Amid TSX’s 24% Surge, These 3 Undervalued Stocks Present a Compelling Opportunity

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Published on: Dec 3, 2025

Despite lingering tariff uncertainties in the global trade environment, the Canadian equity market continues its upward trajectory. Year-to-date, the S&P/TSX Composite Index has rallied approximately 24.7%, bolstered by interest rate cuts and resilient consumer spending. While the broader market shines, several high-quality stocks have experienced significant pullbacks due to near-term headwinds or sector-specific concerns, pushing their valuations into attractive territory and offering a potential entry window for long-term investors.

Against this backdrop, three TSX-listed companies—MDA Space, Cargojet, and goeasy—stand out as notably undervalued, combining solid fundamentals with long-term growth potential.

1. MDA Space: A “Misunderstood” Opportunity Post-Contract Cancellation

MDA Space (TSX:MDA) has seen its shares plummet nearly 48% over the past three months, triggered by EchoStar’s cancellation of a major satellite contract. While this event undoubtedly impacts near-term performance and sentiment, the company’s core business and industry trends remain robust, suggesting the sell-off may be an overreaction.

As a key player in digital satellites, space robotics, and geointelligence, MDA Space is well-positioned to benefit from structural growth trends. Global demand for secure communications, military readiness, and real-time Earth observation is rising. With NATO and allied nations increasing defense budgets, space infrastructure has become a strategic priority, opening up substantial long-term opportunities for the company.

Operationally, demand for next-generation satellite constellations is growing, fueling orders for its satellite and robotics units from both commercial and government clients. Its Earth-observation services also enjoy steady growth driven by climate and security applications. Supported by a healthy balance sheet and a solid order backlog, MDA Space has clear visibility for future revenue and profit recovery.

With the contract cancellation likely priced in, the stock’s valuation has become compelling. Any new contract wins or continued increases in defense and space infrastructure spending could catalyze a significant rebound.

2. Cargojet: Strong Moat Obscured by Cyclical Weakness

Cargojet (TSX:CJT) shares are down about 25% year-to-date, pressured by softer global trade and weaker international demand affecting its ACMI and Charter segments. However, its structural advantages and long-term thesis remain intact, cementing its role as essential infrastructure in Canadian time-sensitive air cargo.

Cargojet dominates this niche with an extensive network and operational efficiency. Long-term agreements with anchor clients like Amazon and DHL lock in stable capacity demand and revenue, building resilience across economic cycles. Despite recent industry pressures, the company maintains strong EBITDA margins, demonstrating excellent cost control and operational effectiveness.

Looking ahead, growth drivers include both cyclical recovery and structural trends. A potential improvement in global trade would boost cargo volumes, benefiting rates and utilization. Simultaneously, the ongoing rise in e-commerce penetration reinforces the long-term demand for expedited air freight. Seasonal strength in the fourth quarter also provides a periodic earnings tailwind.

Given that its core operations and customer relationships remain sound, the current share price weakness appears to reflect cyclical concerns rather than a broken thesis. For investors bullish on the long-term trends of e-commerce and trade recovery, this pullback offers an attractive risk-reward proposition.

3. goeasy: Short-Term Pressures vs. Long-Term Value and Yield

goeasy (TSX:GSY) shares have declined roughly 39% over the last three months. The initial trigger was a short-seller report alleging accounting irregularities to inflate earnings and hide credit losses. Although management denied the allegations and reaffirmed its financial outlook, investor sentiment was severely impacted.

The company faces a confluence of near-term challenges: concerns over asset quality and transparency, pressure on margins from higher credit-loss provisions and rising financing costs, and recent uncertainty from the CEO’s departure due to health reasons.

Nevertheless, its underlying business remains attractive. goeasy operates in a large, underserved subprime lending market with relatively inelastic demand. It maintains scale and efficiency through diversified funding and an efficient omnichannel model. Management is tightening underwriting standards and shifting focus toward secured lending—a structural move that could mitigate future risk and stabilize profitability.

From a valuation perspective, the sharp correction has pushed the stock into deeply discounted territory. Coupled with a compelling dividend yield of approximately 4.5%—rare among growth-oriented stocks—it offers both value appeal and income support for long-term investors.

Conclusion: Seeking Value Against the Trend

While the Canadian market rallies on monetary policy and consumer strength, selective opportunities lie in quality companies facing transient pressures but with intact long-term prospects. MDA Space, Cargojet, and goeasy share common characteristics:

  1. Significant share price declines due to near-term headwinds, leading to historically low valuations.
  2. Exposure to long-term growth drivers like space/defense infrastructure, e-commerce logistics, and subprime credit demand.
  3. Strong competitive positions, stable customer bases, and ongoing efforts to improve profitability through efficiency, risk management, or innovation.

For long-term investors, such fundamentally sound yet sentimentally battered stocks can offer superior potential for outperformance as markets climb. As always, investment decisions should align with individual risk tolerance and be part of a diversified portfolio strategy.

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