{"id":551573,"date":"2024-09-15T22:19:13","date_gmt":"2024-09-16T05:19:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/blog\/2024\/09\/%e7%be%8e%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e9%99%8d%e6%81%af%e4%b8%8e%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e6%b6%a8%e8%b7%8c%ef%bc%9a%e8%83%8c%e5%90%8e%e7%9a%84%e5%8e%9f%e5%9b%a0%e6%9c%80%e9%87%8d%e8%a6%81\/"},"modified":"2024-09-15T22:19:37","modified_gmt":"2024-09-16T05:19:37","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e8%81%af%e5%84%b2%e9%99%8d%e6%81%af%e8%88%87%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e6%bc%b2%e8%b7%8c%ef%bc%9a%e8%83%8c%e5%be%8c%e7%9a%84%e5%8e%9f%e5%9b%a0%e6%9c%80%e9%87%8d%e8%a6%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/blog\/2024\/09\/%e7%be%8e%e8%81%af%e5%84%b2%e9%99%8d%e6%81%af%e8%88%87%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e6%bc%b2%e8%b7%8c%ef%bc%9a%e8%83%8c%e5%be%8c%e7%9a%84%e5%8e%9f%e5%9b%a0%e6%9c%80%e9%87%8d%e8%a6%81\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u964d\u606f\u8207\u7f8e\u80a1\u6f32\u8dcc\uff1a\u80cc\u5f8c\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u6700\u91cd\u8981"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u5e02\u5834\u666e\u904d\u9810\u8a08\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u5c07\u5728\u672c\u5468\u5ba3\u4f48\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u5546\u696d\u4ea4\u6613\u6240(CME)\u7684\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u89c0\u5bdf(Fed Watch)\u5de5\u5177\u986f\u793a\uff0c9\u6708\u964d\u606f50\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\u7684\u6982\u7387\u751a\u81f3\u9054\u5230\u4e8659%\u3002\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u964d\u606f\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5df2\u7d93\u7bad\u5728\u5f26\u4e0a\uff0c\u4f46\u964d\u606f\u5f8c\u7f8e\u80a1\u662f\u6f32\u662f\u8dcc\uff0c\u95dc\u9375\u9ede\u537b\u4e0d\u5728\u65bc\u662f\u5426\u964d\u606f\u672c\u8eab\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u80cc\u5f8c\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u64da\u9ad8\u76db\u5206\u6790\u5e2bVickie Chang\u7684\u8a73\u7d30\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u6b77\u53f2\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u964d\u606f\u5f8c\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u7684\u8868\u73fe\u4e3b\u8981\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u7d93\u6fdf\u662f\u5426\u8655\u65bc\u8870\u9000\u671f\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5c0d\u6bd4\u975e\u5e38\u7684\u9bae\u660e\u3002\u7c21\u55ae\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u662f\u8870\u9000\u671f\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u901a\u5e38\u90fd\u6703\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u8655\u65bc\u201c\u589e\u9577\u6050\u614c\u201d\u6216\u201c\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\u201d\u6642\u671f\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u5f37\u52c1\u4e0a\u6f32\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7d50\u8ad6\u5c31\u662f\uff0c\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u964d\u606f\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u7406\u7531\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u8cc7\u7522\u8868\u73fe\u4e5f\u6703\u4e0d\u4e00\u6a23\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9ad8\u76db\u5206\u6790\u4e861984\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\u768410\u500b\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u964d\u606f\u9031\u671f\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d4\u500b\u8207\u8870\u9000\u76f8\u95dc\uff081990\u5e74\u30012001\u5e74\u30012007\u5e74\u548c2020\u5e74\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u99186\u500b\u975e\u8870\u9000\u6642\u671f\u88ab\u6b78\u985e\u70ba\u201c\u589e\u9577\u6050\u614c\u201d\uff081987\u5e74\u30011998\u5e74\u30012019\u5e74\uff09\u6216\u201c\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\u201d\u6642\u671f\uff081984\u5e74\u30011989\u5e74\u30011995\u5e74\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-551567 lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/\u5c4f\u5e55\u622a\u56fe-2024-09-16-123705.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"349\" height=\"567\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/\u5c4f\u5e55\u622a\u56fe-2024-09-16-123705.png 349w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/\u5c4f\u5e55\u622a\u56fe-2024-09-16-123705-185x300.png 185w, https:\/\/nai500.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/\u5c4f\u5e55\u622a\u56fe-2024-09-16-123705-308x500.png 308w\" data-sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 349px) 100vw, 349px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 349px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 349\/567;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u6240\u8b02\u201c\u589e\u9577\u6050\u614c\u201d\uff0c\u5177\u9ad4\u6307\u7684\u662f\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u653e\u7de9\u4f46\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u5347\u7d1a\u70ba\u5168\u9762\u7684\u8870\u9000\uff1b\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\u6307\u7684\u662f\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u5c07\u6b64\u524d\u63d0\u9ad8\u7684\u5229\u7387\u964d\u4f4e\u66f4\u4f4e\uff0c\u66f4\u52a0\u53ef\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u8cc7\u7522\u5728\u9996\u6b21\u964d\u606f\u5f8c\u7684\u8868\u73fe\u5dee\u7570\u660e\u986f\u3002\u5728\u201c\u589e\u9577\u6050\u614c\u201d\u6642\u671f\uff0c\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u8aaa\u662fSPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust\u00a0(NYSE:SPY) \u5728\u9996\u6b21\u964d\u606f\u5f8c\u7684\u4e09\u500b\u6708\u5167\u4e0a\u6f3211%\uff0c\u516d\u500b\u6708\u5f8c\u6f32\u5e45\u7e7c\u7e8c\u64f4\u5927\u81f315%\u3002\u5728\u201c\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\u201d\u6642\u671f\uff0c \u6307\u6578\u4e09\u500b\u6708\u5f8c\u4e0a\u6f325%\uff0c\u516d\u500b\u6708\u5f8c\u4e0a\u6f327%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u904e\u5728\u8870\u9000\u671f\uff0c\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u5728\u9996\u6b21\u964d\u606f\u5f8c\u7684\u4e09\u500b\u6708\u5167\u4e0b\u8dcc11%\uff0c\u516d\u500b\u6708\u5f8c\u4f9d\u7136\u4e0b\u8dcc10%\u3002\u80cc\u5f8c\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u5728\u65bc\uff0c\u964d\u606f\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u96d6\u7136\u662f\u70ba\u4e86\u523a\u6fc0\u7d93\u6fdf\uff0c\u4f46\u901a\u5e38\u56e0\u70ba\u70ba\u6642\u5df2\u665a\uff0c\u9019\u4e00\u5bec\u9b06\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u5df2\u7d93\u7121\u6cd5\u626d\u8f49\u7d93\u6fdf\u9677\u5165\u8870\u9000\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u3002\u7d50\u679c\u5c31\u662f\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\u840e\u7e2e\uff0c\u4f01\u696d\u76c8\u5229\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u4e5f\u4f4e\u8ff7\u4e0d\u632f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>VIX\uff08\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u6307\u6578\uff09\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u7d93\u6fdf\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\u7684\u53cd\u61c9\u4e5f\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u5728\u201c\u589e\u9577\u6050\u614c\u201d\u6642\u671f\uff0c\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u5728\u9996\u6b21\u964d\u606f\u5f8c\u660e\u986f\u4e0b\u964d\uff1b\u5728\u201c\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\u201d\u6642\u671f\uff0c\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u77ed\u671f\uff08\u4e09\u500b\u6708\uff09\u98c6\u534717%\uff0c\u4f46\u96a8\u5f8c\u7a69\u5b9a\uff0c\u516d\u500b\u6708\u5f8c\u964d\u81f3-1%\u3002\u800c\u5728\u8870\u9000\u671f\uff0cVIX\u5728\u9996\u6b21\u964d\u606f\u5f8c\u4e09\u500b\u6708\u4e0a\u534721%\uff0c\u5f8c\u7e8c\u516d\u500b\u6708\u4ecd\u7dad\u6301\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8207\u4e4b\u5f62\u6210\u9bae\u660e\u5c0d\u6bd4\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u8870\u9000\u6642\u671f\uff0cVIX\u901a\u5e38\u90fd\u662f\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\uff0c\u4e09\u500b\u6708\u548c\u516d\u500b\u6708\u5f8c\u5206\u5225\u98c6\u534721%\u548c9%\u3002\u81f3\u65bc\u8870\u9000\u671f\u9593\u7684\u50b5\u5238\u8868\u73fe\uff0c\u9996\u6b21\u964d\u606f\u5f8c\u7684\u4e09\u500b\u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b2\u5e74\u671f\u570b\u50b5\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5e73\u5747\u4e0b\u964d65\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff0c\u516d\u500b\u6708\u5f8c\u7e7c\u7e8c\u4e0b\u964d82\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff0c10\u5e74\u671f\u570b\u50b5\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5206\u5225\u4e0b\u964d23\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\u548c30\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\u3002<\/p>\n<table width=\"552\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u8cc7\u7522<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\uff08<\/strong><strong>3<\/strong><strong>\u500b\u6708\uff09<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\uff08<\/strong><strong>6<\/strong><strong>\u500b\u6708\uff09<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>\u589e\u9577\u6050\u614c\uff08<\/strong><strong>3<\/strong><strong>\u500b\u6708\uff09<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>\u589e\u9577\u6050\u614c\uff08<\/strong><strong>6<\/strong><strong>\u500b\u6708\uff09<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>\u8870\u9000\uff08<\/strong><strong>3<\/strong><strong>\u500b\u6708\uff09<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>\u8870\u9000\uff08<\/strong><strong>6<\/strong><strong>\u500b\u6708\uff09<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u6a19\u666e<\/strong><strong>500<\/strong><strong>\u6307\u6578<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>+5%<\/td>\n<td>+7%<\/td>\n<td>+11%<\/td>\n<td>+15%<\/td>\n<td>-11%<\/td>\n<td>-10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>VIX<\/strong><strong>\u6307\u6578<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>+17%<\/td>\n<td>-1%<\/td>\n<td>-39%<\/td>\n<td>-35%<\/td>\n<td>+21%<\/td>\n<td>+9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u7f8e\u570b<\/strong><strong>2<\/strong><strong>\u5e74\u671f\u570b\u50b5\u6536\u76ca\u7387<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>-10\u57fa\u9ede<\/td>\n<td>-65\u57fa\u9ede<\/td>\n<td>-37\u57fa\u9ede<\/td>\n<td>-56\u57fa\u9ede<\/td>\n<td>-65\u57fa\u9ede<\/td>\n<td>-82\u57fa\u9ede<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u7f8e\u570b<\/strong><strong>10<\/strong><strong>\u5e74\u671f\u570b\u50b5\u6536\u76ca\u7387<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>-19\u57fa\u9ede<\/td>\n<td>-37\u57fa\u9ede<\/td>\n<td>-33\u57fa\u9ede<\/td>\n<td>-51\u57fa\u9ede<\/td>\n<td>-23\u57fa\u9ede<\/td>\n<td>-30\u57fa\u9ede<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>\u6578\u64da\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a\u9ad8\u76db\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u964d\u606f\u539f\u56e0\u9a45\u52d5\u5e02\u5834\u884c\u70ba<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>\u5728\u8870\u9000\u6642\u671f\uff0c\u964d\u606f\u901a\u5e38\u8207\u80a1\u7968\u548c\u50b5\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u7684\u986f\u8457\u4e0b\u8dcc\u540c\u6642\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u4e26\u4f34\u96a8\u8457\u6ce2\u52d5\u6027\u98c6\u5347\u3002<\/li>\n<li>\u5728\u589e\u9577\u6050\u614c\u6216\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\u6642\u671f\uff0c\u80a1\u7968\u5f80\u5f80\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u50b5\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u9069\u5ea6\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u96a8\u8457\u5e02\u5834\u53c3\u8207\u8005\u91cd\u65b0\u7372\u5f97\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u6ce2\u52d5\u6027\u6e1b\u5f31\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5e02\u5834\u666e\u904d\u9810\u8a08\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u5c07\u5728\u672c\u5468\u5ba3\u4f48\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u5546\u696d\u4ea4\u6613\u6240(CME)\u7684\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u89c0\u5bdf(Fed Watch)\u5de5\u5177\u986f\u793a\uff0c9\u6708 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":27,"featured_media":551571,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[431],"tags":[2132,2165,2162,2001],"class_list":{"0":"post-551573","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-trends-strategies-zh-hant","8":"tag-2132","9":"tag--zh-hant","10":"tag-2162","12":"sectors--zh-hant","13":"locations-us-zh-hant"},"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/551573","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/27"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=551573"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/551573\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":551576,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/551573\/revisions\/551576"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/551571"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=551573"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=551573"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=551573"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}