{"id":592087,"date":"2025-09-09T06:23:11","date_gmt":"2025-09-09T13:23:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/blog\/2025\/09\/yardeni-fed-s-p-500-7-700\/"},"modified":"2025-09-09T06:23:11","modified_gmt":"2025-09-09T13:23:11","slug":"yardeni-fed-s-p-500-7-700","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/blog\/2025\/09\/yardeni-fed-s-p-500-7-700\/","title":{"rendered":"Yardeni \u9810\u898b Fed \u6e1b\u606f\u63a8\u52d5 S&P 500 \u98c6\u5347\u81f3 7,700"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u5e02\u5834\u95dc\u65bc\u300cmelt-up\u300d\u7684\u8faf\u8ad6\u5728\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u91cd\u71c3\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u63d0\u9ad8\u62bc\u6ce8 Fed \u5c07\u964d\u606f\u4e14\u7f8e\u5143\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u4e03\u9031\u4f4e\u9ede\u3002\u5728\u4e9e\u6d32\u4ea4\u6613\u6642\u6bb5\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f3 97.323\uff0c\u5ef6\u7e8c\u7531\u65bc\u7f8e\u570b\u5c31\u696d\u8a0a\u865f\u504f\u8edf\u53ca\u50b5\u5238\u53cd\u5f48\u6240\u5f15\u767c\u7684\u8dcc\u52e2\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\u76e7\u6bd4\u770b\u4f3c\u5c07\u4ee5\u8f03\u5f37\u52e2\u958b\u76e4\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u6708\u9060\u671f\u986f\u793a\u6bcf\u7f8e\u5143 87.96\u201388.00\uff0c\u8f03\u4e0a\u9031\u5275\u65b0\u4f4e\u6642\u56de\u5f48\uff0c\u56e0\u570b\u50b5\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u56de\u843d\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0cEd Yardeni \u8868\u793a Fed \u6e1b\u606f\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u70ba\u300c\u7c21\u55ae\u3001\u8001\u6d3e\u3001\u9999\u8349\u5f0f melt-up\u300d\u7684\u50ac\u5316\u5291\uff0cS&P 500 \u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u660e\u5e74\u5e95\u63a8\u5347\u81f3\u7d04 7,700 \u6216\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u6b63\u5728\u8861\u91cf\u9019\u4e00\u8def\u5f91\u7684\u4e0a\u884c\u6f5b\u529b\u8207\u719f\u6089\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\uff1a\u9ecf\u6027\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u3001\u95dc\u7a05\u63a8\u5347\u6210\u672c\u7684\u58d3\u529b\u4ee5\u53ca Fed \u672a\u9054\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c0d\u964d\u606f\u62bc\u6ce8\u91cd\u5275\u7f8e\u5143\u3001\u58d3\u4f4e\u6b96\u5229\u7387<\/h3>\n

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Yardeni \u7684 melt-up \u6846\u67b6\u8207 7,700 \u8faf\u8ad6<\/h3>\n

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\u6b64\u5916\u9084\u5b58\u5728\u5168\u7403\u53cd\u994b\u5faa\u74b0\u3002\u8f03\u5f31\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u652f\u6490\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u8207\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u6539\u5584\u98a8\u96aa\u504f\u597d\u4e26\u5e36\u52d5\u8de8\u5883\u8cc7\u91d1\u56de\u6d41\u7f8e\u80a1\u3002\u91d1\u878d\u689d\u4ef6\u6307\u6578\u5c07\u5229\u7387\u3001\u5229\u5dee\u3001\u7f8e\u5143\u8207\u80a1\u5e02\u6df7\u5408\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6240\u6709\u69cb\u6210\u8981\u7d20\u90fd\u671d\u540c\u4e00\u770b\u591a\u65b9\u5411\u79fb\u52d5\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u689d\u4ef6\u80fd\u6bd4\u50c5\u9760\u653f\u7b56\u964d\u606f\u7de9\u548c\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\u3002\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u70ba\u4f55\u4e00\u500b\u7c21\u55ae\u7684\u5229\u7387\u52d5\u4f5c\u80fd\u8b8a\u6210\u5177\u6709\u5ef6\u7e8c\u6027\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u6545\u4e8b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u53ef\u80fd\u523a\u7834 melt-up \u7684\u98a8\u96aa<\/h3>\n

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\u90e8\u4f4d\u8207\u5fc3\u7406\u4e5f\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u6240\u8b02\u7684 melt-up \u672c\u8cea\u4e0a\u6703\u5438\u5f15\u4e0d\u60c5\u9858\u7684\u8cb7\u5bb6\u4e26\u64e0\u58d3\u7a7a\u982d\uff0c\u5e38\u5e38\u8b93\u5e02\u5834\u5728\u9ad8\u4f30\u503c\u4e0b\u8b8a\u5f97\u64c1\u64e0\u3002\u6709\u4f4d\u986f\u8457\u7684\u6280\u8853\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u751a\u81f3\u8b66\u544a\u5728\u8870\u9000\u6a5f\u7387\u4ecd\u5728\u6642\u5b58\u5728\u5d29\u76e4\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u4f60\u4e0d\u9700\u8981 60% \u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u5c31\u6703\u611f\u5230\u75db\u82e6\uff1b\u4e00\u500b\u904e\u71b1\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u6578\u64da\u62ac\u9ad8\u7f8e\u5143\u8207\u9577\u7aef\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u5c31\u80fd\u8fc5\u901f\u9006\u8f49\u6551\u6fdf\u6027\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u7576 Fed \u7684\u6e9d\u901a\u504f\u5411\u8b39\u614e\u6642\u3002\u82e5\u592e\u884c\u964d\u606f\u4f46\u6697\u793a\u50c5\u6b64\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u6700\u521d\u7684\u4e0a\u6f32\u53ef\u80fd\u6d88\u9000\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\u5730\uff0c\u82e5\u592e\u884c\u7b49\u5f85\u66f4\u591a\u6578\u64da\u4e26\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0d\u52d5\uff0c\u98a8\u96aa\u8cc7\u7522\u5c07\u9700\u518d\u6b21\u70ba\u653f\u7b56\u8def\u5f91\u91cd\u65b0\u5b9a\u50f9\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u5e03\u5c40\u5f88\u6e05\u695a\uff1aFed \u6e1b\u606f\u4e26\u642d\u914d\u9d3f\u6d3e\u6307\u5f15\u6703\u70ba\u4e00\u500b\u5df2\u88ab\u8f03\u4f4e\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u8207\u8f03\u5f31\u7f8e\u5143\u9810\u71b1\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u52a0\u6599\u3002\u82e5\u5728\u90a3\u4e9b\u689d\u4ef6\u4e0b\uff0cYardeni \u7684 7,700 \u4e26\u975e\u5929\u5916\u98db\u4f86\u7684\u6578\u5b57\uff1b\u5b83\u662f\u6307\u6578\u6578\u5b78\u3001\u9818\u5c0e\u80a1\u96c6\u4e2d\u5ea6\u8207\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u7684\u51fd\u6578\u3002\u53cd\u5411\u529b\u91cf\u2014\u2014\u95dc\u7a05\u3001\u6cb9\u50f9\u3001\u9ecf\u6027\u85aa\u8cc7\u4ee5\u53ca\u64d4\u5fc3\u518d\u5ea6\u9ede\u71c3\u901a\u81a8\u7684 Fed\u2014\u2014\u662f\u771f\u5be6\u5b58\u5728\u7684\uff0c\u80fd\u9650\u5236\u6216\u9006\u8f49\u9019\u6ce2\u884c\u60c5\u3002\u9032\u5165\u6c7a\u7b56\u7a97\u53e3\uff0c\u5f71\u97ff\u6700\u5927\u7684\u8def\u5f91\u662f\u901a\u904e\u7f8e\u5143\u8207\u5be6\u8cea\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u3002\u82e5\u5b83\u5011\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u5c0d\u65bc\u6301\u6709\u4f4e\u914d\u7684\u7d93\u7406\u4eba\u4f86\u8aaa\u6700\u75db\u82e6\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u5c07\u662f\u4e0a\u6f32\u3002\u82e5\u5b83\u5011\u56de\u5f48\uff0cmelt-up \u7684\u8aaa\u6cd5\u5c07\u770b\u8d77\u4f86\u50cf\u662f\u5e02\u5834\u4e2d\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u5047\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u800c\u5e02\u5834\u4ecd\u9700\u4e00\u500b\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u901a\u7e2e\u8da8\u52e2\u624d\u80fd\u5782\u76f4\u4e0a\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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