{"id":437130,"date":"2022-09-14T22:35:18","date_gmt":"2022-09-15T05:35:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/blog\/2022\/09\/%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e8%83%bd%e6%ba%90%e6%a0%bc%e5%b1%80%e5%b7%a8%e5%8f%98-%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af-%e6%ac%a7%e6%b4%b2-%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd\/"},"modified":"2022-09-14T22:35:26","modified_gmt":"2022-09-15T05:35:26","slug":"%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e8%83%bd%e6%ba%90%e6%a0%bc%e5%b1%80%e5%b7%a8%e8%ae%8a-%e4%bf%84%e7%be%85%e6%96%af-%e6%ad%90%e6%b4%b2-%e4%b8%ad%e5%9c%8b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/blog\/2022\/09\/%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e8%83%bd%e6%ba%90%e6%a0%bc%e5%b1%80%e5%b7%a8%e8%ae%8a-%e4%bf%84%e7%be%85%e6%96%af-%e6%ad%90%e6%b4%b2-%e4%b8%ad%e5%9c%8b\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5168\u7403\u80fd\u6e90\u683c\u5c40\u5de8\u8b8a\uff1a\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u548c\u6b50\u6d32\u6253\u67b6\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u6f01\u7fc1\u5f97\u5229\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u5168\u7403\u80fd\u6e90\u683c\u5c40\u6b63\u5728\u767c\u751f\u5de8\u8b8a\u3002\u4fc4\u70cf\u6230\u722d\u7206\u767c\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u6b50\u6d32\u5c0d\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u63a1\u8cfc\u898f\u6a21\u9a5f\u964d\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u6025\u9700\u5c0b\u627e\u65b0\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u8cb7\u5bb6\u3002\u5de7\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u73fe\u5728\u6b63\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u52a0\u5ec9\u50f9\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u5411\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u4e5f\u5927\u5927\u589e\u52a0\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9031\u56db\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u570b\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5e2d\u7fd2\u8fd1\u5e73\u548c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u7e3d\u7d71\u666e\u4eac\u5c07\u5728\u70cf\u8332\u5225\u514b\u65af\u5766\u6703\u6664\u3002\u96d9\u65b9\u73fe\u5728\u52a0\u6df1\u5728\u80fd\u6e90\u9818\u57df\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u5c0d\u65bc\u9019\u5169\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u4f86\u8aaa\u662f\u5171\u8d0f\uff1a\u4e2d\u570b\u7372\u5f97\u4e86\u66f4\u4fbf\u5b9c\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\uff0c\u6291\u5236\u4e86\u901a\u8139\uff0c\u800c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f4c\u88dc\u6b50\u6d32\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u540c\u76df\u570b\u524a\u6e1b\u8a72\u570b\u80fd\u6e90\u9032\u53e3\u800c\u9020\u6210\u7684\u640d\u5931\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4e2d\u4fc4\u52a0\u6df1\u80fd\u6e90\u5408\u4f5c\u9084\u4fc3\u9032\u4e86\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u548c\u76e7\u5e03\u5728\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u4e2d\u7684\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5c0d\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4f9d\u8cf4\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u570b\u662f\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8cbb\u570b\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u539f\u6cb9\u3001\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c23\uff08LNG\uff09\u4ee5\u53ca\u7164\u70ad\u7684\u6700\u5927\u8cb7\u5bb6\uff0c4\u6708\u81f37\u6708\u4e4b\u9593\u9032\u53e3\u7684\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u539f\u6cb9\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u589e\u9577\u4e8617%\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u589e\u9577\u8d85\u904e50%\uff0c\u7164\u70ad\u589e\u95776%\uff0c\u4f86\u81ea\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u7684\u96fb\u529b\u9032\u53e3\u2014\u2014\u4e3b\u8981\u901a\u904e\u9023\u63a5\u4e2d\u570b\u6771\u5317\u548c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u9060\u6771\u7684\u8de8\u5883\u8f38\u96fb\u7dda\u2014\u2014\u66b4\u589e39%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4eca\u5e74\u8fc4\u4eca\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5411\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u3001\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u548c\u96fb\u529b\u7e3d\u984d\u9054$436.8\u5104\u3002<\/p>\n

S&P Global Commodity Insights\u7684\u4e9e\u6d32\u77f3\u6cb9\u5206\u6790\u7d93\u7406Zhuwei Wang\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7fd2\u8fd1\u5e73\u548c\u666e\u4eac\u5373\u5c07\u8209\u884c\u7684\u6703\u6664\u5c07\u589e\u5f37\u4e2d\u570b\u8207\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u5728\u4e92\u5229\u80fd\u6e90\u8cbf\u6613\u9818\u57df\u7684\u806f\u7e6b\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u662f\u6b63\u7576\u6642\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u9762\u81e8\u56b4\u53b2\u7684\u897f\u65b9\u5236\u88c1\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5247\u6025\u9700\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u80fd\u6e90\u4f86\u63d0\u632f\u56e0\u70ba\u75ab\u60c5\u5c01\u63a7\u800c\u75b2\u8edf\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u570b\u8cfa\u4e2d\u9593\u5546\u7684\u5dee\u50f9\uff1f<\/h2>\n

\u4e2d\u570b\u6d77\u95dc\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u6210\u70ba\u4e86\u4e2d\u570b5-7\u6708\u671f\u9593\u6700\u5927\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u4f9b\u7d66\u570b\uff0c\u5360\u4e2d\u570b\u9032\u53e3\u7e3d\u984d\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5f9e2021\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u768415%\u5347\u81f319%\u3002\u8377\u862d\u570b\u969b8\u6708\u8868\u793a\u3002\u9019\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4eca\u5e74\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5347\u81f320%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u6309\u7167\u8def\u900f\u793e\u7684\u6e2c\u7b97\uff0c4-7\u6708\u671f\u9593\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u8cfc\u8cb7\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u77f3\u6cb9\u76f8\u6bd4\u5176\u4ed6\u9032\u53e3\u4f86\u6e90\u7bc0\u7701\u4e86\u5927\u7d04$30\u5104\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u8cfc\u8cb7\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u539f\u6cb9\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u50f9\u683c\u7d04\u70ba$708\/\u5678\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u5bb6\u9ad8\u9054$816\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u524d7\u500b\u6708\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u9032\u53e3\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u589e\u9577\u4e8626%\uff0c\u540c\u66427\u6708\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u91cf\uff08\u6b50\u6d32\u548c\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u518d\u51fa\u53e3\uff09\u5347\u81f32019\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u9ad8\u768466798\u5678\u3002\u745e\u4fe1\u7d9c\u5408\u80fd\u6e90\u548c\u8cc7\u6e90\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u7ba1Saul Kavonic\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6b63\u5e38\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u8cbf\u6613\u88ab\u6253\u4e82\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5f9e\u4e2d\u7372\u5229\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5305\u62ec\u5ec9\u50f9\u8cb7\u5165\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c23\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u518d\u4ee5\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u8f49\u8ce3\u5230\u6b50\u6d32\uff0c\u5f9e\u4e2d\u8cfa\u53d6\u50f9\u5dee\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u70ba\u4e86\u5be6\u73fe\u6e1b\u78b3\u76ee\u6a19\u548c\u63d0\u5347\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u6d88\u8cbb\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u4e5f\u6709\u9577\u671f\u9032\u53e3\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u5728\u9019\u4e00\u9700\u6c42\u9a45\u52d5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e2d\u4fc4\u4eca\u5e742\u6708\u9054\u6210\u4e86\u65b0\u7684\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u7ba1\u9053\u5354\u8b70\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u570b\u52a0\u5927\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u7164\u70ad\u9032\u53e3<\/h2>\n

\u6b50\u6d32\u7684\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u7164\u70ad\u7981\u904b\u4ee48\u670811\u65e5\u751f\u6548\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u8d81\u6a5f\u4f4e\u50f9\u8cb7\u5165\uff0c7\u6708\u7684\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u7164\u70ad\u9032\u53e3\u91cf\u5347\u81f3\u81f3\u5c115\u5e74\u4f86\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u71b1\u80fd\u7164\uff08\u71b1\u503c5500\u5343\u5361\uff097\u6708\u5e95\u6210\u672c+\u904b\u8cbb\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u50f9\u683c\u5728$150\/\u5678\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9e\u7d10\u5361\u65af\u723e\u6e2f\u540c\u7b49\u8cea\u91cf\u7164\u70ad\u7684\u96e2\u5cb8\u50f9\u683c\uff08FOB\uff09\u8d85\u904e$210\u3002<\/p>\n

\u96d6\u7136\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u7684\u7164\u70ad\u4f9b\u7d66\u50c5\u5360\u4e2d\u570b\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u7684\u5927\u7d041%\uff0c\u4f46\u6709\u4e9b\u4ea4\u6613\u5546\u9810\u8a08\uff0c\u8003\u616e\u5230\u516c\u7528\u4e8b\u696d\u516c\u53f8\u51ac\u5b63\u4f9b\u6696\u5132\u7164\uff0c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\u5c07\u6703\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u7164\u70ad\u9032\u5165\u4e2d\u570b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u4e2d\u570b\u660e\u986f\u7372\u76ca\uff0c\u4f46\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u5c0d\u9019\u4e00\u8cbf\u6613\u7684\u4f9d\u8cf4\u6027\u9ad8\u65bc\u4e2d\u570b\u3002Doshi Consulting\u7684\u8463\u4e8b\u7e3d\u7d93\u7406Tilak Doshi\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u53ef\u898b\u7684\u5c07\u4f86\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u5c07\u7121\u6cd5\u518d\u7e7c\u7e8c\u4f9d\u8cf4\u6b50\u6d32\u9019\u500b\u80fd\u6e90\u51fa\u53e3\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u80fd\u6e90\u548c\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u51fa\u53e3\u8f49\u5411\u6771\u65b9\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5c07\u6703\u52a0\u5feb\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u5168\u7403\u80fd\u6e90\u683c\u5c40\u6b63\u5728\u767c\u751f\u5de8\u8b8a\u3002\u4fc4\u70cf\u6230\u722d\u7206\u767c\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u6b50\u6d32\u5c0d\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u63a1\u8cfc\u898f\u6a21\u9a5f\u964d\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u6025\u9700\u5c0b\u627e\u65b0\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u8cb7\u5bb6\u3002\u5de7\u7684\u662f […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":27,"featured_media":437127,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[1522,431],"tags":[801,589,568,1818],"class_list":["post-437130","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-1522","category-trends-strategies-zh-hant","tag-801","tag-589","tag-zh-hant-blog-tag-","tag-in-depth-analysis-zh-hant","sectors--zh-hant","sectors-oil-gas-zh-hant","locations-china-zh-hant","locations-europe-zh-hant"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/437130","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/27"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=437130"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/437130\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/437127"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=437130"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=437130"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=437130"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}