{"id":457804,"date":"2023-04-16T20:34:47","date_gmt":"2023-04-17T03:34:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/blog\/2023\/04\/%e5%8a%a0%e6%8b%bf%e5%a4%a7%e6%9c%80%e6%9d%83%e5%a8%81%e7%9a%84%e6%88%bf%e4%bb%b7%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b-%e4%bb%8a%e5%b9%b4-2024%e5%b9%b4\/"},"modified":"2023-04-16T20:34:59","modified_gmt":"2023-04-17T03:34:59","slug":"%e5%8a%a0%e6%8b%bf%e5%a4%a7%e6%9c%80%e6%ac%8a%e5%a8%81%e7%9a%84%e6%88%bf%e5%83%b9%e9%a0%90%e6%b8%ac-%e4%bb%8a%e5%b9%b4-2024%e5%b9%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/blog\/2023\/04\/%e5%8a%a0%e6%8b%bf%e5%a4%a7%e6%9c%80%e6%ac%8a%e5%a8%81%e7%9a%84%e6%88%bf%e5%83%b9%e9%a0%90%e6%b8%ac-%e4%bb%8a%e5%b9%b4-2024%e5%b9%b4\/","title":{"rendered":"\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6700\u6b0a\u5a01\u7684\u623f\u50f9\u9810\u6e2c\u4f86\u4e86\uff1a\u4eca\u5e74\u4e0b\u8dcc4.8%\uff0c2024\u5e74\u4e0a\u6f324.7%"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5354\u6703\uff08CREA\uff09\u4e0a\u9031\u4e94\u767c\u4f48\u6700\u65b0\u9810\u6e2c\u7a31\uff0c2023\u5e74\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4f4f\u623f\u5747\u50f9\u5c07\u4e0b\u8dcc4.8%\u81f3670389\u52a0\u5143\uff0c\u4f462024\u5e74\u9810\u8a08\u5c07\u4e0a\u6f324.7%\u81f3702214\u52a0\u5143\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u4f4f\u623f\u92b7\u91cf\u9810\u8a08\u4e5f\u5c07\u4e0b\u964d1.1%\u81f3492674\u5957\uff0c\u4f462024\u5e74\u5c07\u589e\u957713.9%\u81f3561090\u5957\u3002<\/p>\n

2022\u5e74\u590f\u5b63\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4f4f\u623f\u92b7\u91cf\u6708\u5ea6\u74b0\u6bd4\u5e7e\u4e4e\u6c92\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u4f46\u96a8\u8457\u8cfc\u623f\u8005\u6162\u6162\u91cd\u65b0\u9032\u5165\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5e02\u5834\uff0c2\u6708\u548c3\u6708\u7684\u74b0\u6bd4\u6578\u64da\u958b\u59cb\u6eab\u548c\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n

\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5354\u6703\u6703\u9577Jill Oudil\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u6625\u5b63\u5e02\u5834\u51fa\u73fe\u5347\u6eab\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u6709\u8cb7\u5bb6\u4e0d\u518d\u89c0\u671b\uff0c\u4f46\u9700\u8981\u8b39\u8a18\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u904e\u53bb\u5e7e\u5e74\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u7dca\u5f35\u72c0\u6cc1\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u6d88\u5931\uff0c\u800c\u50c5\u50c5\u53ea\u662f\u88ab\u66ab\u6642\u5c01\u51cd\u800c\u5df2\u3002\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4eba\u6b63\u5728\u91cd\u73fe\u9032\u5165\u7684\u9019\u500b\u6a13\u5e02\uff0c\u5df2\u7d93\u6301\u7e8c\u6578\u6708\u92b7\u91cf\u4e0d\u65b7\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u639b\u724c\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u9023\u7e8c8\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u52a0\u5927\u8cb8\u6b3e\u6210\u672c\u4e26\u5c0e\u81f4\u8cb7\u5bb6\u60c5\u7dd2\u4f4e\u843d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f46\u6700\u8fd1\u5e7e\u500b\u6708\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u5df2\u7d93\u9023\u7e8c\u5169\u6b21\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u90e8\u5206\u8cfc\u623f\u8005\u8d81\u8457\u623f\u50f9\u4f9d\u7136\u5f88\u4f4e\u7684\u6642\u6a5f\u518d\u6b21\u8003\u616e\u8cfc\u623f\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u8da8\u52e2\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u59273\u6708\u4f4f\u623f\u92b7\u91cf\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u4e0b\u964d34.4%\u81f341636\u5957\u3002\u5b63\u8abf\u5f8c\u7684\u92b7\u91cf\u70ba33833\u5957\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd42\u6708\u5927\u7d04\u589e\u9577\u4e861\u500b\u767e\u5206\u9ede\u3002<\/p>\n

TD Economics\u7684Rishi Sondhi\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4f4f\u623f\u92b7\u91cf\u9023\u7e8c\u5169\u500b\u6708\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5229\u7387\u7684\u7a69\u5b9a\u52a9\u529b\u201c\u8cb7\u5bb6\u5fc3\u7406\u201d\u4ee5\u53ca\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u662f\u92b7\u91cf\u589e\u9577\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u9a45\u52d5\u529b\u3002\u4ed6\u8aaa\uff0c\u6309\u7167\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u4f4f\u623f\u92b7\u91cf\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u589e\u9577\u662f\u5927\u6982\u7387\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u4f46\u76e3\u7ba1\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\u6703\u8b93\u623f\u8cb8\u7533\u8acb\u8b8a\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u56f0\u96e3\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u91cd\u5927\u7684\u4e0b\u884c\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/p>\n

\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5354\u6703\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u92b7\u91cf\u6708\u74b0\u6bd4\u5c0f\u5e45\u589e\u9577\u7684\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u65b0\u639b\u724c\u91cf\u4f9d\u7136\u8655\u65bc20\u5e74\u4f4e\u9ede\u3002<\/p>\n

3\u6708\u4f4f\u623f\u65b0\u639b\u724c\u91cf\u5b63\u8abf\u5f8c\u7e3d\u8a0853298\u5957\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd42\u6708\u4e0b\u964d5.8%\u3002\u5be6\u969b\u65b0\u639b\u724c\u91cf68597\u5957\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u4e0b\u964d27.4%\u3002Oudil\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4f9b\u7d66\u8655\u65bc\u6b77\u53f2\u4f4e\u9ede\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u4e0d\u50c5\u597d\u92b7\u800c\u4e14\u92b7\u552e\u901f\u5ea6\u66f4\u5feb\u4e86\uff0c\u4f46\u9084\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6709\u4e9b\u8ce3\u5bb6\u5c07\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u623f\u7522\u639b\u51fa\u4f86\u3002Sondhi\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8ce3\u5bb6\u9700\u8981\u770b\u5230\u66f4\u591a\u623f\u5730\u7522\u92b7\u552e\u548c\u50f9\u683c\u6301\u7e8c\u56de\u6696\u7684\u8b49\u64da\uff0c\u6b64\u5f8c\u639b\u724c\u91cf\u624d\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe\u660e\u986f\u7684\u589e\u9577\u3002<\/p>\n

BMO Capital Markets\u7684\u9ad8\u7d1a\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6Robert Kavcic\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u5404\u7a2e\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u8ce3\u5bb6\u5728\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5e02\u7576\u4e2d\u51fa\u552e\u623f\u7522\u7684\u610f\u9858\u4e0d\u9ad8\u3002\u6709\u7684\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u5c31\u696d\u5e02\u5834\u5f37\u52c1\uff0c\u6b64\u5916\u91d1\u878d\u6a5f\u69cb\u76e3\u7ba1\u8fa6\u516c\u5ba4\uff08OSFI\uff09\u5df2\u7d93\u5c0d\u591a\u6578\u8cb7\u5bb6\u9032\u884c\u4e86\u58d3\u529b\u6e2c\u8a66\uff0c\u623f\u8cb8\u9055\u7d04\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u6e1b\u5c11\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u9084\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u5f37\u52c1\u7684\u79df\u8cc3\u5e02\u5834\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f9d\u9760\u3002\u4ed6\u88dc\u5145\u8aaa\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5e02\u5834\u8abf\u6574\u6700\u56b4\u91cd\u7684\u6642\u5019\u5df2\u7d93\u904e\u53bb\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u9810\u671f\u6b63\u5728\u4e0d\u65b7\u5f37\u5316\uff0c\u800c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u7684\u6307\u5f15\u5f37\u5316\u4e86\u9019\u4e00\u5e02\u5834\u5fc3\u7406\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e02\u5834\u5fc3\u7406\u8f49\u8b8a\u7684\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5354\u6703\u7684\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a3\u6708\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u623f\u50f9\u70ba686371\u52a0\u5143\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u4e0b\u964d13.7%\u3002\u6263\u9664\u6700\u71b1\u9580\u7684\u5927\u591a\u502b\u591a\u548c\u5927\u6eab\u54e5\u83ef\u5730\u5340\uff0c\u5168\u570b\u5e73\u5747\u623f\u50f9\u4e0b\u964d\u8d85\u904e136000\u52a0\u5143\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c3\u6708\u5b63\u8abf\u5f8c\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u4f4f\u623f\u50f9\u683c\u76f8\u6bd42\u6708\u5c0f\u5e45\u589e\u95772%\u81f3648088\u52a0\u5143\u3002\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5354\u6703\u9084\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u9019\u4e00\u5e73\u5747\u50f9\u683c\u76f8\u6bd42023\u5e741\u6708\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0a\u6f32\u8fd175000\u52a0\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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