Nasdaq 100 \u6b63\u5728\u63a8\u9032\u81ea 2021 \u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u9577\u7684\u9023\u52dd\u8d70\u52e2\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u6d77\u8ecd\u5c0d\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u6d77\u5cfd\u9032\u884c\u5c01\u9396\u3001\u9396\u5b9a\u8207\u4f0a\u6717\u6709\u95dc\u7684\u8239\u96bb\u4e4b\u969b\uff0c\u5e03\u502b\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u7a81\u7834\u6bcf\u6876 100 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u9019\u662f\u4e00\u5834\u6558\u4e8b\u7684\u78b0\u649e\uff1a\u4ee5\u79d1\u6280\u70ba\u9996\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u80c3\u7d0d\u5c0d\u4e0a\u5a01\u8105\u5927\u7d04\u4e94\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u5168\u7403\u77f3\u6cb9\u6d41\u901a\u7684\u4f9b\u7d66\u885d\u64ca\u3002\u80a1\u5e02\u5728\u5e0c\u671b\u83ef\u76db\u9813\u8207\u5fb7\u9ed1\u862d\u4ecd\u80fd\u627e\u5230\u812b\u56f0\u65b9\u6848\u7684\u9810\u671f\u4e0b\u5b88\u4f4f\u9663\u5730\uff0c\u4f46\u6cb9\u50f9\u98c6\u5347\u662f\u5c0d\u652f\u6490\u5927\u578b\u79d1\u6280\u8edf\u8457\u9678\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u65b0\u4e00\u8f2a\u8003\u9a57\u3002<\/p>\n
\u970d\u723e\u6728\u8332\u662f\u5c07\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u8f49\u5316\u70ba\u901a\u81a8\u7684\u74f6\u9838\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5df2\u5c07\u6b64\u98a8\u96aa\u8a08\u50f9\u9032\u53bb\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u8ecd\u8266\u9650\u5236\u4f0a\u6717\u8ca8\u7269\u901a\u884c\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u6cb9\u5e02\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u63d0\u524d\u627f\u64d4\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u63a8\u5347\u5e03\u502b\u7279\u7a81\u7834\u6bcf\u6876 100 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4e26\u64f4\u5927\u8fd1\u6708\u539f\u6cb9\u5408\u7d04\u4e2d\u860a\u542b\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u6ea2\u50f9\u3002\u5728\u9019\u500b\u50f9\u4f4d\uff0c\u885d\u64ca\u5c1a\u672a\u9054\u5230 2008 \u5e74\u7684\u6975\u7aef\uff0c\u4f46\u65b9\u5411\u6bd4\u7d55\u5c0d\u50f9\u683c\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\uff1a\u71c3\u6599\u9644\u52a0\u8cbb\u4e0a\u5347\u3001\u8239\u904b\u4fdd\u96aa\u6536\u7dca\u3001\u7149\u6cb9\u5229\u5dee\u64f4\u5927\u3002\u82e5\u4e2d\u65b7\u6301\u7e8c\u62c9\u9577\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u5e02\u5834\u5c07\u51fa\u73fe\u73fe\u8ca8\u5347\u6c34\uff08backwardation\uff09\uff0c\u62d6\u9ad8\u67f4\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\uff0c\u4e26\u6ce2\u53ca\u822a\u7a7a\u3001\u8ca8\u904b\u8207\u5168\u7403\u5546\u54c1\u901a\u81a8\u3002\u767d\u5bae\u53ef\u4ee5\u900f\u904e\u53e3\u982d\u5e72\u9810\u8207\u91cb\u653e\u5132\u5099\u4f86\u7de9\u885d\uff0c\u4f46\u6230\u7565\u77f3\u6cb9\u5132\u5099\u7121\u6cd5\u66ff\u4ee3\u6d77\u904b\u539f\u6cb9\u7d04 20% \u7684\u547d\u8108\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7136\u800c\u5927\u578b\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u7684\u8cb7\u76e4\u4ecd\u4e0d\u9858\u74e6\u89e3\u3002Nasdaq Composite \u5728\u4e09\u6708\u56de\u6a94\u5f8c\u5df2\u7a69\u5b9a\u65bc\u7d04 22,900 \u9ede\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u800c Nasdaq 100 \u4ecd\u6709\u671b\u9054\u6210\u81ea\u75ab\u60c5\u6642\u4ee3\u72c2\u6f6e\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u4f73\u7684\u4e00\u6bb5\u8d70\u52e2\u3002\u591a\u982d\u8ad6\u8ff0\u5f88\u719f\u6089\uff1aAAPL\u3001MSFT \u8207 NVDA \u7522\u751f\u73fe\u91d1\u3001\u7dad\u6301\u5805\u56fa\u7684\u5229\u6f64\u7387\uff0c\u4e14\u5728\u6210\u9577\u653e\u7de9\u4f46\u672a\u5d29\u89e3\u6642\uff0c\u8868\u73fe\u5f97\u50cf\u662f\u9577\u671f\u8cc7\u7522\u3002\u82e5\u518d\u52a0\u5165\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u8207\u4f0a\u6717\u53ef\u80fd\u91cd\u555f\u5e55\u5f8c\u5354\u5546\u7684\u6a02\u89c0\u60c5\u7dd2\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u6cb9\u50f9\u98c6\u5347\uff0c\u9577\u671f\u79d1\u6280\u4ecd\u6703\u88ab\u9022\u4f4e\u8cb7\u9032\u3002\u7a7a\u982d\u7684\u53cd\u99c1\u540c\u6a23\u660e\u78ba\uff1a\u4f30\u503c\u5df2\u628a\u9806\u5229\u57f7\u884c\u8207\u826f\u6027\u901a\u81a8\u7d0d\u5165\u5047\u8a2d\uff1b\u82e5\u6cb9\u50f9\u6301\u7e8c\u5728\u6bcf\u6876 100 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5169\u8005\u90fd\u6703\u53d7\u4fb5\u8755\u3002\u82e5\u6b64\u6ce2\u6f32\u52e2\u4f9d\u8cf4\u65bc\u8f03\u4f4e\u7684\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u8207\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u6b63\u91cd\u65b0\u5f15\u5165\u96d9\u5411\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/p>\n
\u80fd\u6e90\u662f\u5f9e\u982d\u689d\u5230\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08CPI\uff09\u6700\u5feb\u7684\u901a\u8def\u3002\u6301\u4e45\u7684\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\u6703\u62ac\u5347\u7e3d\u9ad4\u901a\u81a8\uff0c\u4e26\u53ef\u900f\u904e\u8ca8\u904b\u3001\u6a5f\u7968\u8207\u5546\u54c1\u6ef2\u5165\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u81a8\u3002\u82e5\u885d\u64ca\u77ed\u66ab\uff0cFed \u6703\u8996\u4e4b\u70ba\u566a\u97f3\u800c\u5ffd\u7565\uff0c\u4f46\u82e5\u5c01\u9396\u6301\u7e8c\u8d85\u904e\u6578\u9031\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u9072\u964d\u606f\u6642\u7a0b\u4e26\u4f7f\u9577\u7aef\u7f8e\u50b5\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u8d70\u5f37\u3002\u9019\u6703\u6536\u7dca\u5c0d\u9ad8\u4f30\u503c\u6210\u9577\u80a1\u8207\u4f9d\u8cf4\u4fe1\u8cb8\u7684\u5faa\u74b0\u6027\u7522\u696d\u6700\u70ba\u81f4\u547d\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u689d\u4ef6\u3002\u5c0d\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u5834\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u7d44\u5408\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\uff1a\u82e5\u901a\u81a8\u4e0a\u5347\u4f46\u540d\u76ee\u6210\u9577\u7121\u52a0\u5f37\uff0c\u4f30\u503c\u500d\u6578\u6703\u88ab\u58d3\u7e2e\uff1b\u82e5\u901a\u81a8\u4e0a\u5347\u540c\u6642\u4f34\u96a8\u6210\u9577\u9806\u98a8\uff0c\u5247\u6709\u5229\u65bc\u80fd\u6e90\u3001\u6750\u6599\u8207\u50f9\u503c\u80a1\u3002\u89c0\u5bdf\u901a\u81a8\u9810\u671f\uff08breakeven inflation\uff09\u8207 2s10s \u66f2\u7dda\u6703\u63d0\u4f9b\u7dda\u7d22\u3002\u82e5\u901a\u81a8\u9810\u671f\u7de9\u6b65\u4e0a\u63da\u800c\u5be6\u8cea\u5229\u7387\u62d2\u7d55\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u75db\u82e6\u6703\u5411\u9ad8\u54c1\u8cea\u80a1\u7968\u64f4\u6563\u3002<\/p>\n
\u80fd\u6e90\u662f\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u8d0f\u5bb6\u3002\u50cf XOM \u8207 CVX \u7b49\u4e00\u9ad4\u5316\u5927\u578b\u77f3\u6cb9\u516c\u53f8\u5728\u4e0a\u6e38\u5be6\u73fe\u66f4\u9ad8\u50f9\u683c\u6642\u7372\u5229\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u4e0b\u6e38\u5e03\u5c40\u82e5\u6210\u54c1\u88c2\u53e3\u64f4\u5927\uff0c\u4ea6\u80fd\u4fdd\u8b77\u7149\u6cb9\u5229\u5dee\u3002\u82e5\u751f\u7522\u5546\u52a0\u5927\u8cc7\u672c\u652f\u51fa\u4ee5\u589e\u52a0\u4f9b\u7d66\uff0c\u6cb9\u7530\u670d\u52d9\u516c\u53f8\uff08\u5f9e SLB \u5230 HAL\uff09\u4e5f\u5c07\u53d7\u60e0\u3002\u8f38\u5bb6\u591a\u70ba\u5c0d\u6cb9\u50f9\u9ad8\u5ea6\u654f\u611f\u7684\u884c\u696d\uff1a\u822a\u7a7a\u516c\u53f8\u3001\u5305\u88f9\u904b\u8f38\u696d\u8005\u8207\u90e8\u5206\u96f6\u552e\u5546\u3002\u534a\u5c0e\u9ad4\u8d77\u521d\u770b\u4f3c\u514d\u75ab\uff0c\u53d7 AI \u9700\u6c42\u8207\u7dca\u4fcf\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u652f\u6490\uff0c\u4f46\u82e5\u5229\u7387\u56de\u5347\u4e14\u6210\u9577\u52d5\u80fd\u52d5\u6416\uff0c\u8a72\u7522\u696d\u7684\u5468\u671f\u6027\u6838\u5fc3\u4fbf\u6703\u986f\u73fe\u3002\u9280\u884c\u5247\u9762\u81e8\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u66f2\u7dda\u8da8\u5e73\u8207\u8cb8\u6b3e\u9700\u6c42\u653e\u7de9\u7684\u58d3\u529b\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u6de8\u5229\u5dee\u6703\u6536\u5230\u6df7\u5408\u8a0a\u865f\u3002\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u8cc7\u91d1\u8f2a\u52d5\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u76e4\u4e2d\u6975\u70ba\u5287\u70c8\uff1a\u8cb7\u5165\u80fd\u6e90\u3001\u8ce3\u51fa\u5229\u7387\u654f\u611f\u65cf\u7fa4\u3001\u6de1\u5316\u90a3\u4e9b\u5728\u5bec\u9b06\u964d\u606f\u9810\u671f\u4e0b\u63a8\u9ad8\u7684\u8cc7\u672c\u8584\u5f31 beta\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6bcf\u6b21\u6cb9\u50f9\u885d\u64ca\u90fd\u6703\u63d0\u51fa\u540c\u4e00\u500b\u554f\u984c\uff1a\u6602\u8cb4\u7684\u6c7d\u6cb9\u6703\u5426\u4fc3\u4f7f\u8cb7\u5bb6\u8f49\u5411\u96fb\u52d5\u8eca\uff1f\u5c0d TSLA \u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u6cb9\u50f9\u53ef\u6210\u70ba\u92b7\u552e\u6f0f\u6597\u9802\u7aef\u7684\u9806\u98a8\u3002\u4f46\u5229\u6f64\u4ecd\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u5b9a\u50f9\u3001\u6fc0\u52f5\u7bc0\u594f\u8207\u8edf\u9ad4\u9644\u4ef6\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u50c5\u9760\u539f\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\u3002\u5982\u679c\u56e0\u70ba\u9811\u56fa\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u800c\u5229\u7387\u9010\u6b65\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u9577\u671f\u6210\u9577\u7684\u73fe\u503c\u6703\u88ab\u58d3\u7e2e\uff0c\u9019\u6703\u6253\u64ca\u6240\u6709\u8ffd\u6c42\u81ea\u52d5\u99d5\u99db\u8207\u898f\u6a21\u7684\u8eca\u5ee0\u3002TSLA \u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u50f9\u683c\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u7a46\u65af\u514b\u80fd\u5426\u638c\u63e1\u6558\u4e8b\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u6709\u95dc\u52a0\u901f\u81ea\u52d5\u99d5\u99db\u63a8\u51fa\u6216\u5229\u6f64\u7a69\u5b9a\u7684\u8de1\u8c61\uff0c\u90fd\u6703\u5728\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\u7372\u5f97\u56de\u61c9\u3002\u4f46\u98a8\u96aa\u5728\u65bc\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u628a TSLA \u7576\u4f5c\u7c97\u7cd9\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5c0d\u6c96\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u5ffd\u8996\u57f7\u884c\u9762\u7684\u504f\u96e2\u3002\u6cb9\u50f9\u53ef\u4ee5\u98c6\u5347\uff0c\u800c\u82e5\u7af6\u722d\u8207\u878d\u8cc7\u6210\u672c\u540c\u6642\u6536\u7dca\uff0cTSLA \u4ecd\u53ef\u80fd\u6399\u624e\u3002<\/p>\n
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\u9019\u4e0d\u662f\u505a\u5168\u6709\u6216\u5168\u7121\u62bc\u6ce8\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u3002\u4ee5\u6eab\u548c\u914d\u7f6e XOM \u6216 CVX \u4f86\u5c0d\u6c96\u80fd\u6e90\u654f\u611f\u5ea6\uff0c\u6216\u4ee5\u5e03\u502b\u7279\u6642\u9593\u50f9\u5dee\u66dd\u96aa\u505a\u9632\u8b77\uff0c\u6bd4\u5168\u9762\u7ffb\u8f49\u56e0\u5b50\u66f4\u5408\u7406\u3002\u5728\u80a1\u7968\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u61c9\u5c0d\u7d44\u5408\u9032\u884c\u58d3\u529b\u6e2c\u8a66\uff1a\u82e5\u964d\u606f\u5ef6\u5f8c\u4e00\u5b63\u6216\u5169\u5b63\uff0c\u54ea\u4e9b\u90e8\u4f4d\u6703\u53d7\u50b7\uff1f\u5728\u76e3\u63a7\u7aef\uff0c\u5100\u8868\u677f\u5f88\u7c21\u55ae\uff1a\u4ee5\u5e03\u502b\u7279\u8fd1\u6708\u50f9\u5dee\u8861\u91cf\u58d3\u529b\u3001\u4ee5\u8239\u904b\u65e5\u79df\u7387\u8207\u4fdd\u96aa\u6ea2\u50f9\u76e3\u6e2c\u74f6\u9838\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u4ee5\u7f8e\u570b\u6c7d\u6cb9\u671f\u8ca8\u89c0\u5bdf\u5c0d Main Street \u7684\u50b3\u5c0e\u3002\u4e5f\u8981\u6ce8\u610f\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5411\uff1b\u8f03\u5f37\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u6703\u7a00\u91cb\u5546\u54c1\u901a\u81a8\uff0c\u4f46\u6703\u5728\u5168\u7403\u7bc4\u570d\u5167\u6536\u7dca\u91d1\u878d\u689d\u4ef6\u3002\u4efb\u4f55\u53ef\u4fe1\u7684\u7de9\u548c\u8de1\u8c61\u90fd\u6703\u8fc5\u901f\u62b9\u53bb\u6ea2\u50f9\uff1b\u8981\u6e96\u5099\u597d\u89e3\u9664\u907f\u96aa\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u8ffd\u50f9\u3002<\/p>\n
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