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Solomon Global\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u5206\u6790\u5e2bNick Cawley\u540c\u6a23\u770b\u597d\u9ec3\u91d1\u3002\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u548c\u80a1\u5e02\u96d9\u96d9\u53d7\u76ca\u65bc\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u4e0b\u6708\u5c07\u7e7c\u7e8c\u964d\u606f\u7684\u5f37\u70c8\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u96d9\u96d9\u4e0a\u6f32\u3002\u6839\u64daCME FedWatch\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u76ee\u524d\u9810\u8a08\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u8d85\u904e65%\u3002\u5728\u5bec\u9b06\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u9810\u671f\u6301\u7e8c\u548c\u5be6\u7269\u8cb7\u5bb6\u9700\u6c42\u7a69\u5b9a\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u548c\u767d\u9280\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u4f9d\u7136\u5f37\u52c1\u3002\u9664\u975e\u9019\u4e9b\u56e0\u7d20\u767c\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u8f49\u8b8a\uff0c\u5426\u5247\u9019\u5169\u7a2e\u8cb4\u91d1\u5c6c\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u5468\u5167\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u7e7c\u7e8c\u8d70\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9ec3\u91d1 vs. \u7f8e\u80a1\uff1a\u8ab0\u5c07\u52dd\u51fa\uff1f<\/h2>\n

\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u964d\u606f\u9810\u671f\u548c\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u6ce8\u5165\u63a8\u52d5\u8457\u9ec3\u91d1\u548c\u80a1\u5e02\u540c\u6b65\u4e0a\u63da\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u4e5f\u5c0e\u81f4\u901a\u8139\u9810\u671f\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002\u5f6d\u535a\u667a\u5eab\u7684\u9ad8\u7d1a\u5e02\u5834\u7b56\u7565\u5e2bMike McGlone\u5728\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u8cb4\u91d1\u5c6c\u5831\u544a\u4e2d\u9810\u8a08\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u5c07\u7e7c\u7e8c\u8dd1\u8d0f\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u3002\u5118\u7ba1\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u4eca\u5e74\u8fc4\u4eca\u4e0a\u6f32\u8fd116%\uff0c\u4f46\u91d1\u50f9\u6f32\u5e45\u9ad8\u9054\u7d0460%\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u8207\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u6bd4\u7387\u70ba1.66\uff0c\u63a5\u8fd12020\u5e743\u6708\u5e95\u4ee5\u4f86\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n

McGlone\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u6a19\u666e500\u76f8\u5c0d\u4e8e\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u50f9\u503c\u8655\u65bc\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u4f46\u76f8\u5c0d\u65bcGDP\u589e\u9577\u548c\u5168\u7403\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u4f30\u503c\u537b\u8655\u65bc\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002\u7576\u80a1\u5e02\u98a8\u96aa\u6307\u6a19\uff08\u5982\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u6307\u6578VIX\uff09\u8655\u65bc\u7570\u5e38\u4f4e\u8ff7\u72c0\u614b\u6642\uff0cSPX\/\u9ec3\u91d1\u6bd4\u7387\u7684\u4e0b\u884c\u5c24\u5176\u4ee4\u4eba\u64d4\u6182\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u6ce2\u52d5\u6027\u7e3d\u6703\u5747\u503c\u56de\u6b78\uff0c\u9019\u53ea\u662f\u6642\u9593\u554f\u984c\u3002\u9664\u975e\u80a1\u5e02\u98a8\u96aa\u6307\u6a19\u80fd\u6301\u7e8c\u7570\u5e38\u4f4e\u8ff7\uff0c\u5426\u5247SPX\/\u9ec3\u91d1\u6bd4\u7387\u6050\u5c07\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\u9019\u7a2e\u72c0\u6cc1\u6b63\u8b8a\u5f97\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u4e0d\u53ef\u6301\u7e8c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7bc4\u5f0f\u8f49\u8b8a\uff1a\u9ec3\u91d1\u6210\u70ba\u591a\u5143\u5316\u5c0d\u6c96\u5de5\u5177<\/h2>\n

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