\u56de\u8cfc\u88ab\u5ba3\u7a31\u70ba\u7d00\u5f8b\u3002\u5728\u9031\u671f\u6027\u7522\u696d\u4e2d\uff0c\u5b83\u5011\u5f80\u5f80\u50cf\u507d\u88dd\u7684\u8ffd\u52a0\u4fdd\u8b49\u91d1\u3002BP \u66ab\u505c\u6bcf\u5b63 7.5 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u56de\u8cfc\u4ee5\u978f\u56fa\u8cc7\u7522\u8ca0\u50b5\u8868\uff0c\u4e26\u975e\u4e00\u500b\u5c0f\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002\u9019\u662f\u4fe1\u865f\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u91d1\u878d\u9707\u76ea\u7684\u7de9\u885d\u6bd4\u6558\u4e8b\u6240\u8a00\u8981\u8584\uff0c\u4e14\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u504f\u597d\u5df2\u8d85\u8d8a\u7d93\u71df\u73fe\u5be6\u3002\u7576\u6f6e\u6c34\u9000\u53bb\uff0c\u8cc7\u672c\u653f\u7b56\u6703\u986f\u9732\u51fa\u5b83\u662f\u58d3\u8259\u7269\u9084\u662f\u6674\u5929\u5e06\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5728\u80fd\u6e90\u696d\uff0c\u56de\u8cfc\u5728\u98a8\u66b4\u904e\u5f8c\u6700\u6709\u6548\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u98a8\u66b4\u671f\u9593\u3002\u7136\u800c\u5b83\u5011\u5728\u50f9\u683c\u9ad8\u3001\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u5145\u6c9b\u6642\u6700\u53d7\u6b61\u8fce\u3002\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u5178\u578b\u7684\u9806\u9031\u671f\u6027\u3002BP \u5df2\u5c07\u56de\u8cfc\u524a\u6e1b\u5230\u6bcf\u5b63\u4e0d\u8d85\u904e 10 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5982\u4eca\u70ba\u4e86\u4fdd\u8b77\u8cc7\u7522\u8ca0\u50b5\u8868\u800c\u505c\u6b62\u56de\u8cfc\u3002\u9019\u4e0d\u662f\u5f62\u8c61\u4e0a\u7684\u5931\u8aa4\uff1b\u800c\u662f\u5c0d\u6982\u7387\u7684\u627f\u8a8d\u3002\u77f3\u6cb9\u8207\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u7684\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u662f\u80a5\u5c3e\u5206\u5e03\u3002\u5206\u914d\u5bec\u3001\u8b8a\u7570\u9ecf\u6027\u9ad8\uff0c\u7576\u50f9\u683c\u4e0b\u6ed1\u6642\u5c3e\u90e8\u98a8\u96aa\u6703\u8fc5\u901f\u986f\u73fe\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u5c07\u56de\u8cfc\u8996\u70ba\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002\u5728\u5546\u54c1\u7d50\u69cb\u4e2d\uff0c\u5b83\u5011\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u7a2e\u540d\u7a31\u7684\u69d3\u687f\u3002Hyman Minsky \u6703\u7a31\u4e4b\u70ba\u5f9e\u5c0d\u6c96\u91d1\u878d\u8f49\u5411\u6295\u6a5f\u91d1\u878d\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u73fe\u91d1\u7de9\u885d\u8b8a\u8584\u3001\u627f\u8afe\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u7576\u6ce2\u52d5\u98c6\u5347\u6642\uff0c\u770b\u4f3c\u5f37\u52e2\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u6703\u8b8a\u6210\u88ab\u8feb\u7684\u9078\u64c7\u3002<\/p>\n
Elliott Management \u63ed\u9732\u6301\u80a1\u8d85\u904e 5% \u4e26\u63a8\u52d5\u66f4\u5f37\u70c8\u5730\u56de\u6b78\u6cb9\u6c23\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u58d3\u529b\u5e38\u4f34\u96a8\u8981\u6c42\u99ac\u4e0a\u63d0\u9ad8\u56de\u5831\u3002\u4f46\u9019\u88e1\u6709\u904a\u6232\u7406\u8ad6\u7684\u9677\u9631\uff1a\u7576\u4e00\u5bb6\u4e00\u9ad4\u5316\u5927\u578b\u4f01\u696d\u5f37\u529b\u63a8\u884c\u56de\u8cfc\u4e26\u9650\u5236\u8cc7\u672c\u652f\u51fa\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u516c\u53f8\u6703\u89ba\u5f97\u5fc5\u9808\u8ddf\u9032\uff0c\u5426\u5247\u9762\u81e8\u4f30\u503c\u61f2\u7f70\u3002\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u56da\u5f92\u56f0\u5883\u3002\u82e5\u5408\u4f5c\u800c\u4fdd\u6301\u7de9\u885d\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u6703\u88ab\u61f2\u7f70\u3002\u82e5\u80cc\u53db\u5f0f\u5730\u5927\u641e\u56de\u8cfc\uff0c\u7576\u9031\u671f\u8f49\u5411\u6642\u5247\u6703\u66b4\u9732\u98a8\u96aa\u3002BP \u6b63\u5728\u9078\u64c7\u53cd\u5411\u7684\u80cc\u53db\uff0c\u9000\u51fa\u56de\u8cfc\u8ecd\u5099\u7af6\u8cfd\uff0c\u4ee3\u50f9\u662f\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u597d\u611f\u5ea6\u3002\u884c\u52d5\u4e3b\u7fa9\u8005\u80fd\u63d0\u5347\u805a\u7126\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u900f\u904e\u63a8\u52d5\u8cc7\u672c\u7d50\u69cb\u8d70\u5411\u7dca\u7e43\u5bb9\u5dee\u4f86\u8a98\u767c\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u3002\u7dca\u7e43\u5bb9\u5dee\u5728\u6674\u5929\u662f\u6700\u512a\u7684\uff0c\u9047\u5230\u98a8\u66b4\u537b\u4e0d\u7136\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5f37\u5065\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\u8ca0\u50b5\u8868\u4e0d\u662f\u865b\u69ae\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u5b83\u662f\u516c\u53f8\u5167\u5d4c\u7684\u771f\u5be6\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u3002\u5728\u91cd\u5c3e\u5e02\u5834\u4e2d\uff0c\u73fe\u91d1\u8207\u4f4e\u69d3\u687f\u7684\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u50f9\u503c\u5de8\u5927\u3002Kelly \u6e96\u5247\u6559\u5c0e\u6211\u5011\uff1a\u96a8\u8457\u6ce2\u52d5\u6027\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u6700\u512a\u4e0b\u6ce8\u898f\u6a21\u6703\u7e2e\u5c0f\u30022020 \u5e74\uff0c\u67d0\u4e00\u57fa\u6e96\u7684\u6cb9\u50f9\u66fe\u77ed\u66ab\u51fa\u73fe\u8ca0\u503c\u30022014\u20132016 \u5e74\u9593\uff0c\u539f\u6cb9\u5148\u5f8c\u8170\u65ac\u30021986 \u5e74\u8207 1998 \u5e74\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u5728\u904e\u5ea6\u6295\u8cc7\u671f\u5f8c\u5d29\u6f70\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u4e0d\u662f\u9ed1\u5929\u9d5d\uff1b\u5b83\u5011\u662f\u53cd\u8986\u51fa\u73fe\u7684\u5929\u6c23\u7cfb\u7d71\u3002BP \u6de8\u8ca0\u50b5\u63a5\u8fd1 270 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u4e14\u7d93\u71df\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5728\u653f\u7b56\u98a8\u96aa\u8207\u50f9\u683c\u98a8\u96aa\u540c\u6642\u62ac\u982d\u6642\u7684\u9748\u6d3b\u6027\u3002\u82f1\u570b\u7684\u66b4\u5229\u7a05\u3001\u8b8a\u52d5\u7684\u8a31\u53ef\u898f\u5247\u8207\u78b3\u653f\u7b56\u97ad\u6253\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5c64\u7684\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u5728\u5de5\u7a0b\u4e0a\uff0c\u7576\u98a8\u589e\u5f37\u6642\u4f60\u4e0d\u6703\u628a\u6a4b\u627f\u8f09\u63a8\u5230\u6700\u5927\u8f09\u8377\u56e0\u5b50\u3002\u4f60\u6703\u64f4\u5927\u5b89\u5168\u908a\u969b\u3002\u9019\u6b63\u662f\u6b64\u6b21\u56de\u8cfc\u66ab\u505c\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n
BP \u5411\u6cb9\u6c23\u91cd\u65b0\u8abf\u6574\u3001\u4e26\u653e\u68c4\u90e8\u5206\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u5c08\u6848\uff0c\u4e26\u975e\u5c0d\u6c23\u5019\u7684\u516c\u6295\u3002\u9019\u662f\u5c0d\u6295\u8cc7\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u91cd\u65b0\u6821\u6e96\u3002\u8a31\u591a\u4f4e\u78b3\u8cc7\u7522\u662f\u53d7\u898f\u7bc4\u56de\u5831\u537b\u5305\u88f9\u5728\u653f\u7b56\u6ce2\u52d5\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u70ba\u9577\u671f\u4e14\u8def\u5f91\u76f8\u4f9d\u3002\u932f\u904e\u653f\u7b56\u8f49\u5411\uff0c\u4f60\u5c31\u64c1\u6709\u88ab\u64f1\u6dfa\u7684\u8cc7\u672c\u3002\u6293\u5c0d\u65b9\u5411\u5247\u80fd\u8cfa\u53d6\u6301\u4e45\u3001\u4f4e\u8c9d\u5854\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u3002\u5be9\u614e\u7684\u8def\u5f91\u662f\u5206\u6bb5\u5be9\u67e5\u8207\u504f\u91cd\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u4e00\u6b21\u8ced\u5927\u7684\u62bc\u6ce8\u3002\u5728\u78b3\u6c2b\u5074\uff0c\u91cd\u9ede\u662f\u4f4e\u4f9b\u61c9\u6210\u672c\u7684\u6cb9\u6876\u8207\u5feb\u901f\u56de\u672c\u7684\u586b\u5145\u947d\u4e95\u3002\u90a3\u662f\u523b\u610f\u8a2d\u8a08\u7684\u53cd\u8106\u5f31\uff1a\u9748\u6d3b\u7684\u8cc7\u672c\u652f\u51fa\u3001\u6a21\u7d44\u5316\u5c08\u6848\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u6280\u8853\u7684\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u3002\u6700\u7cdf\u7684\u7d44\u5408\u662f\u5728\u8f49\u578b\u96d9\u65b9\u90fd\u6709\u9ad8\u56fa\u5b9a\u627f\u8afe\uff0c\u4e14\u7531\u8584\u5f31\u71df\u904b\u8cc7\u91d1\u8207\u4ee5\u56de\u8cfc\u6392\u7a0b\u7de8\u78bc\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u627f\u8afe\u4f86\u878d\u8cc7\u3002<\/p>\n
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