\u300a21\u4e16\u7d00\u7d93\u6fdf\u5831\u5c0e\u300b\u4eca\u6668\u4ee5\u6cbf\u6d77\u5eab\u5bb9\u8b66\u793a\u70ba\u982d\u689d\uff0c\u5f15\u7528\u696d\u8005\u7a31\u300c\u7f50\u5bb9\u7dca\u5f35\u300d\u2014\u2014\u5728\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u9032\u53e3\u5f37\u52c1\u8207\u6210\u54c1\u5eab\u5b58\u4e0a\u5347\u4e0b\uff0c\u5132\u7f50\u7a7a\u9593\u5403\u7dca\u3002\u754c\u9762\u65b0\u805e\u88dc\u5145\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u570b\u4f01\u6301\u7e8c\u63a5\u8ca8\u3001\u7368\u7acb\u7149\u5ee0\u6e1b\u7522\uff0c\u5546\u696d\u5eab\u5b58\u5df2\u6500\u5347\u81f3\u300c\u968e\u6bb5\u6027\u9ad8\u4f4d\u300d\u3002\u5730\u65b9\u5a92\u9ad4\u7684\u8a9e\u6c23\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\uff1a\u5b83\u6697\u793a\u5317\u4eac\u6b63\u6e2c\u8a66\u5176\u5132\u5099\u7684\u6975\u9650\uff0c\u6070\u9022\u4e00\u5bb6\u4e3b\u8981\u9810\u6e2c\u6a5f\u69cb\u8b66\u793a\u5230\u5e74\u672b\u5168\u7403\u53ef\u80fd\u5f62\u6210\u7d04\u6bcf\u65e5 300 \u842c\u6876\u7684\u4f9b\u904e\u65bc\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5340\u57df\u80a1\u5e02\u628a\u4f9b\u904e\u65bc\u6c42\u7684\u524d\u666f\u8996\u70ba\u8cc7\u91d1\u8f2a\u52d5\u800c\u975e\u885d\u64ca\u3002\u4e0a\u6d77\u8207\u9999\u6e2f\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u751f\u7522\u5546\u8207\u4e0a\u6e38\u670d\u52d9\u80a1\u843d\u5f8c\u65bc\u5927\u76e4\uff0c\u800c\u822a\u7a7a\u8207\u5316\u5de5\u80a1\u5728\u6cb9\u50f9\u8d70\u8edf\u7684\u5047\u8a2d\u4e0b\u8868\u73fe\u512a\u65bc\u5927\u76e4\u3002\u6771\u4eac\u5e02\u5834\u6cb9\u54c1\u8207\u7164\u7522\u54c1\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u822a\u904b\u80a1\u56e0\u9810\u671f\u9577\u9014\u8ca8\u904b\u8207\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u6d77\u4e0a\u5132\u5b58\u800c\u4e0a\u6f32\u3002\u9996\u723e\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7149\u5ee0\u56e0\u88c2\u89e3\u5229\u5dee\u7e2e\u7a84\u800c\u6210\u4ea4\u6c89\u91cd\uff0c\u77f3\u5316\u56e0\u539f\u6599\u7de9\u89e3\u800c\u5438\u5f15\u8cb7\u76e4\u3002\u5916\u532f\u6ce2\u52d5\u6709\u5e8f\uff0c\u5546\u54c1\u9023\u52d5\u7684\u4e9e\u6d32\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u8ca8\u5e63\u8868\u73fe\u96dc\u9673\uff0c\u65e5\u5713\u56e0\u5229\u7387\u654f\u611f\u8cc7\u91d1\u800c\u88ab\u8cb7\u5165\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u6cb9\u50f9\u8d70\u8edf\u537b\u672a\u5f15\u767c\u5ee3\u6cdb\u98a8\u96aa\u8ce3\u58d3\u6642\u5e38\u898b\u7684\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002\u8fea\u62dc\u8207 Brent \u671f\u8ca8\u66f2\u7dda\u96a8\u5373\u671f\u6ea2\u50f9\u56de\u843d\u800c\u8da8\u5e73\uff0c\u800c\u4e9e\u6d32\u6642\u5dee\u5247\u58d3\u7e2e\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u8feb\u5207\u53d6\u5f97\u5373\u671f\u6876\u6578\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u964d\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e2d\u570b\u5438\u6536\u904e\u5269\u6876\u6578\u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u53d7\u5236\u65bc\u7269\u6d41\u800c\u975e\u55ae\u7d14\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u7576\u5730\u6578\u64da\u4f9b\u61c9\u5546\u5831\u544a\u6771\u90e8\u8207\u5317\u90e8\u6e2f\u53e3\u6301\u7e8c\u9032\u8ca8\u4f46\u51fa\u5eab\u653e\u7de9\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u5132\u7f50\u63a5\u8fd1\u6eff\u8f09\u7684\u7d93\u5178\u4fe1\u865f\u3002\u5c0d\u300a21\u4e16\u7d00\u7d93\u6fdf\u5831\u5c0e\u300b\u900f\u9732\u7684\u696d\u5167\u6d88\u606f\u8aaa\u300c\u6cbf\u6d77\u6cb9\u7f50\u5229\u7528\u7387\u63a5\u8fd1\u6eff\u8ca0\u8377\u300d\uff0c\u8207\u5c71\u6771\u5730\u5340\u7368\u7acb\u7149\u5ee0\u5728\u8f15\u8cea\u993e\u5206\u5229\u5dee\u75b2\u5f31\u6642\u524a\u6e1b\u539f\u6cb9\u8ca0\u8377\u7684\u96f6\u661f\u5831\u5c0e\u76f8\u547c\u61c9\u3002\u570b\u5bb6\u767c\u5c55\u6539\u9769\u59d4\u7684\u6a19\u6e96\u6027\u6307\u5c0e\u300c\u52a0\u5927\u7d71\u7c4c\uff0c\u4fdd\u969c\u4f9b\u61c9\uff0c\u7a69\u5b9a\u50f9\u683c\u300d\u4e5f\u6697\u793a\u8981\u5728\u9032\u53e3\u3001\u7149\u5ee0\u958b\u5de5\u8207\u96f6\u552e\u50f9\u683c\u4e0a\u9650\u4e4b\u9593\u5c0b\u6c42\u5e73\u8861\u3002\u7c21\u55ae\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u4ecd\u53ef\u7e7c\u7e8c\u5411\u6230\u7565\u5132\u5099\u88dc\u8ca8\uff0c\u4f46\u82e5\u5546\u696d\u7f50\u6eff\u3001\u6210\u54c1\u56de\u5835\uff0c\u4f4e\u50f9\u88dc\u5eab\u7684\u6642\u9593\u7a97\u5c31\u66f4\u7a84\u3002\u9019\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u4e2d\u570b\u5728\u4e0d\u8b93\u570b\u5167\u5e73\u8861\u9677\u5165\u4f4e\u6548\u7387\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u6301\u7e8c\u5438\u6536\u6bcf\u65e5 300 \u842c\u6876\u5168\u7403\u904e\u5269\u7684\u9580\u6abb\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6838\u5fc3 OPEC plus \u6210\u54e1\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u8a0a\u865f\u6307\u5411\u4f9b\u61c9\u8f03\u70ba\u5bec\u9b06\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u5a92\u9ad4\u7c21\u6f54\u6293\u5230\u5fae\u5999\u4e4b\u8655\uff1a\u6b63\u5982 Nikkei \u6240\u8a00\u300c\u6e1b\u7522\u5ef6\u9577\u306b\u614e\u91cd\u300d\u2014\u2014\u5c0d\u5ef6\u9577\u6e1b\u7522\u6301\u5be9\u614e\u614b\u5ea6\u2014\u2014\u5229\u96c5\u5fb7\u8207\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\u5728\u6b0a\u8861\u5e02\u5360\u8207\u50f9\u683c\u7a69\u5b9a\u4e4b\u9593\u3002\u4f9b\u61c9\u9b06\u52d5\u8207\u4e9e\u6d32\u7149\u6cb9\u5468\u671f\u767c\u751f\u885d\u7a81\u3002\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u6c7d\u6cb9\u88c2\u89e3\u5229\u5dee\u5728\u6de1\u5b63\u9700\u6c42\u4e0b\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u4e2d\u993e\u5206\u5247\u53d7\u9650\u65bc\u75b2\u8edf\u7684\u904b\u8cbb\u8207\u6771\u5317\u4e9e\u5de5\u696d\u5fa9\u7526\u53d7\u632b\u3002\u97d3\u570b\u65e5\u5831\u6307\u51fa\u8b8a\u5316\uff1aMaeil Business \u5beb\u9053\u300c\uc815\uc81c \ub9c8\uc9c4\uc774 \uc57d\uc138\ub85c \uc804\ud658\u300d\uff0c\u7149\u6cb9\u5229\u5dee\u5df2\u8f49\u5f31\uff0c\u56e0\u5eab\u5b58\u4e0a\u5347\u3001\u51fa\u53e3\u9700\u6c42\u75b2\u8edf\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u6210\u54c1\u51fa\u53e3\u914d\u984d\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u4e0b\u4e00\u500b\u6416\u64fa\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u82e5\u5317\u4eac\u767c\u653e\u66f4\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u7684\u7b2c\u56db\u6279\u6210\u54c1\u51fa\u53e3\u914d\u984d\u4ee5\u6e05\u7406\u7f50\u5bb9\uff0c\u4e9e\u6d32\u67f4\u6cb9\u8207\u6c7d\u6cb9\u5229\u5dee\u53ef\u80fd\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u627f\u58d3\uff0c\u5c07\u904e\u5269\u5411\u4e0b\u6e38\u5916\u6ea2\u3002\u82e5\u914d\u984d\u7dad\u6301\u7dca\u7e2e\uff0c\u570b\u5167\u6210\u54c1\u5eab\u5b58\u5c07\u58d3\u6291\u7149\u5ee0\u958b\u5de5\uff0c\u6291\u5236\u539f\u6cb9\u9032\u53e3\uff0c\u6070\u5728\u66f4\u591a\u6876\u6578\u5c0b\u627e\u53bb\u8655\u4e4b\u969b\u3002\u7121\u8ad6\u54ea\u7a2e\u60c5\u6cc1\uff0c\u8a72\u5730\u5340\u90fd\u6703\u901a\u904e\u8f03\u5f31\u7684\u88c2\u89e3\u5229\u5dee\u3001\u66f4\u98fd\u548c\u7684\u5132\u69fd\u6216\u5169\u8005\u540c\u6642\u50b3\u5c0e\u904e\u5269\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5c0d\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u6838\u5fc3\u8907\u96dc\u6027\u662f\u6578\u64da\u54c1\u8cea\u3002\u5317\u4eac\u3001\u6771\u4eac\u8207\u9996\u723e\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u6e05\u695a\u80fd\u6e90\u9ad4\u7cfb\u4ecd\u4ee5\u78b3\u6c2b\u5316\u5408\u7269\u70ba\u4e3b\uff1b\u4e9e\u6d32\u7d04\u6709 80% \u81f3 85% \u7684\u4e00\u6b21\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8cbb\u4ecd\u4f86\u81ea\u5316\u77f3\u71c3\u6599\uff0c\u8a72\u5340\u9593\u8207\u4e3b\u6d41\u80fd\u6e90\u5e73\u8861\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u4f46\u5730\u65b9\u900f\u660e\u5ea6\u5404\u7570\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u4e0d\u516c\u5e03\u5b98\u65b9\u6230\u7565\u5132\u5099\u7684\u5177\u9ad4\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u6d77\u95dc\u516c\u5e03\u539f\u6cb9\u9032\u53e3\u91cf\u5b58\u5728\u6642\u6eef\u8207\u5076\u767c\u4fee\u6b63\u6578\u3002\u82e5\u5e72\u4e2d\u570b\u50f9\u683c\u5831\u5c0e\u6a5f\u69cb\u8207\u8aee\u8a62\u516c\u53f8\u63d0\u4f9b\u95dc\u65bc\u7149\u5ee0\u958b\u5de5\u8207\u5eab\u5b58\u7684\u53ef\u9760\u8a0a\u865f\uff0c\u4f46\u5373\u4fbf\u662f\u5b83\u5011\u4e5f\u8b66\u544a\u8f03\u5c0f\u696d\u8005\u7684\u62ab\u9732\u96f6\u6563\u3002\u5982\u4e00\u4f4d\u4e0a\u6d77\u5206\u6790\u5e2b\u5c0d\u300a\u8b49\u5238\u6642\u5831\u300b\u6240\u8a00\uff1a\u300c\u6578\u64da\u62ab\u9732\u6709\u9650\u300d\uff0c\u6578\u64da\u62ab\u9732\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u96e3\u4ee5\u5206\u8fa8\u662f\u6230\u8853\u6027\u88dc\u5eab\u9084\u662f\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u8207\u97d3\u570b\uff0c\u7149\u5ee0\u958b\u5de5\u8207\u6210\u54c1\u5eab\u5b58\u8a18\u9304\u8f03\u5b8c\u5584\uff0c\u4f46\u9700\u6c42\u7aef\u6307\u6a19\u2014\u2014\u5c24\u5176\u8207\u51fa\u53e3\u9031\u671f\u9023\u52d5\u7684\u77f3\u5316\u9700\u6c42\u2014\u2014\u96dc\u8a0a\u8f03\u591a\u3002\u5728\u9019\u6a23\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6558\u4e8b\u5bb9\u6613\u904e\u5ea6\u64ec\u5408\u55ae\u4e00\u7684\u904e\u5269\u982d\u689d\u3002\u5730\u65b9\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u8d70\u52e2\u986f\u793a\u4e00\u500b\u66f4\u70ba\u6f38\u9032\u7684\u8abf\u6574\uff0c\u4e26\u53d7\u5230\u653f\u7b56\u5de5\u5177\u7684\u904e\u6ffe\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u96f6\u552e\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u9650\u3001\u51fa\u53e3\u914d\u984d\u8207\u6230\u7565\u5132\u5099\u88dc\u5eab\u7bc0\u594f\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5728\u50f9\u683c\u53cd\u61c9\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u7269\u6d41\u6703\u5148\u884c\u8abf\u7bc0\u904e\u5269\u3002\u4e9e\u6d32\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u5831\u544a\u96a8\u8457\u671f\u8ca8\u8d70\u5165 Contango\uff0c\u6642\u9593\u79df\u8239\u8a62\u50f9\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u82e5\u9678\u4e0a\u7f50\u5bb9\u6536\u7dca\uff0c\u6d77\u4e0a\u6d6e\u5132\u53ef\u80fd\u518d\u5ea6\u51fa\u73fe\u7684\u8a0a\u865f\u3002\u9019\u4e5f\u8207\u65e5\u672c\u8a55\u8ad6\u4e00\u81f4\uff1a\u300c\u5728\u5eab\u306e\u7a4d\u307f\u5897\u3057\u306b\u306f\u9650\u754c\u304c\u3042\u308b\u300d\u2014\u2014\u5eab\u5b58\u589e\u52a0\u6709\u5176\u6975\u9650\u2014\u2014\u5c24\u5176\u5c0d\u8f03\u5c0f\u7684\u78bc\u982d\u800c\u8a00\u3002\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u5678\u82f1\u91cc\u9700\u6c42\u53ef\u5728\u539f\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\u8d70\u8edf\u6642\u652f\u6490\u6cb9\u8f2a\u904b\u50f9\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u80cc\u96e2\u5df2\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u822a\u904b\u80a1\u8dd1\u8d0f\u751f\u7522\u8005\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u53ef\u898b\u3002\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u7ba1\u7dda\u8207\u6e2f\u53e3\u64c1\u5835\u662f\u5be6\u969b\u9650\u5236\u3002\u5317\u65b9\u6e2f\u53e3\u96d6\u6539\u5584\u9760\u6cca\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u4f46\u7576\u7149\u5ee0\u6e1b\u5c11\u63a5\u8ca8\u6642\uff0c\u5167\u9678\u904b\u8f38\u4ecd\u662f\u74f6\u9838\u3002\u82e5\u6210\u54c1\u7121\u6cd5\u5728\u570b\u5167\u6d88\u5316\uff0c\u51fa\u53e3\u5957\u5229\u5247\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u914d\u984d\u6642\u9ede\u8207\u5340\u57df\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u6771\u5357\u4e9e\u8cb7\u5bb6\u53ef\u5438\u7d0d\u90e8\u5206\u6876\u6578\uff0c\u4f46\u67f4\u6cb9\u904e\u5269\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u4ecd\u7531\u7f8e\u570b\u8207\u6b50\u6d32\u5b9a\u50f9\uff0c\u800c\u5169\u5730\u4e5f\u90fd\u9762\u81e8\u81ea\u5bb6\u5eab\u5b58\u91cd\u5efa\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5730\u65b9\u5b8f\u89c0\u6578\u64da\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u6307\u5f15\u6709\u9650\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u5de5\u696d\u751f\u7522\u8207\u88fd\u9020\u696d PMI \u5df2\u7a69\u5b9a\u4f46\u672a\u52a0\u901f\u5230\u8db3\u4ee5\u652f\u6301\u7cbe\u7149\u6210\u54c1\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u5bb6\u5ead\u652f\u51fa\u4f9d\u7136\u75b2\u5f31\uff0c\u6291\u5236\u6c7d\u6cb9\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u800c\u97d3\u570b\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u56de\u5347\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u534a\u5c0e\u9ad4\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u9ad8\u8017\u80fd\u88fd\u54c1\u3002\u591a\u4f4d\u4e9e\u6d32\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u7e3d\u9ad4 GDP \u662f\u63a8\u65b7\u6cb9\u54c1\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u7c97\u7cd9\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u6b63\u5982\u4e2d\u570b\u8a55\u8ad6\u6240\u8a00\u300c\u540d\u7fa9\u589e\u901f\u8207\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8017\u4e26\u4e0d\u540c\u6b65\u300d\uff0c\u540d\u7fa9\u589e\u901f\u8207\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8017\u4e26\u4e0d\u540c\u6b65\u3002\u5e74\u521d\u628a\u539f\u6cb9\u5e73\u8861\u639b\u5728\u6bcf\u6876 100 \u7f8e\u5143\u6558\u4e8b\u4e0a\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\uff0c\u96a8\u8457 OPEC plus \u7d00\u5f8b\u770b\u8d77\u4f86\u6c92\u90a3\u9ebc\u56b4\u683c\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e9e\u6d32\u9700\u6c42\u8108\u52d5\u56de\u6b78\u6b63\u5e38\uff0c\u6b63\u5728\u91cd\u65b0\u6821\u6e96\u3002\u96f6\u552e\u8207\u822a\u7a7a\u80a1\u53cd\u6620\u9019\u4e00\u8f49\u8b8a\uff0c\u56e0\u71c3\u6599\u6210\u672c\u4e0b\u964d\u800c\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u6e38\u98a8\u96aa\u655e\u53e3\u5247\u958b\u59cb\u6d88\u9000\u3002<\/p>\n
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