\u5728\u8ca1\u653f\u90e8\u9577 Rachel Reeves \u53d6\u6d88\u5728\u5373\u5c07\u767c\u5e03\u7684\u9810\u7b97\u6848\u4e2d\u63d0\u9ad8\u6240\u5f97\u7a05\u7387\u7684\u8a08\u756b\u5f8c\uff0c\u82f1\u938a\u8d70\u8edf\u3001\u82f1\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u516c\u50b5\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u98c6\u5347\uff1bReeves \u8868\u793a\u6b64\u8209\u57fa\u65bc Office for Budget Responsibility\uff08OBR\uff09\u7d66\u51fa\u7684\u8f03\u4f73\u8ca1\u653f\u9810\u6e2c\u3002\u9019\u7a81\u5982\u5176\u4f86\u7684\u9006\u8f49\u52d5\u6416\u4e86\u5148\u524d\u5c0d\u5176\u8ca1\u653f\u7d00\u5f8b\u8a00\u8ad6\u6df1\u4fe1\u4e0d\u7591\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\uff0c\u91cd\u65b0\u5f15\u767c\u5c0d\u5176\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\u3001\u516c\u5171\u501f\u6b3e\u8d70\u5411\u4ee5\u53ca Bank of England \u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u4f5c\u70ba\u7684\u7591\u554f\u3002\u96a8\u8457\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u70ba\u82f1\u570b\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u7d44\u5408\u5b9a\u50f9\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u6ea2\u916c\uff0c\u516c\u50b5\u548c\u5229\u7387\u671f\u8ca8\u6ce2\u52d5\u6027\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n
\u9577\u77ed\u671f\u516c\u50b5\u8207\u82f1\u938a\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u53cd\u8f49\uff1a\u82f1\u570b\u8cc7\u7522\u8fc5\u901f\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u8ca1\u653f\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u6ea2\u916c\u3002\u77ed\u671f\u516c\u50b5\u9818\u8dcc\u4e14\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u66f2\u7dda\u51fa\u73fe\u718a\u9661\u5316\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u8981\u6c42\u66f4\u591a\u88dc\u511f\u4ee5\u8cc7\u52a9\u4e00\u500b\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u653e\u9b06\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5178\u578b\u8de1\u8c61\u3002\u82f1\u938a\u5c0d\u7f8e\u5143\u8207\u6b50\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u65e2\u53cd\u6620\u8ca1\u653f\u7acb\u5834\u7684\u8f49\u8b8a\uff0c\u4e5f\u53cd\u6620\u653e\u9b06\u653f\u7b56\u53ef\u80fd\u4f7f\u901a\u81a8\u56de\u843d\u9032\u7a0b\u66f4\u8907\u96dc\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d 2026 \u5e74\u7684\u964d\u606f\u9810\u671f\u4e0b\u8abf\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u50be\u5411\u9810\u671f Bank of England \u7684\u653f\u7b56\u8def\u5f91\u66f4\u70ba\u9ecf\u8457\u3002\u6b64\u8209\u767c\u751f\u5728\u654f\u611f\u6642\u9ede\uff1a\u5e74\u7d42\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u8f03\u8584\u4e14\u4f9b\u7d66\u4ecd\u7136\u9f90\u5927\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u505a\u7a7a\u50b5\u5238\u8005\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u5f97\u624b\u3002\u96a8\u8457\u5e02\u5834\u91cd\u65b0\u8a55\u4f30\u5b8f\u89c0\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u4fe1\u7528\u5229\u5dee\u4ea6\u5fae\u5e45\u64f4\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n
\u8ca1\u653f\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\u518d\u5ea6\u6210\u70ba\u6aa2\u8996\u7126\u9ede\uff1a\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u66fe\u5c0d Reeves \u767c\u51fa\u7684\u8a0a\u865f\u8868\u793a\u6b61\u8fce\uff0c\u5373\u6709\u63a1\u53d6\u5ee3\u6cdb\u6027\u6536\u5165\u63aa\u65bd\u4ee5\u5728 2029\u20132030 \u5e74\u9054\u5230\u8ca1\u653f\u898f\u5247\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u3002\u73fe\u5728\u653e\u68c4\u6240\u5f97\u7a05\u8abf\u9ad8\uff0c\u6703\u63d0\u9ad8\u5728\u4e0d\u8a34\u8af8\u4e00\u6b21\u6027\u63aa\u65bd\u4e0b\u9054\u6210\u53ef\u6301\u7e8c\u6574\u5408\u7684\u9580\u6abb\u3002OBR \u7684\u6539\u5584\u5c55\u671b\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u63a9\u8b77\uff0c\u4f46\u5e02\u5834\u5df2\u6709\u5148\u4f8b\uff1a\u7576\u6210\u9577\u8106\u5f31\u4e14\u50b5\u52d9\u5229\u606f\u6210\u672c\u7dad\u6301\u9ad8\u6a94\u6642\uff0c\u6a02\u89c0\u9810\u6e2c\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u6d88\u5931\u3002Peel Hunt \u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6 Kallum Pickering \u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u8f49\u5411\u300c\u4e00\u9023\u4e32\u96f6\u6563\u4e14\u50b7\u5bb3\u6210\u9577\u7684\u8f03\u5c0f\u7a05\u9805\u300d\u5c07\u662f\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7d50\u679c\uff1b\u591a\u500b\u667a\u5eab\u4e5f\u547c\u7c72\u63a1\u53d6\u5177\u898f\u6a21\u4e14\u660e\u78ba\u6a19\u793a\u7684\u6536\u5165\u63aa\u65bd\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u64d4\u6182\u7684\u4e0d\u662f\u55ae\u4e00\u6c7a\u7b56\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5b83\u5c0d\u5f8c\u7e8c\u843d\u5be6\u8207\u898f\u5247\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\u6240\u767c\u51fa\u7684\u8a0a\u865f\u3002<\/p>\n
OBR \u7684\u7a7a\u9593\u4e26\u975e\u514d\u8cbb\u5348\u9910\uff1a\u8f03\u4f73\u7684\u7e3d\u9ad4\u9810\u6e2c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u5e33\u9762\u4e0a\u7e2e\u5c0f\u8d64\u5b57\uff0c\u4f46\u9451\u65bc\u82f1\u570b\u9ad8\u4f01\u7684\u50b5\u52d9\u5b58\u91cf\u8207\u5728\u5347\u606f\u671f\u9593\u9396\u5b9a\u7684\u8f03\u9ad8\u7968\u606f\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u53ef\u5bb9\u5fcd\u7684\u932f\u8aa4\u7a7a\u9593\u4ecd\u7136\u6709\u9650\u3002\u5c0d\u6210\u9577\u5931\u671b\u7684\u654f\u611f\u5ea6\u5f88\u9ad8\uff1b\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u5c0f\u5e45\u8ca0\u5411\u885d\u64ca\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u62b9\u53bb\u8ca1\u653f\u7a7a\u9593\u3002\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u904e\u53bb\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u98c6\u5347\u8207\u6307\u6578\u9023\u52d5\u516c\u50b5\u5b58\u91cf\u4f7f\u5f97\u50b5\u52d9\u5229\u606f\u958b\u652f\u5728\u7d50\u69cb\u4e0a\u7dad\u6301\u8f03\u9ad8\u6c34\u6e96\u3002\u5c0d\u5e02\u5834\u800c\u8a00\u7684\u7ffb\u8b6f\u662f\uff1aOBR \u5206\u6578\u8868\u7684\u6539\u5584\u4e26\u4e0d\u6392\u9664\u653f\u5e9c\u82e5\u6b32\u8b93\u50b5\u52d9\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u9700\u63a1\u53d6\u4e00\u81f4\u4e14\u898f\u6a21\u9069\u7576\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u3002\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u6703\u5c0b\u6c42\u5177\u9ad4\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u80fd\u5920\u5728\u4e0d\u4f9d\u9760\u6703\u8a08\u624b\u6cd5\u6216\u4e00\u6b21\u6027\u8cc7\u7522\u51fa\u552e\u4e0b\uff0c\u929c\u63a5\u81f3 2029\u20132030 \u5e74\u76ee\u6a19\u3002<\/p>\n
Bank of England \u7684\u6b0a\u8861\u66f4\u70ba\u8271\u96e3\uff1a\u8ca1\u653f\u9762\u7684\u653e\u9b06\u3001\u8ca8\u5e63\u8d70\u5f31\u8207\u671f\u9650\u6ea2\u916c\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4f7f Threadneedle Street \u7dad\u6301\u901a\u81a8\u65bc\u76ee\u6a19\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u66f4\u70ba\u8907\u96dc\u3002\u82e5\u5e02\u5834\u5c07\u653f\u7b56\u89e3\u8b80\u70ba\u5728\u908a\u969b\u4e0a\u5177\u6709\u523a\u6fc0\u6027\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u6291\u5236\u901a\u81a8\u7684\u91cd\u64d4\u5c07\u56de\u5230\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u8eab\u4e0a\u3002\u9019\u53ef\u80fd\u610f\u5473\u8457\u6bd4\u5148\u524d\u6298\u50f9\u7684\u60c5\u5f62\u66f4\u5c11\u6216\u66f4\u6162\u7684\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u7576\u9032\u53e3\u578b\u901a\u81a8\u56e0\u82f1\u938a\u8cb6\u503c\u800c\u56de\u5347\u6642\u3002BOE \u4e26\u4e0d\u6703\u5c0d\u6bcf\u65e5\u7684\u516c\u50b5\u6ce2\u52d5\u5fae\u8abf\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u6703\u56de\u61c9\u6210\u9577\u3001\u901a\u81a8\u8207\u91d1\u878d\u689d\u4ef6\u7684\u7d44\u5408\u3002\u9577\u7aef\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0a\u5347\u8207\u82f1\u938a\u66f4\u70ba\u8106\u5f31\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u7ba1\u9053\u9020\u6210\u7dca\u7e2e\u3001\u5728\u53e6\u4e00\u4e9b\u7ba1\u9053\u5e36\u4f86\u653e\u9b06\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u653f\u7b56\u5931\u8aa4\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u9280\u884c\u6700\u4e0d\u5e0c\u671b\u770b\u5230\u7684\u662f\u8ca1\u653f\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u518d\u5ea6\u653e\u5927\u5229\u7387\u8907\u5408\u9ad4\u7684\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n
\u62fc\u6e4a\u5f0f\u7a05\u5236\u98a8\u96aa\u6210\u9577\u8207\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u4fe1\u4efb\uff1a\u5e02\u5834\u4e26\u975e\u672c\u80fd\u4e0a\u6392\u65a5\u8ab2\u7a05\uff1b\u5b83\u6392\u65a5\u7684\u662f\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u8207\u4f4e\u6548\u7387\u3002\u4ee5\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u8f2a\u66ff\u7684\u8f03\u7a84\u7a05\u9805\u53d6\u4ee3\u5ee3\u6cdb\u4e14\u53ef\u9810\u6e2c\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5c0e\u81f4\u7279\u5b9a\u7522\u696d\u8ca0\u64d4\u904e\u91cd\u3001\u626d\u66f2\u6295\u8cc7\u6c7a\u7b56\uff0c\u4e14\u7121\u6cd5\u9054\u5230\u61c9\u6709\u7684\u7a05\u6536\u6210\u679c\u3002\u51cd\u7d50\u9580\u6abb\u3001\u8abf\u6574\u514d\u7a05\u984d\u6216\u4f9d\u8cf4\u610f\u5916\u6536\u5165\u6216\u8a31\u80fd\u66ab\u6642\u8cb7\u5f97\u6642\u9593\uff0c\u4f46\u5f80\u5f80\u4ee5\u4f01\u696d\u6295\u8cc7\u8207\u751f\u7522\u529b\u70ba\u4ee3\u50f9\u3002\u9019\u500b\u6558\u4e8b\u89e3\u91cb\u4e86\u70ba\u4f55\u5e02\u5834\u53cd\u61c9\u8d85\u51fa\u5373\u6642\u9810\u7b97\u6578\u5b57\u7684\u898f\u6a21\u3002\u5168\u7403\u8cc7\u91d1\u7ba1\u914d\u8005\u95dc\u5fc3\u7684\u662f\u82f1\u570b\u662f\u5426\u5728\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u500b\u7a69\u5b9a\u7684\u591a\u5e74\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u6216\u662f\u9010\u5b63\u5373\u8208\u61c9\u5c0d\u3002\u6a21\u7cca\u7684\u8a0a\u865f\u62ac\u5347\u82f1\u570b\u7684\u8ca1\u653f\u98a8\u96aa\u6ea2\u916c\uff0c\u9032\u800c\u63d0\u9ad8\u6574\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u8cc7\u672c\u6210\u672c\u3002<\/p>\n
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