{"id":618300,"date":"2026-02-02T03:29:41","date_gmt":"2026-02-02T11:29:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/?p=618300"},"modified":"2026-02-02T03:29:41","modified_gmt":"2026-02-02T11:29:41","slug":"gld-slv-gdx-warsh","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/blog\/2026\/02\/gld-slv-gdx-warsh\/","title":{"rendered":"\u91d1\u5c6c\u66b4\u8dcc\u91cd\u5275 GLD\u3001SLV\u3001GDX\uff0cWarsh \u9707\u64bc\u4f86\u8972"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u706b\u71b1\u7684\u91d1\u5c6c\u4ea4\u6613\u8fce\u4f86\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u58d3\u529b\u6e2c\u8a66\u3002\u9ec3\u91d1\u671f\u8ca8\u55ae\u65e5\u91cd\u632b 9% \u81f3\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f8 4,901 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u767d\u9280\u66f4\u5728\u4e00\u500b\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u5167\u66b4\u8dcc 31.4%\uff0c\u62b9\u53bb\u6578\u9031\u7684\u6295\u6a5f\u6027\u6f32\u5e45\uff0c\u4e26\u91cd\u64ca\u5f9e Newmont \u5230 Barrick \u7684\u7926\u696d\u80a1\u3002\u5c0e\u706b\u7dda\u662f\uff1a\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u5510\u7d0d\uff0e\u5ddd\u666e\u51fa\u4eba\u610f\u6599\u5730\u63d0\u540d\u51f1\u6587\uff0e\u6c83\u4ec0\uff08Kevin Warsh\uff09\u51fa\u4efb\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u4e3b\u5e2d\uff0c\u9019\u4e00\u52d5\u4f5c\u64bc\u52d5\u4e86\u5229\u7387\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u8b93 YOLO \u65cf\u7fa4\u6700\u611b\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u9677\u5165\u5931\u5e8f\u5f0f\u62cb\u552e\u3002<\/p>\n

Warsh \u63d0\u540d\u985b\u8986\u91d1\u5c6c\u4ea4\u6613<\/h3>\n

\u9019\u5247\u6d88\u606f\u843d\u5728\u4e00\u500b\u65e9\u5df2\u919e\u91c0\u56de\u8abf\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u4e2d\u3002\u8cb4\u91d1\u5c6c\u52d5\u80fd\u88ab\u62c9\u5f97\u904e\u6eff\u3001\u90e8\u4f4d\u9ad8\u5ea6\u64c1\u64e0\uff0c\u6563\u6236\u70ba\u8ffd\u9010\u7e3e\u6548\u800c\u6e67\u5165 GLD\u3001SLV \u8207\u4ee5\u7926\u5546\u70ba\u4e3b\u7684 GDX\uff0cETF \u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u5165\u660e\u986f\u81a8\u8139\u3002\u653f\u7b56\u9810\u671f\u4e00\u7ffb\u8f49\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u4e5f\u96a8\u4e4b\u7ffb\u8f49\u3002\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u8fc5\u901f\u6539\u5beb\u5c0d\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u53cd\u61c9\u51fd\u6578\u7684\u5b9a\u50f9\uff0c2026 \u5e74\u66f4\u5feb\u6210\u9577\u8207\u66f4\u5bec\u9b06\u91d1\u878d\u689d\u4ef6\u7684\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u5c0d\u907f\u96aa\u8cc7\u7522\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u9019\u4e00\u8f49\u5411\u6cbf\u8457\u671f\u8ca8\u8207\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u5c64\u5c64\u50b3\u5c0e\uff0c\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u98c6\u5347\u3001\u5c3e\u76e4\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u8f49\u8584\uff0c\u8feb\u4f7f\u53bb\u6bdb\u5009\uff08de-grossing\uff09\u3002\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684 9% \u8dcc\u5e45\u5275\u4e0b\u81ea 1980 \u5e74\u4ee3\u521d\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u9661\u5ced\u7684\u55ae\u65e5\u8dcc\u52e2\uff1b\u767d\u9280 31% \u7684\u5d29\u8dcc\uff0c\u8b93\u6280\u8853\u6d3e\u722d\u8ad6\u9019\u7a76\u7adf\u662f\u5674\u51fa\u9802\uff0c\u9084\u662f\u4fdd\u8b49\u91d1\u8ffd\u7e73\u5f0f\u7684\u6295\u964d\uff0c\u6291\u6216\u5169\u8005\u517c\u5177\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7926\u5546\u9996\u7576\u5176\u885d\uff1aNEM\u3001GOLD\u3001AEM \u9818\u8dcc<\/h3>\n

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\u6563\u6236\u8702\u64c1\u800c\u81f3\uff0c\u537b\u9047\u4e0a\u7e3d\u9ad4\u9762\u7684\u6025\u8f49\u5f4e<\/h3>\n

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\u9285\u7684\u76f8\u5c0d\u97cc\u6027\u91cb\u653e\u4e0d\u540c\u8a0a\u865f<\/h3>\n

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Warsh \u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5c0d\u91d1\u5c6c\u610f\u5473\u8457\u4ec0\u9ebc<\/h3>\n

\u771f\u6b63\u9a45\u52d5\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u662f\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u7531 Warsh \u9818\u5c0e\u7684\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u4e0d\u540c\u65bc\u5e02\u5834\u539f\u5148\u9810\u671f\u7684\u53cd\u61c9\u51fd\u6578\u3002\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1\u8fc5\u901f\u63a8\u6f14\u60c5\u5883\uff1a\u82e5\u592e\u884c\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u66f4\u53cb\u5584\u6210\u9577\u3001\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u300c\u66f4\u4e45\u66f4\u4f4e\u300d\uff0c\u80a1\u6b0a\u8207\u4fe1\u8cb8\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u6ea2\u50f9\u53ef\u80fd\u5148\u884c\u58d3\u7e2e\uff0c\u524a\u5f31\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u4fdd\u96aa\u9700\u6c42\uff1b\u53cd\u4e4b\uff0c\u82e5\u4efb\u547d\u5f15\u767c\u5c0d\u9577\u671f\u901a\u81a8\u6216\u5236\u5ea6\u7368\u7acb\u6027\u7684\u7591\u616e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u8def\u5f91\u5c07\u66f4\u985b\u7c38\uff0c\u786c\u8cc7\u7522\u9700\u6c42\u53ef\u80fd\u56de\u6eab\u3002\u5c31\u76ee\u524d\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u76e4\u9762\u986f\u793a\u7b2c\u4e00\u7a2e\u885d\u52d5\u5360\u4e0a\u98a8\u3002\u4e0b\u4e00\u968e\u6bb5\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u807d\u8b49\u6703\u3001\u65e9\u671f\u6e9d\u901a\u8a0a\u865f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u516c\u50b5\u5e02\u5834\u662f\u4f01\u7a69\u9084\u662f\u7e7c\u7e8c\u91cd\u5b9a\u50f9\u3002\u91d1\u5c6c\u4f4d\u65bc\u5be6\u8cea\u5229\u7387\u3001\u7f8e\u5143\u8207\u6210\u9577\u9810\u671f\u7684\u4ea4\u6703\u9ede\uff1b\u4efb\u4f55\u80fd\u91d0\u6e05\u9019\u4e09\u689d\u8def\u5f91\u7684\u6307\u5f15\uff0c\u90fd\u6bd4\u55ae\u4e00\u4efb\u547d\u982d\u689d\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u3002<\/p>\n

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