Southern Copper Jumps 3.65% on Copper Rebound

Southern Copper Jumps 3.65% on Copper Rebound
Published on: Oct 27, 2026

Copper prices climbed on Tuesday, fueled by renewed optimism over AI infrastructure demand and strong import buying in top consumer China, sending shares of Southern Copper Corp (SCCO) 3.65% higher as the miner outperformed the broader resources sector.

Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange traded 1.1% higher at $14,487.50 a metric ton as of 1700 GMT. It touched an intraday peak of $14,490.50, marking the strongest level since October 16.

A rebound in AI-related market sentiment has reinforced expectations of sustained copper demand growth from high-tech infrastructure and data center expansion, while global supply remains constrained — especially in China. The closely tracked Yangshan copper premium, a key barometer of China’s import appetite, surged to $188 a ton on Tuesday to hit a near 13-year high, underscoring fierce competition for available physical copper. The tight supply-demand dynamic will continue to put a floor under prices, though elevated price levels may encounter resistance from cost-sensitive buyers.

Inventory trends show stark regional divergence. LME copper stocks rose last week but are heavily concentrated in North America, deepening concerns over localized supply bottlenecks. Copper inventories on the Shanghai Futures Exchange slid more than 25%. The LME cash copper contract’s premium over the three-month forward reached $206 a ton at its intraday high — the widest since August 27 — before last trading at $199.50, a clear sign of near-term supply tightness. Sucden Financial said in a note that U.S. inventory accumulation continues to cap headline prices, while tight supply outside the U.S. and constrained concentrate output provide underlying support.

Broader LME base metals closed higher across the board amid improving macroeconomic sentiment. Gains were tempered, however, by a firmer U.S. dollar ahead of a slate of central bank meetings, as dollar-denominated metals become more expensive for holders of other currencies. Aluminium advanced 1.5% to $3,085 a ton to hit a more than two-week high, with zinc, nickel, lead and tin also notching gains.

For Southern Copper, the 3.65% daily advance outpaced the 2.03% rise in the overall Mineral Resources sector. While the copper price rally served as the core driver, the stock also drew support from solid fundamentals and capital return appeal.

The rebound in global copper futures has lifted sentiment across major copper equities. Expectations for robust long-term demand from AI data center buildouts, paired with tight global exchange inventories and ongoing mining supply disruptions in South America, have kept metal prices elevated and supported upstream producers.

The company’s third-quarter financial results beat Wall Street consensus, with record quarterly net sales and net income driven by strong realized commodity prices and disciplined cost controls. By-product credits helped push operating cash costs per pound lower. Management also raised its full-year copper production guidance and delivered positive operational updates on long-term expansion projects, reinforcing confidence in long-term output stability.

Attractive capital return metrics further fueled buying interest. After a short stretch of profit-taking following the earnings release, buyers stepped back in to absorb liquidity, drawn by the company’s strong free cash flow generation and healthy balance sheet. Its substantial quarterly dividend and upward earnings estimate revisions created an appealing income buffer, supporting fresh capital inflows.

Technical signals lean cautious. The stock’s MACD reading stands at -3.782, flashing a sell signal, while its relative strength index sits at 44.852 in neutral range and its Williams %R reading of 59.066 points to selling pressure, warranting close monitoring. Over the past month, analysts have largely maintained Hold ratings on the company, with an average price target of $176.48, a high estimate of $275 and a low of $138.05.

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