Meta Poised for Landmark Stock Split as AI Fuels Advertising Resurgence

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Published on: Oct 26, 2025

Meta Platforms (META.US) is anticipated to announce its first-ever stock split on October 29, coinciding with its third-quarter earnings release. If confirmed, this move would rank among the largest stock splits in Wall Street history, given the company’s current market capitalization of approximately $2 trillion.

Trading at $738.36 per share at the latest close, Meta’s high share price presents a significant barrier for many retail investors. A stock split, while a purely technical adjustment that does not alter the company’s fundamental value, would make shares more accessible to individual investors, particularly in markets where fractional share trading is not yet widespread. Historical trends suggest that companies often experience short-term stock price gains following such announcements. In scale, a potential Meta split would be second only to Nvidia’s stock split earlier this year, which occurred when the chipmaker’s market value was around $3 trillion.

Beyond the split speculation, investor focus remains firmly on the underlying strength of Meta’s core business, driven by strategic advancements in artificial intelligence.

AI-Powered Advertising Engine Drives Growth

Meta’s advertising business is demonstrating robust momentum, underpinned by three key factors:

  1. Accelerating Ad Revenue: The company reported a 22% year-over-year increase in ad revenue for the second quarter. Third-quarter revenue is expected to grow at a similar pace, around 20%, as AI-driven targeting enhances ad efficiency and draws more marketing budgets.
  2. Deep AI Integration: AI is being leveraged to improve ad conversion rates and is being integrated directly into content feeds across Instagram and Facebook. Furthermore, AI agent tools are boosting internal operational efficiency. This has contributed to a projected rise in operating margin, from 25% in 2022 to an expected 42% in the first half of 2025.
  3. Resilient Core Business: Despite potential risks associated with an AI investment bubble, Meta’s foundational business remains solid, with over 98% of revenue derived from advertising. This provides a stable financial base, allowing the company to scale back infrastructure spending if AI returns fall short of expectations, thereby protecting profitability.

Valuation and Long-Term Prospects

Meta currently trades at a forward P/E ratio of about 26 times, a premium to the S&P 500’s 22 times, but analysts consider this justified by its superior growth trajectory. Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to surge 60% in 2024. From 2024 to 2027, revenue and EPS are forecast to grow at compound annual growth rates (CAGR) of 17% and 13%, respectively.

User growth continues to be healthy. After an 8% increase in 2023, the daily active people metric for Meta’s Family of Apps rose another 5% in 2024, with a further 6% gain in the first half of 2025. Commercialization efforts for newer platforms like WhatsApp and Threads are also advancing.

Since its IPO in 2012, Meta has delivered stellar long-term returns, with a $1,000 investment at its debut now worth approximately $19,200. Although the stock is trading near all-time highs, analysts maintain that its advertising technology moat, ongoing investments in AI infrastructure, and the long-term potential of its Reality Labs ecosystem continue to support a compelling growth narrative for the social media titan.

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