{"id":448888,"date":"2023-01-08T23:34:55","date_gmt":"2023-01-09T07:34:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/blog\/2023\/01\/2023%e5%b9%b4%e8%a1%a8%e7%8e%b0%e6%9c%80%e5%a5%bd%e7%9a%84%e8%b5%84%e4%ba%a7%e4%bc%9a%e6%98%af%e4%bb%80%e4%b9%88-%e6%95%a3%e6%88%b7%e6%8a%95%e8%b5%84%e8%80%85-%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%e5%b8%88\/"},"modified":"2023-01-08T23:35:08","modified_gmt":"2023-01-09T07:35:08","slug":"2023%e5%b9%b4%e8%a1%a8%e7%8f%be%e6%9c%80%e5%a5%bd%e7%9a%84%e8%b3%87%e7%94%a2%e6%9c%83%e6%98%af%e4%bb%80%e9%ba%bc-%e6%95%a3%e6%88%b6%e6%8a%95%e8%b3%87%e8%80%85-%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%e5%b8%ab","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/blog\/2023\/01\/2023%e5%b9%b4%e8%a1%a8%e7%8f%be%e6%9c%80%e5%a5%bd%e7%9a%84%e8%b3%87%e7%94%a2%e6%9c%83%e6%98%af%e4%bb%80%e9%ba%bc-%e6%95%a3%e6%88%b6%e6%8a%95%e8%b3%87%e8%80%85-%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%e5%b8%ab\/","title":{"rendered":"2023\u5e74\u8868\u73fe\u6700\u597d\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\u6703\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f\u6563\u6236\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u548c\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u76f8\u7576\u7d71\u4e00"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u81e8\u8fd12022\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u8cb4\u91d1\u5c6c\u7a81\u7136\u767c\u8d77\u4e0a\u653b\uff0c\u6700\u7d42\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u53bb\u5e74\u57fa\u672c\u6301\u5e73\uff0c\u767d\u9280\u50f9\u683c\u66f4\u662f\u6536\u6f32\u8fd13%\u3002\u5c55\u671b2023\u5e74\uff0c\u6563\u6236\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u4ee5\u53ca\u6a5f\u69cb\u90fd\u4e00\u81f4\u770b\u597d\u9ec3\u91d1\u548c\u767d\u9280\uff0c\u8a8d\u70ba\u9019\u5169\u7a2e\u8cc7\u7522\u5c07\u662f\u65b0\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\u8868\u73fe\u6700\u597d\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\u3002<\/p>\n

2022\u5e74\uff0c\u771f\u91d1\u4e0d\u6015\u706b\u7149<\/h2>\n

\u73fe\u8ca8\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c2022\u5e74\u521d\u5831\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f8$1828\uff0c\u5e74\u5e95\u6536\u5831$1822\u4e0a\u65b9\u3002\u73fe\u8ca8\u767d\u9280\u50f9\u683c\u53bb\u5e74\u5e74\u521d\u548c\u5e74\u5e95\u5206\u5225\u5831\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f8$23.28\u548c$23.93\u3002\u5fb7\u570b\u5546\u696d\u9280\u884c\u5206\u6790\u5e2bCarsten Fritsch\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5f97\u76ca\u65bc\u6700\u597d\u4e00\u500b\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u5f37\u52c1\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u53bb\u5e74\u6700\u7d42\u57fa\u672c\u6536\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8981\u8aaa2022\u5e74\u8cb4\u91d1\u5c6c\u50f9\u683c\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5b8f\u89c0\u58d3\u529b\uff0c\u7576\u5c6c\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u6b77\u53f2\u6027\u7684\u7dca\u7e2e\u9031\u671f\u3002\u53bb\u5e741\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u8abf425\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\u81f34.25%-4.5%\uff0c\u52a0\u606f\u5e45\u5ea6\u5275\u4e0a\u4e16\u7d0080\u5e74\u4ee3\u521d\u4ee5\u4f86\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002Fritsch\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5c07\u9019\u4e00\u56e0\u7d20\u8003\u616e\u5728\u5167\uff0c\u53bb\u5e74\u9ec3\u91d1\u3001\u767d\u91d1\u548c\u9251\u91d1\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8aaa\u662f\u76f8\u7576\u5805\u633a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c55\u671b\u65b0\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u9810\u8a08\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u5e02\u5834\u958b\u59cb\u6d88\u5316\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u653f\u7b56\u8f49\u5411\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u548c\u767d\u9280\u5c07\u6703\u6709\u5f88\u4e0d\u932f\u7684\u8868\u73fe\u3002Capital Economics\u7684\u9996\u5e2d\u5317\u7f8e\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6Paul Ashworth\u9810\u8a08\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u4f9d\u7136\u64fa\u51fa\u9df9\u6d3e\u59ff\u614b\uff0c\u4f462023\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u5c07\u6703\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u4f9d\u64da\u662f\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u5c07\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u6e1b\u8f15\u901a\u8139\u58d3\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6563\u6236\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u600e\u9ebc\u770b\uff1f<\/h2>\n

\u9019\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e5f\u662f\u6563\u6236\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u7684\u671f\u5f85\u3002Kitco\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u4e00\u9805\u7db2\u7d61\u8abf\u67e5\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5728896\u540d\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u7576\u4e2d\uff0c37.5%\u7684\u4eba\u8a8d\u70ba\u9ec3\u91d1\u5c07\u6703\u662f2023\u5e74\u8868\u73fe\u6700\u597d\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\uff0c\u767d\u9280\u65d7\u9f13\u76f8\u7576\uff0836.8%\uff09\uff0c\u6392\u540d\u7b2c3\u7684\u662f\u9285\uff0c\u4f46\u6bd4\u4f8b\u50c5\u67098%\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e63\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5747\u70ba4.7%\uff0c\u9251\u91d1\u548c\u92f0\u5747\u70ba3.7%\uff0c\u9200\u91d1\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u6700\u4f4e\uff0c\u50c5\u67090.9%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u600e\u9ebc\u8aaa\uff1f<\/h2>\n

\u7e3d\u7684\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u4e5f\u770b\u597d2023\u5e74\u7684\u9ec3\u91d1\u548c\u767d\u9280\uff0c\u4f9d\u64da\u5305\u62ec\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u9032\u5165\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u89f8\u9802\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u7dca\u7e2e\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u8f49\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n

DoubleLine Capital\u7684\u9996\u5e2d\u57f7\u884c\u5b98Jeffrey Gundlach\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u9810\u8a08\u7f8e\u806f\u51322\u6708\u518d\u52a0\u606f50\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff0c2023\u5e74\u7684\u5229\u7387\u5cf0\u503c\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u662f5%\u3002\u4f46\u5229\u7387\u4e00\u65e6\u9054\u52305%\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u7121\u6cd5\u6301\u7e8c\u8d85\u904e1\u500b\u8b70\u606f\u6703\u8b70\u5c31\u5c07\u88ab\u8feb\u964d\u606f\u3002Gundlach\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u555f\u52d5\u4e0a\u6f32\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u6709\u9810\u793a\u610f\u7fa9\uff0c\u9810\u793a\u7f8e\u5143\u5df2\u7d93\u89f8\u5e95\u4e26\u4e14\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\u5c07\u6703\u8d70\u5f31\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6fb3\u65b0\u9280\u884c\u7684\u9ad8\u7d1a\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u7b56\u7565\u5e2bDaniel Hynes\u4e5f\u8a8d\u70ba\u9ec3\u91d1\u984d\u5e02\u5834\u60c5\u7dd2\u5c07\u6703\u8f49\u597d\u3002\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u524d\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u4e00\u822c\u90fd\u6703\u627f\u58d3\uff0c\u4f46\u8870\u9000\u671f\u9593\u7684\u5f80\u5f80\u6703\u8dd1\u8d0f\u5176\u4ed6\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u8aaa\u80a1\u5e02\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5bcc\u570b\u9280\u884c\u7684\u5be6\u7269\u8cc7\u7522\u7b56\u7565\u4e3b\u7ba1John LaForge\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u5df2\u7d93\u958b\u59cb\u6d88\u5316\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u66ab\u505c\u52a0\u606f\u4e43\u81f3\u6700\u7d42\u8f49\u5411\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u8a8d\u70ba\u9ec3\u91d1\u548c\u767d\u92802023\u5e74\u6703\u6709\u5f37\u52c1\u7684\u8868\u73fe\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u767d\u9280\u3002\u5bcc\u570b\u9280\u884c\u9810\u8a08\u4eca\u5e74\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u5c07\u5728$1900\u81f3$2000\u4e4b\u9593\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u5982\u679c\u89f8\u53ca\u9019\u4e00\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u76ee\u6a19\u50f9\u5c07\u7e7c\u7e8c\u4e0a\u8abf\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u904e\u53bb\u5169\u5e74\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u8d70\u52e2\u5f37\u52c1\u4f46\u9ec3\u91d1\u9072\u9072\u6c92\u6709\u8868\u73fe\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u9ec3\u91d1\u4f9d\u7136\u8655\u65bc\u8b49\u660e\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u6a21\u5f0f\u7576\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n

Gainesville Coins\u7684\u8cb4\u91d1\u5c6c\u5c08\u5bb6Everett Millman\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u767d\u9280\u4e00\u76f4\u88ab\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u5ffd\u8996\u554a\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u4e5f\u662f\u5b83\u7684\u6f5b\u529b\u6240\u5728\u3002\u5728\u725b\u5e02\u671f\u9593\uff0c\u8c9d\u5854\u4fc2\u6578\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u767d\u9280\u901a\u5e38\u90fd\u80fd\u8dd1\u8d0f\u9ec3\u91d1\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u767d\u9280\u6295\u8cc7\u7522\u54c1\u7684\u4f9b\u7d66\u4e5f\u662f\u76f8\u7576\u7dca\u5f35\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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