%80%8e%e4%b9%88%e5%8a%9e\/"},"modified":"2021-11-22T09:34:11","modified_gmt":"2021-11-22T17:34:11","slug":"%e4%bb%80%e9%ba%bd%e6%98%af%e7%86%8a%e5%b8%82bear-market-%e6%8a%95%e8%b3%87%e8%80%85-%e6%80%8e%e9%ba%bd%e8%be%a6%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/blog\/2021\/10\/%e4%bb%80%e9%ba%bd%e6%98%af%e7%86%8a%e5%b8%82bear-market-%e6%8a%95%e8%b3%87%e8%80%85-%e6%80%8e%e9%ba%bd%e8%be%a6%ef%bc%9f\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4ec0\u9ebd\u662f\u718a\u5e02\uff08Bear Market\uff09\uff1f\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u906d\u9047\u718a\u5e02\u61c9\u8a72\u600e\u9ebd\u8fa6\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u7121\u8ad6\u662f\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u9084\u662f\u4e0a\u5e02\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u6050\u6015\u807d\u5230\u718a\u5e02\u9019\u500b\u8a5e\u53ef\u80fd\u90fd\u6703\u5fc3\u88cf\u72af\u6035\u3002\u718a\u5e02\u6703\u52d5\u6416\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u5f15\u767c\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u7684\u6050\u614c\u60c5\u7dd2\uff0c\u62d6\u7d2f\u80a1\u7968\u50f9\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u9032\u800c\u5c0e\u81f4\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u4ee5\u6975\u4f4e\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u62cb\u552e\u624b\u4e2d\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f46\u4e8b\u5be6\u4e0a\uff0c\u718a\u5e02\u4e5f\u6c92\u6709\u90a3\u9ebd\u53ef\u6015\u3002\u90a3\u9ebd\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u61c9\u7576\u5982\u4f55\u61c9\u5c0d\u718a\u5e02\uff1f\u9762\u5c0d\u718a\u5e02\uff0c\u5176\u5be6\u8ddf\u4f60\u5728\u68ee\u6797\u88cf\u9047\u5230\u718a\u7684\u61c9\u5c0d\u7b56\u7565\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u4e0d\u8981\u7b49\u5230\u9047\u898b\u718a\u624d\u53bb\u60f3\u61c9\u5c0d\u4e4b\u7b56\u3002\u53e6\u5916\u8a18\u4f4f\u4e00\u9ede\uff0c\u4e0d\u8981\u770b\u898b\u718a\u5c31\u8dd1\u3002\u718a\u5e02\u4e5f\u662f\u4e00\u6a23\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u4ec0\u9ebd\u662f\u718a\u5e02\uff1f<\/h2>\n

\u5728\u4e00\u6bb5\u6642\u671f\u5167\uff08\u901a\u5e38\u4e0d\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5169\u500b\u6708\uff09\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u54c1\u50f9\u683c\u5982\u679c\u4e0b\u8dcc20%\u53ca\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u5c31\u53eb\u505a\u718a\u5e02<\/a>\u3002\u718a\u5e02\u901a\u5e38\u767c\u751f\u5728\u91cd\u5927\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u8aaa\u6295\u6a5f\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u6ec5\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u662f\u75ab\u60c5\u8086\u8650\u7b49\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6467\u6bc0\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u5c0d\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u5f15\u767c\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u62cb\u552e\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u98a8\u96aa\u504f\u597d\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u666e\u904d\u7684\u60b2\u89c0\u60c5\u7dd2\u3002<\/p>\n

\u901a\u5e38\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u718a\u5e02\u6307\u7684\u662f\u6574\u500b\u5e02\u5834\u4e0b\u8dcc20%\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u500b\u80a1\uff0c\u884c\u696d\u4ee5\u53ca\u677f\u584a\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u5982\u679c\u8dcc\u5f97\u6df1\uff0c\u4e5f\u6703\u9032\u5165\u718a\u5e02\u5340\u9593\u3002<\/p>\n

\u718a\u5e02\u662f\u5e02\u5834\u8abf\u6574\u55ce\uff1f<\/h2>\n

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\u718a\u5e02\u662f\u8870\u9000\u55ce\uff1f<\/h2>\n

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\u718a\u5e02\u548c\u725b\u5e02<\/h2>\n

\u718a\u5e02\u548c\u725b\u5e02\u6b63\u597d\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u76f8\u8f03\u8fd1\u671f\u4f4e\u9ede\u4e0a\u6f3220%\u53ca\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5c31\u662f\u725b\u5e02\u3002\u725b\u5e02\u7576\u4e2d\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u7a69\u5065\uff0c\u5c31\u696d\u7387\u9ad8\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u8cb7\u5165\u66f4\u591a\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u627f\u64d4\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u5e77\u4e14\u901a\u5e38\u611f\u5230\u66f4\u52a0\u6a02\u89c0\u3002\u5f9e\u6b77\u53f2\u7d93\u9a57\u770b\uff0c\u725b\u5e02\u6301\u7e8c\u6642\u9593\u9577\u4e8e\u718a\u5e02\u3002\u4e00\u822c\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u51fa\u73fe\u718a\u5e02\uff0c\u725b\u5e02\u4e5f\u5c31\u4e0d\u9060\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5982\u4f55\u5229\u7528\u718a\u5e02\uff1f<\/h2>\n

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1. \u4e0d\u8981\u6050\u614c\u6027\u8ce3\u51fa<\/h3>\n

\u8001\u5be6\u8aaa\uff0c\u770b\u8457\u81ea\u5df1\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u7684\u50f9\u503c\u5728\u77ed\u6642\u9593\u5167\u5927\u5e45\u7e2e\u6c34\u78ba\u5be6\u5f88\u96e3\u53d7\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u9019\u4e9b\u6295\u8cc7\u9084\u5bc4\u6258\u4e86\u4f60\u7684\u9000\u4f11\u5922\u60f3\u7684\u6642\u5019\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4eba\u5011\u7684\u672c\u80fd\u53cd\u61c9\u5c31\u662f\u8ce3\u51fa\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u8667\u640d\u3002\u4f46\u9084\u662f\u8981\u5f3a\u8abf\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4e0d\u8981\u6050\u614c\u6027\u8ce3\u51fa\uff0c\u5426\u5247\u4f60\u53ea\u662f\u9396\u5b9a\u4e86\u81e8\u6642\u7684\u8667\u640d\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u8981\u6709\u5927\u5c40\u89c0\uff0c\u4e0d\u8981\u8b93\u6050\u614c\u60c5\u7dd2\u4e3b\u5c0e\u4e86\u4f60\u7684\u7406\u667a\u3002<\/p>\n

2. \u5c0f\u5fc3\u9ad8\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7b56\u7565<\/h3>\n

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\u8ce3\u7a7a\u80a1\u7968<\/h4>\n

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\u4fdd\u8b49\u91d1\u8cb7\u5165\u80a1\u7968<\/h4>\n

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3. \u5982\u679c\u53ef\u4ee5\uff0c\u8cb7\u5165\u512a\u8cea\u80a1<\/h3>\n

\u718a\u5e02\u8cb7\u5165\u80a1\u7968\u5c31\u50cf\u662f\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7bc0\u5047\u65e5\u5f8c\u7684\u7bc0\u5047\u65e5\u5546\u54c1\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u6771\u897f\u90fd\u662f\u5927\u7529\u8ce3\u3002\u80a1\u50f9\u8dcc\u5230\u4e86\u5730\u677f\u50f9\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u4e00\u751f\u53ea\u6b64\u4e00\u6b21\u7684\u4f4e\u50f9\u8cb7\u5165\u512a\u8cea\u80a1<\/a>\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\uff0c\u4f46\u524d\u63d0\u662f\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u6c92\u6709\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4f60\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u73fe\u91d1\u3002<\/p>\n

4. \u6301\u7e8c\u6295\u8cc7<\/h3>\n

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\u5b9a\u6295\u4e0d\u50c5\u7c21\u4fbf\u6613\u884c\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f88\u597d\u5730\u6291\u5236\u6211\u5011\u64c7\u6642\u7684\u885d\u52d5\u3002\u8d8a\u662f\u60f3\u6284\u5e95\uff0c\u8d8a\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u8667\u640d\u3002\u6211\u5011\u4e0d\u50c5\u53ef\u4ee5\u990a\u6210\u6301\u7e8c\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u597d\u7fd2\u6163\uff0c\u718a\u5e02\u4e2d\u9084\u80fd\u4ee5\u66f4\u5c11\u7684\u8cc7\u91d1\u8cb7\u5165\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u3002<\/p>\n

5. \u4fdd\u6301\u9577\u9060\u7684\u8996\u91ce<\/h3>\n

\u6700\u5f8c\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u8981\u8a18\u4f4f\u4e00\u9ede\uff0c\u718a\u5e02\u6301\u7e8c\u6642\u9593\u8981\u9060\u9060\u77ed\u4e8e\u725b\u5e02\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\u725b\u5e02\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e5f\u8981\u9ad8\u4e8e\u718a\u5e02\u7684\u8667\u640d\u3002\u5230\u6700\u5f8c\uff0c\u6253\u6557\u718a\u5e02\u7684\u90fd\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u7121\u8ad6\u77ed\u671f\u8667\u640d\u5982\u4f55\u5687\u4eba\u90fd\u80fd\u5805\u6301\u9577\u7dab\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fce\u63a5\u4e0b\u4e00\u500b\u718a\u5e02\uff0c\u4f60\u9700\u8981\u505a\u597d\u54ea\u4e9b\u6e96\u5099\uff1f<\/h2>\n

\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b21\u718a\u5e02\u5c07\u4f55\u6642\u5230\u4f86\uff1f\u6211\u5011\u7121\u5f9e\u5f97\u77e5\uff0c\u4f46\u4f60\u80fd\u505a\u7684\u5c31\u662f\u5f3a\u5316\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u718a\u5e02\u524d\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u8981\u505a\u76843\u500b\u6e96\u5099\u52d5\u4f5c\uff1a<\/p>\n

1. \u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u500b\u61c9\u6025\u57fa\u91d1<\/h3>\n

\u718a\u5e02\u5230\u4f86\u6642\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u6703\u4f34\u96a8\u8457\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u751a\u81f3\u662f\u5168\u7403\u7bc4\u570d\u5167\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e0b\u884c\u3002\u4f60\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u5931\u696d\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u7834\u7523\uff0c\u64d4\u5fc3\u9019\u64d4\u5fc3\u90a3\u3002\u7121\u8ad6\u51fa\u73fe\u4ec0\u9ebd\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u61c9\u6025\u57fa\u91d1\uff0c\u4f60\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u4fdd\u6301\u6de1\u5b9a\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u7528\u51fa\u4e8e\u7121\u5948\u800c\u8ce3\u51fa\u80a1\u7968\u3002\u4e00\u822c\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u61c9\u6025\u57fa\u91d1\u7684\u8cc7\u91d1\u898f\u6a21\u8981\u80fd\u6eff\u8db3\u4f603\u52306\u500b\u6708\u7684\u958b\u652f\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

2. \u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u591a\u5143\u5316<\/h3>\n

\u4e5f\u8a31\u6c92\u6709\u4e00\u5bb6\u516c\u53f8\u8eb2\u5f97\u4e86\u718a\u5e02\uff0c\u4f46\u53d7\u5f71\u97ff\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0d\u4e00\u3002\u6709\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u5143\u6c23\u5927\u50b7\uff0c\u6709\u7684\u53ea\u662f\u50b7\u53ca\u76ae\u6bdb\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6709\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u9084\u80fd\u53d7\u76ca\u4e8e\u718a\u5e02\u3002\u6211\u5011\u7121\u6cd5\u9810\u6e2c\u8ab0\u6703\u5012\u9ef4\uff0c\u8ab0\u6703\u53d7\u76ca\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u6700\u597d\u7684\u9632\u79a6\u5c31\u662f\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u7684\u591a\u5143\u5316\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u6295\u8cc7\u591a\u500b\u884c\u696d\u548c\u677f\u584a\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u516c\u53f8\u3002\u5206\u6563\u6295\u8cc7\u53ef\u80fd\u7121\u6cd5\u907f\u514d\u8667\u640d\uff0c\u4f46\u81f3\u5c11\u53ef\u4ee5\u9650\u5236\u500b\u80a1\u6216\u884c\u696d\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/p>\n

3. \u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u7684\u5e73\u8861<\/h3>\n

\u6700\u5f8c\uff0c\u8cc7\u7523\u914d\u7f6e\u4e5f\u8981\u5408\u7406\u5747\u8861\uff0c\u4f4e\u98a8\u96aa\u8cc7\u7523\uff08\u6bd4\u5982\u8aaa\u50b5\u5238\uff09\u61c9\u8a72\u6295\u591a\u5c11\uff1f\u9ad8\u98a8\u96aa\u8cc7\u7523\uff08\u80a1\u7968\uff09\u61c9\u8a72\u6295\u591a\u5c11\uff1f\u76f8\u6bd4\u5168\u90e8\u6295\u8cc7\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u901a\u904e\u9019\u5169\u985e\u8cc7\u7523\u5e73\u8861\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u6f5c\u5728\u8667\u640d\u4e5f\u6703\u5c0f\u5f97\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7121\u8ad6\u718a\u5e02\u9084\u662f\u725b\u5e02\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u90fd\u662f\u4e00\u5834\u99ac\u62c9\u677e<\/h2>\n

\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u56de\u9867\u718a\u5e02\u6b77\u53f2\uff0c\u6703\u767c\u73fe\u5169\u500b\u73fe\u8c61\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u718a\u5e02\u7e3d\u6703\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u718a\u5e02\u5f8c\u5e7e\u500b\u6708\u6216\u5e7e\u5e74\uff0c\u725b\u5e02\u5c31\u56de\u5230\u4f86\u3002\u770b\u770b2020\u5e74\u7684\u718a\u5e02\uff1a\u5f9e2\u6708\u672b\u52303\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\uff0cS&P\/TSX\u7d9c\u5408\u6307\u6578<\/a>\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7d0448%\u3002\u4f46\u5230\u4e8611\u6708\uff0cTSX\u6307\u6578\u5c31\u62b9\u5e73\u4e86\u6b64\u524d\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u8aaa\uff0c\u8070\u660e\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u773c\u5149\u4e0d\u6703\u53ea\u95dc\u6ce8\u5e7e\u500b\u6708\u7684\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4ee5\u5e74\u7232\u5468\u671f\u3002\u7d50\u8ad6\u5c31\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u78b0\u4e0a\u4e86\u718a\u5e02\uff0c\u4e0d\u59a8\u8f49\u63db\u4e00\u4e0b\u601d\u7dad\uff0c\u60f3\u60f3\u770b\uff0c\u718a\u5e02\u4f86\u4e86\uff0c\u725b\u5e02\u9084\u6703\u9060\u55ce\uff1f<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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