Global oil producers have set ‘floor’ of $60 a barrel, IEA says

Global oil producers have set ‘floor’ of $60 a barrel, IEA says-国际能源署:油价近期看似已寻得底部
Published on: Dec 14, 2018
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Co-ordinated action among global producers to enact supply cuts has helped to put a “floor” under crude prices around $60 a barrel, the International Energy Agency said on Thursday.

“The agreement aims to achieve relative stability and to bring the market towards balance. So far, the Brent crude oil price seems to have found a floor,” said the IEA in its monthly oil market report.

Saudi Arabia-led Opec and its allies including Russia agreed last week in Vienna to trim supplies by 1.2m barrels a day to bring supply and demand into balance and keep oil prices in check.

In October, Brent hit $86 a barrel on concerns the market could face a squeeze as US sanctions against Iran took effect. But prices only fell below $60 as producers overcompensated for the supply loss.

For the kingdom and Russia, “prices falling further would place their budgets under great stress,” said the IEA.

“Such volatility is not in the interests of producers or consumers,” the Paris-based body said.

The report’s highlights:

  • The IEA maintained its oil demand growth estimates for 2019, saying it will increase by 1.4m barrels a day to 100.6m b/d, as lower prices are offset by weaker economic growth assumptions and currency pressure.
  • Global oil supply fell 360,000 b/d in November from the prior month to 101.1m b/d due to lower output in the North Sea, Canada and Russia.
  • Joint efforts to cut production from January reduce growth in non-Opec production — including Russia — in 2019 by 415,000 b/d, to 1.5m b/d, compared with 2.4m b/d in 2018.
  • Opec output rose to 33m b/d in November with Saudi Arabia and the UAE reaching record highs and more than offsetting losses from Iran.

Source: Financial Times

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