{"id":594556,"date":"2025-09-23T12:44:11","date_gmt":"2025-09-23T19:44:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/?p=594556"},"modified":"2025-09-23T12:44:11","modified_gmt":"2025-09-23T19:44:11","slug":"%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e6%bc%b2%e5%8b%a2%e5%9c%a8%e9%ae%91%e5%a8%81%e7%88%be%e6%bc%94%e8%aa%aa%e5%89%8d%e6%9a%ab%e6%ad%87%ef%bc%8c%e9%bb%83%e9%87%91%e6%8e%a8%e5%8d%87%e8%87%b3%e6%96%b0%e6%ad%b7%e5%8f%b2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/blog\/2025\/09\/%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e6%bc%b2%e5%8b%a2%e5%9c%a8%e9%ae%91%e5%a8%81%e7%88%be%e6%bc%94%e8%aa%aa%e5%89%8d%e6%9a%ab%e6%ad%87%ef%bc%8c%e9%bb%83%e9%87%91%e6%8e%a8%e5%8d%87%e8%87%b3%e6%96%b0%e6%ad%b7%e5%8f%b2\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5e02\u5834\u6f32\u52e2\u5728\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\u6f14\u8aaa\u524d\u66ab\u6b47\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u63a8\u5347\u81f3\u65b0\u6b77\u53f2\u9ad8\u4f4d"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u7f8e\u80a1\u671f\u8ca8\u6301\u5e73\uff0c\u516c\u50b5\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u5c0f\u5e45\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u5728\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u4e3b\u5e2d Jerome Powell \u5373\u5c07\u767c\u8868\u9ad8\u98a8\u96aa\u6f14\u8aaa\u524d\u66ab\u6642\u505c\u6cca\u98a8\u96aa\u8cc7\u7522\u3002\u4f8b\u5916\u7684\u662f\u9ec3\u91d1\u3002\u73fe\u8ca8\u50f9\u683c\u5728\u5831\u5c0e\u4e2d\u570b\u6b63\u63a8\u52d5\u6210\u70ba\u5916\u570b\u4e3b\u6b0a\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u4fdd\u7ba1\u570b\u5f8c\u98c6\u5347\u81f3\u63a5\u8fd1\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f8 3,790 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u653e\u5927\u907f\u96aa\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u52d5\u8207\u5728\u964d\u606f\u9810\u671f\u4e0b\u7121\u6536\u76ca\u8cc7\u7522\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u5e7e\u4e4e\u7121\u8b8a\u52d5\uff0c\u6cb9\u50f9\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0a\u63da\uff0c\u800c\u5e02\u5834\u504f\u597d\u7684\u6210\u9577\u5f15\u64ce\u8868\u73fe\u5206\u6b67\uff0cNvidia \u76e4\u524d\u8d70\u8edf\u3001Tesla \u4e0a\u6f32\u7d04 1%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9ec3\u91d1\u5728\u4e2d\u570b\u4fdd\u7ba1\u63a8\u52d5\u4e0b\u7a81\u7834<\/h3>\n

\u672c\u6708\u8a72\u91d1\u5c6c\u7684\u52d5\u80fd\u5df2\u5f9e\u5f37\u52c1\u8f49\u70ba\u52e2\u4e0d\u53ef\u64cb\uff0c\u50ac\u5316\u56e0\u7d20\u986f\u800c\u6613\u898b\u3002\u5f6d\u535a\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u4eba\u6c11\u9280\u884c\u6b63\u62c9\u650f\u53cb\u597d\u653f\u5e9c\u8cfc\u8cb7\u9ec3\u91d1\u4e26\u5c07\u5176\u5b58\u653e\u65bc\u5883\u5167\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u4e0a\u6d77\u9ec3\u91d1\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u6253\u9020\u4fdd\u7ba1\u6a1e\u7d10\u3002\u6b64\u8209\u70ba\u5df2\u53d7\u5bec\u9b06\u9810\u671f\u8207\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u7dca\u5f35\u63a8\u52d5\u7684\u6f32\u52e2\u6ce8\u5165\u52a9\u529b\u3002\u8a72\u63aa\u65bd\u5c07\u52a0\u6df1\u4e2d\u570b\u5728\u91d1\u50f9\u8207\u5b58\u5132\u4e0a\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\uff0c\u70ba\u64d4\u5fc3\u906d\u53d7\u5236\u88c1\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u500b\u975e\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5132\u5099\u9078\u9805\u3002\u96a8\u8457\u4eca\u65e5\u50f9\u683c\u518d\u5ea6\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u6b63\u671d\u5411\u81ea 2020 \u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u4f73\u7684\u6708\u5ea6\u8868\u73fe\u9081\u9032\u3002\u5b83\u4e5f\u5728\u6539\u5beb\u8de8\u8cc7\u7522\u76f8\u95dc\u6027\uff0c\u65e2\u626e\u6f14\u901a\u81a8\u5c0d\u6c96\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u4e5f\u6210\u70ba\u653f\u7b56\u5c0d\u6c96\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u6b63\u8861\u91cf\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u964d\u606f\u7684\u8def\u5f91\u8207\u5c0d\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u7368\u7acb\u6027\u7684\u7591\u616e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5317\u4eac\u5c0d\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u671f\u671b<\/h3>\n

\u5c0d\u5317\u4eac\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4fdd\u7ba1\u662f\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u900f\u904e\u4e0a\u6d77\u63d0\u4f9b\u91d1\u5eab\u7a7a\u9593\u8207\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\uff0c\u6703\u628a\u66f4\u591a\u5b98\u65b9\u90e8\u9580\u8cc7\u91d1\u62c9\u5165\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u8ecc\u9053\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u5176\u9577\u671f\u7684\u5132\u5099\u591a\u5143\u5316\uff0c\u4e26\u7d66\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u5728\u8ca8\u5e63\u8207\u5546\u54c1\u5916\u4ea4\u4e0a\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u69d3\u687f\u3002\u5c0d\u76df\u53cb\u7684\u63a8\u4ecb\u5f88\u7c21\u55ae\uff1a\u8cfc\u8cb7\u9ec3\u91d1\uff0c\u628a\u5b83\u5b58\u653e\u5728\u9019\u88e1\uff0c\u5728\u6211\u5011\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u4ea4\u6613\u3002\u9019\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u8981\u628a\u9ec3\u91d1\u6b66\u5668\u5316\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5728\u95dc\u7a05\u3001\u5236\u88c1\u8207\u8cc7\u672c\u7ba1\u5236\u6240\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5206\u88c2\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\u5efa\u7acb\u5197\u9918\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u5df2\u6536\u5230\u8a0a\u865f\u3002\u66f4\u591a\u5b98\u65b9\u8cb7\u76e4\u8207\u65b0\u7684\u5b58\u5132\u5834\u57df\u6703\u6536\u7dca\u5be6\u7269\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u62ac\u5347\u671f\u9650\u6ea2\u916c\u4e26\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u70ba\u4fdd\u96aa\u652f\u4ed8\u66f4\u9ad8\u50f9\u683c\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u591a\u5e74\u4f86\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u5927\u8cb7\u5bb6\uff0c\u4fdd\u7ba1\u9762\u5411\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u4f7f\u9019\u689d\u9700\u6c42\u93c8\u66f4\u70ba\u6b63\u5f0f\u5316\u3002\u773c\u524d\u7684\u6548\u61c9\u662f\u50f9\u683c\uff0c\u9577\u9060\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u5247\u662f\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

Powell \u4e0a\u5834\u524d\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u8d70\u8edf<\/h3>\n

\u570b\u50b5\u5728\u6574\u689d\u66f2\u7dda\u4e0a\u4e0a\u6f32 1 \u5230 2 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede\uff0c10 \u5e74\u671f\u7d04\u5728 4.13%\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u5df2\u5c07\u9df9\u6d3e\u9a5a\u559c\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u4e0b\u4fee\u3002\u671f\u8ca8\u4ecd\u8a08\u50f9\u4eca\u5e74\u81f3\u5c11\u518d\u964d\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u4f46\u5b98\u54e1\u5011\u614b\u5ea6\u8b39\u614e\uff0c\u5f37\u8abf\u670d\u52d9\u696d\u901a\u81a8\u9ecf\u6027\u8207\u984d\u5916\u5bec\u9b06\u7684\u72f9\u7a84\u7a7a\u9593\u3002Powell \u5c07\u5728\u7d10\u7d04\u6642\u9593 12:35 \u767c\u8868\u7d93\u6fdf\u524d\u666f\u8ac7\u8a71\u3002\u82e5\u91cd\u7533\u8010\u5fc3\uff0c\u5c07\u7dad\u6301\u8edf\u8457\u9678\u6558\u4e8b\u4e26\u652f\u6490\u9ec3\u91d1\u9700\u6c42\uff1b\u82e5\u8a9e\u6c23\u8f49\u9df9\uff0c\u5247\u6703\u6aa2\u9a57\u5229\u7387\u654f\u611f\u8cc7\u7522\u7684\u6f32\u52e2\u4e26\u6291\u5236\u91d1\u50f9\u3002\u60c5\u52e2\u5f88\u6e05\u6670\u3002\u4e0b\u5348 1 \u9ede\u7684 2 \u5e74\u671f\u570b\u50b5\u62cd\u8ce3\u589e\u52a0\u7b2c\u4e8c\u500b\u58d3\u529b\u9ede\uff0c\u63d0\u4f9b 690 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u4f9b\u7d66\u4ee5\u8861\u91cf\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u800c\u81ea\u590f\u672b\u4ee5\u4f86\u5e02\u5834\u5df2\u8da8\u9d3f\u6d3e\u3002<\/p>\n

AI \u72c2\u71b1\u9047\u4e0a\u8cc7\u91d1\u6578\u5b78<\/h3>\n

\u80a1\u5e02\u662f\u66ab\u505c\u800c\u975e\u6050\u614c\u3002S&P 500 \u8207 Nasdaq 100 \u671f\u8ca8\u5728\u9023\u5169\u65e5\u56e0\u65b0\u4e00\u6ce2 AI \u71b1\u6f6e\u4e0a\u6f32\u5f8c\u8b8a\u52d5\u4e0d\u5927\u3002Nvidia \u8a08\u756b\u5c0d OpenAI \u6295\u8cc7\u6700\u591a 1,000 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5f37\u5316\u4e86\u5c0d\u904b\u7b97\u8207\u8cc7\u672c\u7684\u8ecd\u5099\u7af6\u8cfd\u7126\u9ede\uff0c\u9019\u6b63\u5728\u652f\u6490\u5927\u578b\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u7684\u500d\u6578\u3002\u9019\u4e5f\u52a0\u6df1\u4e86\u5c0d\u8cc7\u91d1\u5faa\u74b0\u52d5\u614b\u8207\u8a72\u652f\u51fa\u56de\u5831\u7684\u7591\u554f\u3002\u9867\u554f\u4f30\u7b97\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u4f01\u696d\u5230 2030 \u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u7d04 2 \u5146\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u904b\u7b97\u8cc7\u6e90\uff0c\u4e26\u53ef\u80fd\u6709 8,000 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u7f3a\u53e3\u3002\u7dca\u5f35\u614b\u52e2\u5728\u87a2\u5e55\u4e0a\u53ef\u898b\u3002\u76e4\u524d\u4e03\u5927\u5de8\u982d\u8868\u73fe\u6df7\u96dc\uff0cNVDA \u4e0b\u8dcc\u7d04 1%\uff0cApple \u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0cTesla \u4e0a\u6f32 1%\u3002\u6b63\u5982\u67d0\u4f4d\u5b8f\u89c0\u7b56\u7565\u5e2b\u6240\u8a00\uff0c\u8de8\u8cc7\u7522\u884c\u60c5\u6b63\u88ab AI \u9a45\u52d5\u7684\u52d5\u7269\u7cbe\u795e\u8207\u5c0d Fed \u7368\u7acb\u6027\u7684\u5be9\u8996\u6240\u62c9\u626f\u3002\u9ec3\u91d1\u662f\u90a3\u7a2e\u7126\u616e\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u3002<\/p>\n

Powell \u82e5\u9a5a\u8a1d\u504f\u9df9\u6703\u5148\u6253\u64ca\u4ec0\u9ebc<\/h3>\n

\u82e5 Powell \u50be\u5411\u66f4\u9df9\u6d3e\uff0c\u7acb\u5373\u53d7\u58d3\u7684\u662f\u5229\u7387\u654f\u611f\u7684\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u8207\u9ec3\u91d1\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u53ef\u80fd\u8d70\u5f37\uff0c\u9577\u7aef\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u66f2\u7dda\u5448\u73fe\u718a\u5e02\u8da8\u9661\uff0c\u56e0\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u6d88\u5316 2025 \u5e74\u964d\u606f\u6b65\u4f10\u653e\u7de9\u3002\u9019\u6703\u51b7\u537b\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u4e26\u5728\u5b63\u5e95\u524d\u652f\u6301\u9280\u884c\u8207\u80fd\u6e90\u5faa\u74b0\u80a1\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\u5730\uff0c\u82e5\u8a9e\u8abf\u9d3f\u6d3e\u6216\u4e2d\u6027\u5ef6\u7e8c\uff0c\u751c\u871c\u9ede\u5247\u6703\u64f4\u5927\uff1a\u5be6\u8cea\u5229\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u3001\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u8edf\u3001\u9ad8\u8c9d\u5854\u79d1\u6280\u9818\u982d\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u9ec3\u91d1\u4f5c\u70ba\u7d44\u5408\u5c0d\u6c96\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u66f4\u7a69\u56fa\u30022 \u5e74\u671f\u62cd\u8ce3\u5c07\u6709\u52a9\u65bc\u6821\u6e96\u524d\u7aef\u8cb7\u76e4\u662f\u5426\u5728\u672c\u6708\u6f32\u52e2\u5f8c\u9000\u5834\u3002\u82e5\u9700\u6c42\u75b2\u5f31\uff0c\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u5728 Powell \u8ac7\u8a71\u7a97\u53e3\u5167\u4e0a\u5347\u4e26\u4f7f\u8a0a\u606f\u8907\u96dc\u5316\uff1b\u82e5\u9700\u6c42\u5f37\u52c1\uff0c\u5247\u70ba\u5348\u5f8c\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u504f\u597d\u6e05\u9664\u969c\u7919\u3002<\/p>\n

\u90e8\u4f4d\u6aa2\u8996\uff1a\u85cd\u7c4c\u8207\u907f\u96aa<\/h3>\n

\u8868\u9762\u4e0b\uff0c\u90e8\u9580\u57fa\u8abf\u76f8\u7576\u9078\u64c7\u6027\u3002Boeing \u76e4\u524d\u56e0 787 \u98db\u6a5f\u8a02\u55ae\u8207\u5c0d\u66f4\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u7f8e\u4e2d\u5354\u8b70\u7684\u6a02\u89c0\u800c\u4e0a\u6f32\u7d04 2%\uff0c\u63d0\u9192\u5e02\u5834\u7576\u8a02\u55ae\u80fd\u898b\u5ea6\u6539\u5584\u6642\uff0c\u822a\u592a\u696d\u53ef\u8207\u5b8f\u89c0\u60b2\u89c0\u812b\u9264\u3002\u80fd\u6e90\u80a1\u53d7\u60e0\u65bc WTI \u5728 62 \u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3001Brent \u5728 67 \u7f8e\u5143\u4e4b\u4e0a\u7684\u5c0f\u5e45\u9806\u98a8\u3002VIX \u7dad\u6301\u5728\u63a5\u8fd1 16\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u4e26\u672a\u5728 Powell \u524d\u4ed8\u9ad8\u50f9\u8cfc\u8cb7\u4e0b\u884c\u4fdd\u8b77\u3002\u5f6d\u535a\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\u8d70\u5e73\u3002\u5728\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u8d85\u984d\u8868\u73fe\u4ecd\u96c6\u4e2d\u3002\u9ec3\u91d1\u6301\u7e8c\u9818\u8dd1\uff0c\u800c\u5de5\u696d\u91d1\u5c6c\u5728\u4e2d\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\u56de\u6eab\u653e\u7de9\u8207\u5929\u5019\u64fe\u4e82\u4f7f\u4e9e\u6d32\u8cbf\u6613\u8907\u96dc\u5f8c\uff0c\u6b63\u9010\u6b65\u892a\u53bb\u4f86\u81ea\u7f8e\u570b\u79d1\u6280\u5f37\u52c1\u885d\u64ca\u7684\u52d5\u80fd\u3002\u82e5\u9ec3\u91d1\u662f\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u9328\uff0c\u90a3\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u5176\u4ed6\u4e00\u5207\u90fd\u5728\u79fb\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5168\u7403\u6210\u9577\u4e0a\u4fee\u3001\u95dc\u7a05\u6eef\u5f8c\u98a8\u96aa<\/h3>\n

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