{"id":602091,"date":"2025-11-05T11:54:31","date_gmt":"2025-11-05T19:54:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/?p=602091"},"modified":"2025-11-05T11:54:31","modified_gmt":"2025-11-05T19:54:31","slug":"nvidia-tsmc-ai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/blog\/2025\/11\/nvidia-tsmc-ai\/","title":{"rendered":"Nvidia\u3001TSMC \u9818\u8dcc\u6676\u7247\u80a1\uff0cAI \u6ce1\u6cab\u9000\u6f6e"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u5168\u7403\u6676\u7247\u80a1\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u632b\uff0c\u56e0\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u5c0d\u5efa\u7acb\u5728 AI \u71b1\u6f6e\u4e0a\u7684\u9ad8\u4f30\u503c\u7522\u751f\u7591\u616e\uff0c\u5e02\u503c\u7d04\u84b8\u767c 5,000 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4e26\u8b93\u8a72\u7522\u696d\u9577\u9054\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u6f32\u52e2\u9762\u81e8\u8b66\u8a0a\u3002\u62cb\u552e\u9996\u5148\u885d\u64ca\u4e9e\u6d32\uff0c\u97d3\u570b KOSPI \u4e00\u5ea6\u4e0b\u8dcc 6.2%\uff0c\u4ee5 Samsung Electronics \u548c SK Hynix \u70ba\u8dcc\u5e45\u4e3b\u5c0e\uff0c\u65e5\u672c Nikkei \u4e0b\u632b 4.5%\uff0cTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSM) \u8dcc\u903e 3%\u3002\u9019\u6ce2\u56de\u6a94\u6fc0\u8d77\u5e02\u5834\u8a0e\u8ad6\uff1aAI \u4ea4\u6613\u662f\u5426\u5728\u964d\u6eab\uff0c\u6216\u53ea\u662f\u5728\u4e00\u6bb5\u62cb\u7269\u7dda\u5f0f\u4e0a\u6f32\u5f8c\u91cd\u7f6e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f30\u503c\u6c23\u6ce1\u88ab\u63ed\u9732<\/h3>\n

\u534a\u5c0e\u9ad4\u4f30\u503c\u4eca\u5e74\u5df2\u5927\u5e45\u8dd1\u8d0f\u57fa\u672c\u9762\uff0c\u500d\u6578\u5728\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u6062\u5fa9\u6b63\u5e38\u8207\u65b0\u7522\u80fd\u4e0a\u7dda\u7684\u540c\u6642\u4ecd\u6301\u7e8c\u64f4\u5f35\u3002Nvidia (NVDA) \u4f5c\u70ba AI \u652f\u51fa\u7684\u4e8b\u5be6\u4ee3\u540d\u8a5e\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u52d5\u80fd\u8cc7\u91d1\u7684\u78c1\u77f3\uff0c\u5e36\u52d5 Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)\u3001Broadcom (AVGO) \u4ee5\u53ca\u5f9e\u8a18\u61b6\u9ad4\u5230\u8a2d\u5099\u7684\u6574\u500b\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u4e0a\u6f32\u3002\u7576\u6301\u5009\u56de\u6a94\u6642\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u52d5\u614b\u6703\u53cd\u5411\u653e\u5927\u3002\u4e00\u65e6\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u958b\u59cb\u8cea\u7591 AI \u9a45\u52d5\u7684\u6536\u5165\u80fd\u591a\u5feb\u8f49\u5316\u70ba\u76c8\u5229\u2014\u2014\u4ee5\u53ca\u8d85\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u96f2\u7aef\u696d\u8005\u7684\u8cc7\u672c\u652f\u51fa\u80fd\u5728\u73fe\u6709\u901f\u5ea6\u7dad\u6301\u591a\u4e45\u2014\u2014\u4f30\u503c\u7684\u7a7a\u6a94\u5c31\u986f\u73fe\u3002\u7d50\u679c\u662f\uff1a\u5c0d\u6700\u5177\u6ea2\u50f9\u7684\u500b\u80a1\u51fa\u73fe\u8fc5\u901f\u7684\u964d\u8a55\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e9e\u6d32\u70ba\u5168\u7403\u91cd\u7f6e\u5b9a\u8abf<\/h3>\n

\u9694\u591c\u4e9e\u6d32\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5b8c\u6210\u4e86\u91cd\u4efb\uff0c\u50b3\u9054\u51fa\u71b1\u60c5\u5df2\u8d85\u8d8a\u77ed\u671f\u53ef\u898b\u5ea6\u7684\u660e\u78ba\u8a0a\u606f\u3002\u97d3\u570b\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u4ee5 SK Hynix \u9818\u5148\uff0c\u8a72\u516c\u53f8\u5728\u9ad8\u5e36\u5bec\u8a18\u61b6\u9ad4\u9818\u57df\u5c45\u65bc\u9818\u5c0e\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u5176\u547d\u904b\u8207 AI \u4f3a\u670d\u5668\u9700\u6c42\u7dca\u5bc6\u76f8\u9023\uff0cSamsung \u5247\u540c\u6642\u8de8\u8db3\u8a18\u61b6\u9ad4\u8207\u6676\u5713\u4ee3\u5de5\u3002\u5728\u65e5\u672c\uff0c\u8207\u6676\u7247\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u91cd\u91cf\u7d1a\u4f01\u696d\u8207\u8a2d\u5099\u985e\u80a1\u5247\u662f\u8ddf\u8dcc\u3002TSMC \u7684\u4e0b\u632b\u547c\u61c9\u4e86\u5ba2\u6236\u5728\u512a\u5148\u914d\u7f6e AI \u4efd\u984d\u540c\u6642\u6536\u7dca\u55ae\u4f4d\u8a02\u55ae\u7684\u8b39\u614e\u8a9e\u6c23\u3002\u7576\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6676\u5713\u4ee3\u5de5\u5ee0\u51fa\u73fe\u9583\u5931\uff0c\u4e0b\u6e38\u4f9b\u61c9\u5546\u8207\u8a2d\u5099\u88fd\u9020\u5546\u901a\u5e38\u6703\u8ddf\u9032\u3002\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u6676\u7247 ETF \u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u671f\u8ca8\uff0c\u5305\u62ec VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) \u8207 iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX)\uff0c\u5728\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u628a\u8ffd\u8d95\u5f0f\u4e0b\u632b\u50f9\u683c\u5165\u5834\u6642\u6307\u5411\u8d70\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5927\u8cc7\u91d1\u986f\u793a\u5c0d\u56de\u6a94\u7684\u5bb9\u5fcd\u5ea6<\/h3>\n

\u6a5f\u69cb\u9818\u5c0e\u8005\u5df2\u958b\u59cb\u50b3\u9054\u5c0d\u9707\u76ea\u7684\u8f03\u9ad8\u5bb9\u5fcd\u5ea6\u3002Morgan Stanley \u57f7\u884c\u9577 Ted Pick \u8868\u793a\uff1a\u300c\u6211\u5011\u61c9\u8a72\u6b61\u8fce\u51fa\u73fe 10% \u5230 15% \u7684\u56de\u6a94\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u9019\u4e0d\u662f\u7531\u67d0\u7a2e\u5b8f\u89c0\u61f8\u5d16\u6548\u61c9\u6240\u9a45\u52d5\uff0c\u300d\u5c07\u9019\u6ce2\u4e0b\u8dcc\u6846\u5b9a\u70ba\u5c0d\u904e\u5ea6\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u6d88\u9000\u3002\u8b39\u614e\u4e0d\u50c5\u505c\u7559\u5728\u8a00\u8a9e\u4e0a\u3002\u5c0d\u6c96\u57fa\u91d1\u7d93\u7406 Michael Burry \u62ab\u9732\u5c0d Palantir (PLTR) \u7684\u5927\u984d\u7a7a\u55ae\uff0c\u8a72\u80a1\u96a8\u5f8c\u4e0b\u8dcc 7.94%\uff0c\u63d0\u9192\u5e02\u5834\u61f7\u7591\u8ad6\u4e0d\u518d\u7981\u5fcc\u3002\u96a8\u8457\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u7684\u7e3d\u69d3\u687f\u504f\u9ad8\u4e14\u56e0\u5b50\u64c1\u64e0\u5ea6\u5f37\uff0c\u53bb\u98a8\u96aa\u5316\u6703\u81ea\u6211\u52a0\u901f\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u57fa\u91d1\u70ba\u4fdd\u8b77\u5e74\u521d\u81f3\u4eca\u7684\u7372\u5229\u800c\u4fee\u526a\u8d0f\u5bb6\u90e8\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u662f\u6301\u5009\u8abf\u6574\u9084\u662f\u771f\u6709\u554f\u984c\uff1f\u591a\u982d\u8ad6\u9ede\u7a31\u70ba\u64c1\u64e0\u6548\u61c9<\/h3>\n

\u4e26\u975e\u6bcf\u500b\u4eba\u90fd\u8a8d\u70ba\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u51fa\u73fe\u65b7\u88c2\u3002Pictet Asset Management \u7684 Jon Withaar \u8868\u793a\uff1a\u300c\u9019\u6ce2\u62cb\u552e\u770b\u4f3c\u4e3b\u8981\u7531\u6301\u5009\u9a45\u52d5\uff0c\u8fd1\u671f\u8868\u73fe\u512a\u7570\u7684\u500b\u80a1\u627f\u53d7\u4e86\u6700\u5927\u8dcc\u5e45\u3002\u300d\u9019\u4e00\u89c0\u9ede\u8207\u4e3b\u8981\u4f9b\u61c9\u5546\u7684\u8a02\u55ae\u66f8\u76f8\u5951\u5408\uff0c\u5f8c\u8005\u4ecd\u986f\u793a AI \u52a0\u901f\u5668\u7684\u5206\u914d\u7dca\u4fcf\u3001\u4e0b\u4e00\u4ee3\u4f3a\u670d\u5668\u7684\u8a02\u55ae\u7a4d\u58d3\u5f37\u52c1\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5c0d\u9ad8\u5e36\u5bec\u8a18\u61b6\u9ad4\u7684\u6301\u7e8c\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u5373\u4fbf\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u6b63\u5728\u91cd\u65b0\u6aa2\u8996\u4e00\u500b\u95dc\u9375\u554f\u984c\uff1aAI \u5de5\u4f5c\u8ca0\u8f09\u7684\u8b8a\u73fe\u7bc4\u570d\u548c\u8010\u4e45\u6027\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u80fd\u8d85\u8d8a\u5c11\u6578\u5e7e\u5bb6\u5de8\u578b\u8cb7\u5bb6\uff1f\u82e5\u8fd1\u671f\u5167\u7b54\u6848\u6bd4\u9810\u671f\u66f4\u7a84\uff0c\u4f30\u503c\u500d\u6578\u9700\u8981\u53cd\u6620\u9019\u9ede\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u8ad6\u9ede\u4ecd\u7136\u6210\u7acb\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e02\u5834\u73fe\u5728\u5728\u91cd\u65b0\u5b9a\u50f9\u4ec0\u9ebc<\/h3>\n

\u6709\u5169\u7a2e\u529b\u91cf\u5728\u767c\u63ee\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u5176\u4e00\u662f\u8cc7\u672c\u6210\u672c\u3002\u5be6\u8cea\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u6703\u964d\u4f4e\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u9858\u610f\u70ba\u9060\u671f\u6210\u9577\u4ed8\u51fa\u7684\u50f9\u683c\uff0c\u800c\u534a\u5c0e\u9ad4\u662f\u5c0d\u671f\u9593\uff08duration\uff09\u6700\u654f\u611f\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u5176\u4e8c\u662f\u4f9b\u7d66\u5f48\u6027\u3002TSMC\u3001Samsung\u3001Intel (INTC) \u8207\u8a18\u61b6\u9ad4\u9f8d\u982d\u57fa\u65bc\u8d85\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u96f2\u7aef\u696d\u8005\u7684\u8def\u7dda\u5716\u6240\u5851\u9020\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u52a0\u5927\u4e86\u7522\u80fd\u6295\u5165\u3002\u82e5\u90e8\u7f72\u6642\u7a0b\u5ef6\u5f8c\u6216\u5ba2\u6236\u512a\u5148\u8003\u91cf\u5229\u7528\u7387\u800c\u975e\u55ae\u4f4d\u6210\u9577\uff0c\u9019\u53ef\u80fd\u58d3\u7e2e\u50f9\u683c\u6b0a\u529b\u3002\u51fa\u53e3\u7ba1\u5236\u8207\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u8b8a\u52d5\u4ecd\u662f\u5c0d\u65bc\u6709\u4e2d\u570b\u66dd\u96aa\u7684\u7279\u5b9a\u500b\u80a1\u7684\u8b8a\u6578\u3002\u7d9c\u5408\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u98a8\u96aa\u4f7f\u5f97\u5e02\u5834\u61c9\u7d66\u4e88\u7684\u5cf0\u503c\u500d\u6578\u4f4e\u65bc\u590f\u5b63\u72c2\u71b1\u671f\u9593\u6240\u8ce6\u4e88\u7684\u6c34\u6e96\u3002<\/p>\n

\u58d3\u529b\u53ef\u80fd\u8513\u5ef6\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u500b\u9818\u57df<\/h3>\n

\u82e5\u9019\u8f2a\u964d\u8a55\u6301\u7e8c\uff0c\u4e0b\u4e00\u6ce2\u885d\u64ca\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u843d\u5728\u53d7\u60e0\u65bc\u7a4d\u6975\u7522\u80fd\u8a08\u756b\u7684\u8cc7\u672c\u8a2d\u5099\u8207\u5c08\u696d\u4f9b\u61c9\u5546\u3002ASML (ASML)\u3001Applied Materials (AMAT)\u3001Lam Research (LRCX) \u8207 KLA (KLAC) \u96a8\u8457\u6b21\u4e16\u4ee3\u88fd\u7a0b\u8207 HBM \u64f4\u5f35\u800c\u4e00\u540c\u53d7\u76ca\uff1b\u82e5\u5ba2\u6236\u5ef6\u7de9\u4ea4\u8ca8\u6216\u62c9\u9577\u4ea4\u671f\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u6703\u6700\u5148\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u58d3\u529b\u3002\u8a18\u61b6\u9ad4\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u6d29\u58d3\u95a5\u3002SK Hynix \u8207 Micron (MU) \u56e0 AI \u4f3a\u670d\u5668\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u56de\u5347\u53d7\u76ca\u826f\u591a\uff0c\u4f46\u66f4\u5ee3\u6cdb\u7684 DRAM \u8207 NAND \u9700\u6c42\u4ecd\u9700\u624b\u6a5f\u8207 PC \u7684\u540c\u6b65\u5fa9\u7526\u4f86\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u6f64\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\uff0c\u8acb\u6ce8\u610f\u5c01\u88dd\u3001\u57fa\u677f\u8207\u96fb\u6e90\u7ba1\u7406\u7b49\u6b21\u7d1a\u4f9b\u61c9\u5546\uff0c\u5b83\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u662f\u8a02\u55ae\u8da8\u7de9\u7684\u65e9\u671f\u6307\u6a19\u3002<\/p>\n

AI \u652f\u51fa\u662f\u771f\u5be6\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u76c8\u5229\u6642\u9ede\u4ecd\u6a21\u7cca<\/h3>\n

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\u80fd\u7a69\u5b9a\u76e4\u52e2\u7684\u56e0\u7d20<\/h3>\n

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