\u570b\u969b\u80fd\u6e90\u7f72\u5411\u77f3\u6cb9\u5e02\u5834\u62cb\u51fa\u53f2\u7121\u524d\u4f8b\u7684\u6551\u751f\u5708\uff0c\u516c\u4f48\u91cb\u51fa 4 \u5104\u6876\u7dca\u6025\u5099\u7528\u5eab\u5b58\uff0c\u56e0\u4f0a\u6717\u6230\u4e8b\u626d\u66f2\u539f\u6cb9\u6d41\u52d5\u4e26\u5be6\u8cea\u5c01\u9396\u8377\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u3002Brent \u672c\u9031\u65e9\u4e9b\u6642\u5019\u66fe\u98c6\u5347\u81f3 119.50 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u96a8\u8457 IEA \u7684\u8209\u63aa\u4ee5\u53ca\u7e3d\u7d71 Donald Trump \u8868\u793a\u6230\u4e8b\u63a5\u8fd1\u5c3e\u8072\u7684\u6a02\u89c0\u8a00\u8ad6\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u7565\u9ad8\u65bc 90 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u8a72\u7f72\u7a31\u9019\u6b21\u4f9b\u61c9\u4e2d\u65b7\u70ba\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u3002\u9019\u8cb7\u4f86\u7684\u662f\u6642\u9593\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n
IEA \u7684\u5e72\u9810\u70ba\u6709\u7d00\u9304\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u5927\u898f\u6a21\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u56de\u61c9\u81ea 2 \u6708 28 \u65e5\u8d77\u7684\u885d\u7a81\uff0c\u8a72\u885d\u7a81\u95dc\u9589\u4e86\u7d04\u4f54\u5168\u7403\u77f3\u6cb9\u904b\u8f38\u4e94\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u901a\u9053\u3002\u8a72\u7f72\u5f62\u5bb9\u60c5\u6cc1\u70ba\u300c\u898f\u6a21\u524d\u6240\u672a\u898b\u300d\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u6d77\u7063\u7522\u6cb9\u570b\u5728\u5eab\u5b58\u586b\u6eff\u4e14\u51fa\u6d77\u8def\u7dda\u53d7\u963b\u4e0b\u5df2\u6e1b\u7522\u3002\u5916\u754c\u53cd\u61c9\u5148\u884c\uff1a\u50f9\u683c\u66b4\u8dcc\u3001\u80a1\u6307\u671f\u8ca8\u8da8\u65bc\u7a69\u5b9a\u3001\u5c0d\u80fd\u6e90\u654f\u611f\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u81ea\u4f4e\u9ede\u53cd\u5f48\u3002\u4f46\u7b97\u8853\u96e3\u984c\u4f9d\u7136\u5b58\u5728\uff1aMacquarie \u4f30\u7b97\u6b64\u8f2a\u5eab\u5b58\u91cb\u51fa\u76f8\u7576\u65bc\u5168\u7403\u7522\u91cf\u7d04\u56db\u5929\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6d77\u7063\u904b\u8f38\u91cf\u7d04\u5341\u516d\u5929\u3002\u90a3\u662f\u4e00\u5ea7\u6a4b\u6a11\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u91cd\u5efa\u3002\u73fe\u5728\u6700\u7a00\u7f3a\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u662f\u6642\u9593\u3002<\/p>\n
\u982d\u689d\u7684\u5e8f\u5217\u76f8\u7576\u6b98\u9177\u3002Brent \u885d\u5411 120 \u7f8e\u5143\u5f8c\uff0c\u53d7 IEA \u7684\u982d\u689d\u8207\u767d\u5bae\u5c0d\u5b88\u4f4f\u8377\u723e\u6728\u8332\u7684\u6a02\u89c0\u8a55\u8a9e\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u518d\u5ea6\u56de\u843d\u81f3 90 \u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3002S&P 500 \u7531\u65e9\u76e4\u4e0b\u8dcc 1.5% \u53cd\u8f49\u81f3\u6536\u76e4\u4e0a\u6f32 0.8%\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u53cd\u5f48\u66f4\u591a\u53cd\u6620\u7684\u662f\u6301\u5009\u4f4d\u7f6e\u800c\u975e\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002\u6574\u689d\u6536\u76ca\u66f2\u7dda\u7684\u6ce2\u52d5\u6027\u7206\u767c\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u6642\u5dee\uff08\u8861\u91cf\u5373\u6642\u7dca\u5f35\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u5287\u70c8\u64fa\u52d5\u3002WTI \u8ddf\u96a8 Brent \u4e0b\u884c\uff0c\u4f46\u5be6\u969b\u6876\u6cb9\u4ecd\u88ab\u56f0\u3002\u7576\u50f9\u683c\u8207\u7269\u6d41\u76f8\u53bb\u751a\u9060\u6642\uff0c\u671f\u8ca8\u53ef\u80fd\u986f\u5f97\u5e73\u975c\uff0c\u800c\u7149\u5ee0\u537b\u5728\u6436\u5206\u5b50\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u812b\u7bc0\u73fe\u5728\u6210\u70ba\u4ea4\u6613\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5728\u91cb\u653e\u5eab\u5b58\u4ee5\u53ca\u82e5\u4f9b\u61c9\u6301\u7e8c\u53d7\u640d\u53ef\u80fd\u5e36\u4f86\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u66f4\u9ad8\u5229\u6f64\u7387\u7684\u9810\u671f\u4e0b\uff0c\u5de8\u578b\u77f3\u6cb9\u516c\u53f8\u7372\u5f97\u8cb7\u76e4\u3002Exxon Mobil (XOM)\u3001Chevron (CVX)\u3001BP (BP)\u3001Shell (SHEL) \u8207 TotalEnergies (TTE) \u5747\u5438\u5f15\u8cb7\u5bb6\u3002\u7531\u65bc\u4e2d\u993e\u5206\u6536\u7e2e\uff0c\u50cf Valero \u8207 Marathon Petroleum \u7b49\u7149\u5ee0\u5728\u88c2\u89e3\u5dee\u50f9\u64f4\u5927\u6642\u8868\u73fe\u512a\u65bc\u5927\u76e4\u3002\u7576\u822a\u7dda\u6539\u9053\u4e14\u65e5\u79df\u91d1\u98c6\u5347\u6642\uff0c\u6cb9\u8f2a\u71df\u904b\u5546\u4ea6\u4e0a\u6f32\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u908a\u5ec2\uff0c\u71c3\u6599\u5bc6\u96c6\u7684\u7522\u696d\u8868\u73fe\u4e0d\u4f73\u3002\u822a\u7a7a\u516c\u53f8\u3001\u8ca8\u904b\u516c\u53f8\u53ca\u90e8\u5206\u6d88\u8cbb\u985e\u80a1\u5728\u6307\u6578\u56de\u5347\u6642\u4ecd\u627f\u58d3\u3002\u5c0d\u9019\u4e9b\u80a1\u7968\u800c\u8a00\uff0cBrent-WTI \u50f9\u5dee\u3001\u822a\u7a7a\u7164\u6cb9\u88c2\u89e3\u50f9\u8207\u67f4\u6cb9\u5eab\u5b58\u73fe\u5728\u6bd4\u55ae\u7d14\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u982d\u689d\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u82e5 Brent \u7a69\u5b9a\u5728\u7d04 90 \u7f8e\u5143\u800c\u993e\u5206\u71c3\u6599\u4ecd\u7136\u77ed\u7f3a\uff0c\u8d0f\u5bb6\u4e0d\u6703\u5feb\u901f\u6539\u8b8a\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7f8e\u570b\u638c\u63e1 IEA \u7dca\u6025\u5eab\u5b58\u4e2d\u6700\u5927\u7684\u4e00\u584a\uff0c\u800c\u6230\u7565\u77f3\u6cb9\u5132\u5099\u7d04\u70ba 4.15 \u5104\u6876\uff0c\u7d04\u9054\u5bb9\u91cf\u7684 58%\u3002\u80fd\u6e90\u5b98\u54e1\u5df2\u63cf\u7e6a\u51fa\u4e00\u689d\u88dc\u5145\u8def\u5f91\uff0c\u6700\u9577\u53ef\u80fd\u5ef6\u4f38\u81f3 2031 \u5e74\uff0c\u6700\u9ad8\u6bcf\u6708 400 \u842c\u6876\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u6a19\u7c64\u7d04\u70ba 200 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u9019\u9020\u6210\u653f\u7b56\u4e0a\u7684\u53d6\u6368\uff1a\u73fe\u5728\u524d\u7f6e\u91cb\u653e\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u6551\u6fdf\uff0c\u4e26\u63a5\u53d7\u9762\u5c0d\u98b6\u98a8\u6216\u65b0\u885d\u64ca\u6642\u66f4\u9577\u7684\u8106\u5f31\u671f\uff1b\u6216\u662f\u914d\u7d66\u6876\u6578\u4ee5\u907f\u514d\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u9020\u6210\u66f4\u6df1\u7684\u8870\u9000\u885d\u64ca\u3002\u767d\u5bae\u76ee\u524d\u50be\u5411\u65bc\u91cb\u653e\u6551\u63f4\uff0c\u7e3d\u7d71 Trump \u8868\u793a\u6709\u4fe1\u5fc3\u885d\u7a81\u5c07\u5f88\u5feb\u7d50\u675f\uff0c\u4e26\u6697\u793a\u6703\u722d\u53d6\u5c0d\u8377\u723e\u6728\u8332\u74f6\u9838\u65bd\u52a0\u63a7\u5236\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u6703\u5728\u6cb9\u8f2a\u52d5\u8d77\u4f86\u3001\u4fdd\u96aa\u627f\u4fdd\u8005\u540c\u610f\u4e4b\u524d\u6de1\u5316\u8a00\u8fad\u3002\u76f4\u5230\u90a3\u6642\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e00\u6876 SPR \u90fd\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\u3002<\/p>\n
\u82e5\u554f\u984c\u5728\u65bc\u5730\u7406\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff0c\u7dca\u6025\u5eab\u5b58\u4e26\u975e\u842c\u9748\u85e5\u3002\u7576\u4e00\u689d\u4e3b\u8981\u52d5\u8108\u88ab\u5c01\u9396\u6642\uff0c\u5c07\u5408\u9069\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u7b49\u7d1a\u8f38\u9001\u5230\u5408\u9069\u7684\u7149\u5ee0\u975e\u5e38\u56f0\u96e3\u3002\u5df2\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u8b8a\u901a\u65b9\u6848\uff1a\u6c99\u70cf\u5730\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u7684\u6771\u897f\u7ba1\u7dda\u53ef\u4ee5\u628a\u6876\u904b\u5f80\u7d05\u6d77\uff0c\u963f\u806f\u7684\u6d66\u5409\u62c9\uff08Fujairah\uff09\u7ba1\u7dda\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u7d93\u904e\u8377\u723e\u6728\u8332\u3002\u4f46\u9019\u4e9b\u904b\u529b\u76f8\u5c0d\u65bc\u6b63\u5e38\u6d77\u7063\u51fa\u53e3\u800c\u8a00\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u4e14\u54c1\u8cea\u4e0d\u5339\u914d\u6703\u5f71\u97ff\u7149\u5ee0\u6536\u7387\u3002\u7e5e\u9053\u975e\u6d32\u6703\u589e\u52a0\u6578\u9031\u6642\u9593\u3001\u4f54\u7528\u8239\u96bb\u4e26\u64e0\u58d3\u6b50\u4e9e\u7684\u5132\u5b58\u7a7a\u9593\u3002\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5373\u4f7f\u982d\u689d\u50f9\u683c\u4e0b\u632b\uff0c\u6642\u5dee\u4ecd\u53ef\u80fd\u4fdd\u6301\u7dca\u7e2e\u3002\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u5df4\u9ece\u91cb\u51fa\u5e33\u9762\u4e0a\u7684\u6876\uff1b\u4f46\u5728\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u8981\u7149\u6210\u6c7d\u6cb9\uff0c\u4ecd\u9700\u5728\u88dd\u8ca8\u6d6e\u6a19\u6709\u8239\u3002<\/p>\n
\u77f3\u6cb9\u5c0d\u901a\u81a8\u7684\u885d\u64ca\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u6b64\u8f2a\u885d\u64ca\u6301\u7e8c\u591a\u4e45\u3002\u82e5\u662f\u77ed\u66ab\u98c6\u5347\u81f3 120 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4e26\u5728\u53ef\u4fe1\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u901a\u9053\u5efa\u7acb\u5f8c\u8fc5\u901f\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u9019\u53ea\u662f\u982d\u689d\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u82e5\u662f\u6301\u7e8c\u5728 90\u2013110 \u7f8e\u5143\u5340\u9593\u4e14\u67f4\u6cb9\u7dca\u7f3a\uff0c\u5247\u6210\u70ba\u4e00\u7a2e\u5168\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u7a05\u8ca0\u3002\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u4e0d\u9858\u8ffd\u9010\u80fd\u6e90\u9a45\u52d5\u7684 CPI \u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4f46\u6301\u4e45\u7684\u71c3\u6599\u885d\u64ca\u6703\u4f7f\u5176\u5bec\u9b06\u6642\u7a0b\u8907\u96dc\u5316\u3002Fed \u8207 ECB \u80fd\u5c0d\u4e00\u5169\u500b\u6708\u7684\u566a\u97f3\u8996\u82e5\u7121\u7779\uff1b\u4f46\u7121\u6cd5\u5ffd\u8996\u6703\u6ef2\u5165\u904b\u8cbb\u3001\u98df\u54c1\u8207\u6838\u5fc3\u670d\u52d9\u7684\u4e00\u5b63\u58d3\u529b\u3002\u76c8\u8667\u5e73\u8861\u901a\u81a8\u8207\u6c7d\u6cb9\u671f\u8ca8\u5c07\u6210\u70ba\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u65b0\u9ede\u9663\u5716\u3002\u5982\u679c\u653f\u7b56\u964d\u606f\u88ab\u8feb\u5ef6\u5f8c\u800c\u6210\u9577\u8d70\u8edf\uff0c\u4f30\u503c\u64f4\u5f35\u5c07\u9047\u5230\u963b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n
OPEC+ \u4e26\u672a\u8655\u65bc\u50b3\u7d71\u914d\u984d\u7ba1\u7406\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002\u90e8\u5206\u6210\u54e1\u6e1b\u7522\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u6cb9\u69fd\u5df2\u6eff\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u70ba\u4e86\u652f\u6490\u50f9\u683c\u3002\u8868\u9762\u4e0a\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u5099\u7528\u7522\u80fd\uff0c\u5728\u74f6\u9838\u9762\u524d\u5176\u76f8\u95dc\u6027\u964d\u4f4e\u3002\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u53ef\u4f9b\u6539\u9053\u7684\u9078\u9805\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u4e14\u98fd\u53d7\u5236\u88c1\u5305\u88b1\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u9801\u5ca9\u6bd4\u4ee5\u5f80\u9031\u671f\u66f4\u6709\u7d00\u5f8b\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u4ecd\u4ee5\u81ea\u7531\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u6578\u5b57\u58d3\u904e\u4e0d\u8a08\u4ee3\u50f9\u7684\u589e\u9577\u3002\u65b0\u947d\u6a5f\u7121\u6cd5\u4fee\u5fa9\u88ab\u5c01\u9396\u7684\u6d77\u5cfd\u3002\u9019\u8868\u793a\u7b2c\u4e00\u6ce2\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u4f9b\u61c9\u56de\u61c9\u5c07\u662f\u7269\u6d41\u6027\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5730\u8cea\u6027\u7684\uff1a\u78ba\u4fdd\u6d77\u4e0a\u822a\u7dda\u3001\u91d0\u6e05\u4fdd\u96aa\u689d\u6b3e\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728\u9700\u8981\u6642\u5354\u8abf\u91cb\u51fa\u7cbe\u7149\u7522\u54c1\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8377\u723e\u6728\u8332\u9806\u5229\u91cd\u958b\uff0cOPEC+ \u53ef\u4ee5\u638c\u63a7\u8457\u9678\u904e\u7a0b\u3002\u82e5\u4e0d\u80fd\uff0c\u5c31\u7b97\u662f\u4f9b\u61c9\u826f\u597d\u7684\u751f\u7522\u570b\u4e5f\u53ea\u80fd\u7576\u4e00\u5f35\u4ed6\u5011\u7121\u6cd5\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u822a\u904b\u5730\u5716\u7684\u65c1\u89c0\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n
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