{"id":622862,"date":"2026-02-27T03:17:59","date_gmt":"2026-02-27T11:17:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/?p=622862"},"modified":"2026-02-27T03:17:59","modified_gmt":"2026-02-27T11:17:59","slug":"fast-money","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nai500.com\/zh-hant\/blog\/2026\/02\/fast-money\/","title":{"rendered":"Fast Money \u6254\u552e\u80a1\u7968\u3002\u5b89\u5168\u6210\u70ba\u65b0\u7684\u64c1\u64e0\u4ea4\u6613"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u91cf\u5316\u57fa\u91d1\u722d\u76f8\u6301\u73fe\u91d1\u8207\u8cb7\u5165 Treasuries \u4e4d\u770b\u4e4b\u4e0b\u8b39\u614e\u3002\u9019\u4e5f\u662f\u91d1\u878d\u4e2d\u6700\u53e4\u8001\u7684\u5354\u8abf\u535a\u5f08\uff1a\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u540c\u6642\u671d\u540c\u4e00\u500b\u72f9\u7a84\u51fa\u53e3\u885d\u53bb\u3002\u300c\u5b89\u5168\u300d\u9019\u500b\u6a19\u7c64\u4e0d\u662f\u8cc7\u7522\u7684\u5c6c\u6027\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u5171\u8b58\u3002\u7576\u5171\u8b58\u5728\u58d3\u529b\u4e0b\u8f49\u8b8a\uff0c\u6240\u8b02\u7684\u907f\u96aa\u5929\u5802\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u8b8a\u6210\u55ae\u4e00\u6545\u969c\u9ede\u3002\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u4e0d\u5728\u65bc\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u986b\u52d5\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u65bc\u7cfb\u7d71\u5c0d\u898f\u5247\u5316\u53bb\u98a8\u96aa\u8207\u5c11\u6578\u88ab\u5047\u5b9a\u5728\u4efb\u4f55\u898f\u6a21\u4e0b\u90fd\u5177\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\u7684\u501a\u8cf4\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6ce2\u52d5\u6027\u662f\u7279\u5fb5\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u7f3a\u9677<\/h3>\n

\u7f8e\u80a1\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u6ce2\u52d5\u5f15\u767c\u4e86\u7cfb\u7d71\u5316\u7b56\u7565\u4e2d\u53ef\u9810\u671f\u7684\u884c\u70ba\u3002\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u76ee\u6a19\u57fa\u91d1\u5728\u5be6\u73fe\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u8df3\u5347\u6642\u6703\u6e1b\u5009\uff1b\u8da8\u52e2\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u52d5\u91cf\u8870\u7aed\u6642\u964d\u4f4e\u98a8\u96aa\uff1b\u98a8\u96aa\u5e73\u50f9\u5728\u8de8\u8cc7\u7522\u76f8\u95dc\u6027\u4e0a\u5347\u6642\u8abf\u4f4e\u69d3\u687f\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u4e0d\u662f\u932f\u8aa4\uff1b\u9019\u662f\u8a2d\u8a08\u3002\u4f46\u8a2d\u8a08\u5167\u5d4c\u5047\u8a2d\u3002\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff1a\u5728\u898f\u5247\u8981\u6c42\u6642\uff0c\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u6703\u53ef\u5f97\u3002\u5c31\u50cf\u4e00\u5ea7\u6309\u5e38\u614b\u98a8\u901f\u8abf\u6821\u7684\u6a4b\u6a11\u9047\u4e0a\u5171\u632f\uff0c\u7cfb\u7d71\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u6c92\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u55ae\u4e00\u6a11\u67f1\u5931\u6548\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u81ea\u6211\u9707\u88c2\u3002\u77db\u76fe\u5f88\u7c21\u55ae\uff1a\u7a69\u5b9a\u5b55\u80b2\u69d3\u687f\uff0c\u69d3\u687f\u5c0e\u81f4\u64c1\u64e0\uff0c\u64c1\u64e0\u628a\u4f8b\u884c\u9663\u98a8\u8b8a\u6210\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u58d3\u529b\u6e2c\u8a66\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7576\u91cf\u5316\u53bb\u98a8\u96aa\u6642\uff0c\u76f8\u95dc\u6027\u8d70\u5411\u4e00<\/h3>\n

\u535a\u5f08\u8ad6\u65e9\u6709\u9810\u6e2c\u3002\u7576\u884c\u70ba\u8005\u5171\u4eab\u8a0a\u865f\u8207\u7d04\u675f\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u884c\u52d5\u6703\u8da8\u540c\u3002\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6703\u51fa\u73fe\u7a81\u7136\u3001\u540c\u6b65\u7684\u8f49\u5411\uff1a\u8ce3\u80a1\u3001\u8cb7\u4e45\u671f\u3001\u524a\u6e1b\u4fe1\u7528\u655e\u53e3\u3001\u5c0b\u6c42\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u9078\u64c7\u6b0a\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u505a\u5e02\u5546\u5c0d\u6c96\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u653e\u5927\u6b64\u4e00\u52d5\u4f5c\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba gamma \u66dd\u96aa\u8feb\u4f7f delta \u8abf\u6574\u63a8\u5411\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u30022018 \u5e74\u7684\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u66b4\u6f32\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u8207\u505a\u7a7a\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u8907\u96dc\u9ad4\u7cfb\u5d29\u6f70\u5f97\u8db3\u4ee5\u5728\u6578\u5c0f\u6642\u5167\u62c9\u4f4e\u80a1\u5e02\u30022020 \u5e74 3 \u6708\u7684\u6436\u73fe\u6f6e\u4e0d\u53ea\u6ce2\u53ca\u9ad8\u98a8\u96aa\u8cc7\u7522\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u885d\u64ca\u5230\u7f8e\u50b5\u5e02\u5834\u672c\u8eab\u3002\u5371\u6a5f\u4e2d\u7684\u76f8\u95dc\u6027\u4e0d\u662f\u8efc\u4e8b\uff1b\u7576\u6a21\u578b\u770b\u540c\u4e00\u6bb5\u50f9\u683c\u8d70\u52e2\u4e14\u98a8\u96aa\u9810\u7b97\u5411\u76f8\u540c\u6578\u5b57\u8abf\u6574\u6642\uff0c\u5b83\u5c31\u662f\u9810\u8a2d\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u907f\u96aa\u5929\u5802\u4f5c\u70ba\u55ae\u4e00\u6545\u969c\u9ede<\/h3>\n

\u904e\u5ea6\u4fe1\u8cf4\u300c\u5b89\u5168\u300d\u9019\u500b\u8a5e\u6703\u8b93\u4eba\u5fd8\u8a18\u5176\u80cc\u5f8c\u7684\u57fa\u790e\u8a2d\u65bd\u3002\u7f8e\u570b Treasuries \u662f\u57fa\u6e96\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u8cc7\u7522\uff0c\u4f46\u5373\u4fbf\u662f\u5b83\u5011\u4e5f\u4f9d\u8cf4\u56de\u8cfc\u878d\u8cc7\u3001\u505a\u5e02\u5546\u8cc7\u7522\u8ca0\u50b5\u8868\u8207\u6e05\u7b97\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u7576\u6240\u6709\u9053\u8def\u540c\u6642\u901a\u5f80\u4e45\u671f\uff0c\u90a3\u4e9b\u7ba1\u9053\u5c31\u6703\u58d3\u529b\u500d\u589e\u30022020 \u5e74\u8ce3\u65b9\u58d3\u5012\u8cb7\u65b9\u6642\uff0c\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u66b4\u6f32\u30022022 \u5e74\u82f1\u570b\u7684\u8cac\u4efb\u9a45\u52d5\u578b\u57fa\u91d1\u5b78\u5230\uff0c\u91d1\u908a\u50b5\u5238\u7684\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u662f\u6709\u689d\u4ef6\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u4fdd\u8b49\u3002\u9ec3\u91d1\u5728\u9577\u671f\u4e0a\u53ef\u4f5c\u70ba\u5c0d\u6c96\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u8cc7\u91d1\u6050\u614c\u6642\u5b83\u53cd\u800c\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u70ba\u73fe\u91d1\u4f86\u6e90\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u98a8\u96aa\u532f\u6d41\u4e4b\u8655\u3002\u65e5\u5713\u5728\u907f\u96aa\u6642\u5e38\u88ab\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u5957\u606f\u4ea4\u6613\u5287\u70c8\u5e73\u5009\u4e14\u5916\u532f\u907f\u96aa\u8207\u540c\u4e00\u7fa4\u9ad4\u9006\u5411\u79fb\u52d5\u3002\u5b89\u5168\u4e0d\u662f\u514d\u8cbb\u7684\uff1b\u5b83\u7531\u69d3\u687f\u8207\u4fe1\u5fc3\u4f5c\u62b5\u62bc\u3002\u7576\u5927\u5bb6\u64e0\u5165\uff0c\u98a8\u96aa\u5c31\u6703\u9077\u79fb\u5230\u5c11\u6709\u4eba\u95dc\u6ce8\u7684\u878d\u8cc7\u7bc0\u9ede\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u70ba\u6642\u5df2\u665a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u3001\u69d3\u687f\u8207\u51fa\u53e3\u9580<\/h3>\n

\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u4e0d\u662f\u6210\u4ea4\u91cf\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u6642\u9593\u8207\u8cc7\u7522\u8ca0\u50b5\u8868\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u5728\u5e73\u975c\u6642\u53ef\u80fd\u986f\u793a\u6df1\u5ea6\u5831\u50f9\uff0c\u537b\u5728\u98a8\u66b4\u4e2d\u6beb\u7121\u8cb7\u76e4\u53ef\u8a00\u3002\u4e3b\u6d41\u6558\u4e8b\u8a8d\u70ba\u4f60\u7e3d\u80fd\u96e2\u5834\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u64f4\u5927\u50f9\u5dee\u3002\u73fe\u5be6\u5247\u662f\u4f60\u7684\u50f9\u5dee\u64f4\u5927\u5f97\u6bd4\u4f60\u80fd\u7e2e\u6e1b\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u9084\u5feb\u3002\u50cf on-the-run Treasuries \u9019\u985e\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5176\u5f48\u6027\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u5728\u4ed6\u4eba\u53bb\u98a8\u96aa\u6642\u9858\u610f\u66ff\u5176\u627f\u64d4\u5eab\u5b58\u7684\u4e2d\u4ecb\u8005\u3002\u628a\u5b83\u60f3\u6210\u53ea\u6709\u55ae\u4e00\u6ea2\u6d2a\u9053\u7684\u5927\u58e9\uff1a\u5b83\u80fd\u8655\u7406\u5e73\u5e38\u6c34\u91cf\uff0c\u6309\u6642\u6253\u958b\u9598\u9580\u5b83\u5c31\u6709\u6548\u3002\u4f46\u82e5\u4e0a\u6e38\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u540c\u6642\u6253\u958b\u9598\u9580\uff0c\u6ea2\u6d2a\u9053\u6703\u8b8a\u6210\u5371\u96aa\u3002\u4f9d\u8cf4\u540c\u6b65\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u6295\u7d44\u628a\u5e02\u5834\u6df1\u5ea6\u7576\u4f5c\u56fa\u5b9a\u8cc7\u6e90\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u4e0d\u662f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6ce2\u63a7\u8207 CTA \u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u7684\u53cd\u8eab\u6027<\/h3>\n

\u6a5f\u5236\u5177\u6709\u53cd\u8eab\u6027\u3002\u6ce2\u63a7\u7b56\u7565\u5728\u6ce2\u52d5\u5347\u9ad8\u6642\u8ce3\u51fa\uff0c\u9019\u6703\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u63a8\u9ad8\u6ce2\u52d5\u4e26\u9020\u6210\u66f4\u591a\u8ce3\u58d3\u3002CTA \u5929\u751f\u8cb7\u5f37\u8ce3\u5f31\uff0c\u52a0\u5f37\u8da8\u52e2\u3002\u98a8\u96aa\u5e73\u50f9\u6a21\u578b\u6839\u64da\u6ce2\u52d5\u8207\u76f8\u95dc\u6027\u5e73\u8861\u914d\u7f6e\uff1b\u7576\u50b5\u5238\u8207\u80a1\u7968\u540c\u6642\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u53bb\u98a8\u96aa\u5c31\u662f\u96d9\u5411\u7684\u3002\u50b5\u5238\u80fd\u5c0d\u6c96\u80a1\u7968\u9019\u500b\u5047\u8a2d\u5728 2022 \u5e74\u5931\u9748\uff0c\u82e5\u901a\u81a8\u610f\u5916\u6216\u671f\u9650\u6ea2\u916c\u91cd\u65b0\u5b9a\u50f9\uff0c\u4ecd\u53ef\u80fd\u518d\u6b21\u5931\u9748\u3002\u8702\u64c1\u800c\u81f3\u7684\u4e45\u671f\u907f\u96aa\u82e5\u5728\u4e2d\u9014\u9047\u5230\u76f8\u95dc\u6027\u9ad4\u5236\u8f49\u8b8a\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u9069\u5f97\u5176\u53cd\u3002\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u5fd8\u8a18\u7684\u662f\u8def\u5f91\u4f9d\u8cf4\uff1a\u4e26\u975e\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u7d55\u5c0d\u6c34\u5e73\u6253\u7834\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u8def\u5f91\u9a45\u52d5\u7684\u88ab\u8feb\u884c\u70ba\u3002\u6a5f\u7387\u8ad6\u7a31\u4e4b\u70ba\u96a8\u6a5f\u6ce2\u52d5\u8207\u539a\u5c3e\u5206\u5e03\uff1b\u5be6\u52d9\u4e0a\u5f88\u7c21\u55ae\uff1a\u4f60\u7684\u6301\u5009\u898f\u6a21\u9047\u5230\u4e86\u4e00\u689d\u7f3a\u4e4f\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u7684\u8def\u5f91\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b77\u53f2\u53d7\u63a7\u71d2\u9664\u7684\u6559\u8a13<\/h3>\n

\u6211\u5011\u898b\u904e\u9019\u500b\u5faa\u74b0\u30021998 \u5e74 LTCM \u767c\u73fe\u7576\u878d\u8cc7\u6d88\u5931\u6642\uff0c\u4fbf\u5b9c\u7684\u5229\u5dee\u4e26\u4e0d\u7b49\u65bc\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u5229\u5dee\u30022021 \u5e74 Archegos \u5b78\u5230\u7e3d\u5831\u916c\u6389\u671f\u4e0d\u904e\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u7a2e\u540d\u7fa9\u4e0b\u7684\u69d3\u687f\u30022022 \u5e74 LME \u7684\u93b3\u5e02\u5371\u6a5f\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u662f\u57fa\u6e96\u5e02\u5834\u5728\u6578\u5b78\u4e0d\u518d\u6210\u7acb\u6642\u4e5f\u6703\u66ab\u505c\u4ea4\u6613\u3002\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u5171\u540c\u6838\u5fc3\u90fd\u662f\uff1a\u69d3\u687f\u3001\u64c1\u64e0\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u9700\u900f\u904e\u72f9\u7a84\u9598\u9580\u7a81\u7136\u53bb\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u592e\u884c\u5728\u904e\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u58d3\u4f4e\u4e86\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002\u90a3\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u53ef\u898b\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u4e45\u671f\u3001\u4fe1\u7528\u8207\u8ce3\u6ce2\u52d5\u7fd2\u6163\u4e2d\u56e4\u7a4d\u4e86\u6613\u71c3\u7269\u3002\u53d7\u63a7\u71d2\u9664\u88ab\u8df3\u904e\uff0c\u706b\u56de\u4f86\u6642\u6703\u8d70\u5f97\u66f4\u9060\u3001\u66f4\u5feb\u3002\u7576\u524d\u5411\u907f\u96aa\u5929\u5802\u7684\u8f2a\u66ff\u5728\u7bc0\u9ede\u4e0a\u770b\u4f3c\u5408\u7406\uff0c\u537b\u5728\u7db2\u7d61\u5c64\u7d1a\u8106\u5f31\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u500b\u5faa\u74b0\u5e02\u5834\u4f4e\u4f30\u7684\u4e8b<\/h3>\n

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