Apple Dethrones Nvidia Ahead of Earnings as AI Spending Doubts Grow

Apple Dethrones Nvidia Ahead of Earnings as AI Spending Doubts Grow
Published on: Jul 27, 2026

Apple Inc. (AAPL) has recaptured the crown as the world’s largest company by market capitalization on the eve of its earnings report, a feat driven not by aggressive artificial-intelligence bets but by its conspicuous restraint.

Shares of the iPhone maker rose 1% on Monday to close at an all-time high of $336.91, giving Apple a market value of $4.93 trillion. Nvidia, which had held the top spot for more than a year after overtaking Apple in May 2025, slid 5% to $4.78 trillion, surrendering the lead as skepticism over capital-intensive AI buildouts deepens.

The reshuffling highlights a market increasingly wary of massive AI spending without clear returns. Nvidia’s valuation has steadily compressed in recent months, with its forward price-to-earnings ratio declining to 18.2 times from 25.5 times at the start of the year. Investor focus on return on investment has sharpened after Alphabet raised its 2026 capital expenditure forecast last week, fueling expectations that other hyperscalers will follow suit. Adding to the unease, a Wall Street Journal report that Nvidia is in talks to provide a $250 billion financial backstop for OpenAI was flagged by some analysts as a striking case of circular financing.

Semiconductor stocks broadly stumbled Monday following the public listing of Chinese memory company ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). The debut stoked concern that a more competitive Chinese supplier could erode the pricing power of Micron, Samsung and SK Hynix. Reports that Apple itself is seeking to buy DRAM from CXMT to ease global memory bottlenecks added another layer to the sector’s selloff.

While its tech-giant peers remain locked in an AI arms race, Apple has largely sat on the sidelines. Once criticized for lacking an AI strategy, that detachment has turned into a powerful advantage. In July, Apple’s stock has outperformed the Nasdaq-100 Index by 23 percentage points, putting it on course for its widest monthly margin since 2005. The shares have surged 16% this month and 24% year-to-date. Nvidia, by contrast, has gained just 5% in 2026. Every other member of the “Magnificent Seven” sits at least 15% below its record high; Apple alone is registering new peaks.

Consumer resilience provides another pillar. Despite being forced to raise prices on some products due to soaring memory costs, iPhone demand remains robust. Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon noted that Apple’s global smartphone market share has climbed to 20% from 17% a year earlier. Global wearables demand was also strong in the first quarter, with shipments rising 4.3% year-over-year. In March, Apple bolstered its lineup with the $549 AirPods Max 2, reinforcing its dominance in consumer hardware.

Apple is scheduled to report fiscal third-quarter results on July 30. Consensus estimates call for earnings of $1.88 per share on revenue of $108.8 billion. Chief Executive Officer Tim Cook signaled last month that more price hikes are coming to offset semiconductor costs. If the earnings report shows consumers are still willing to pay up, the stock could find another catalyst. In a market increasingly questioning the payoff from artificial intelligence, Apple’s sprawling consumer ecosystem is being treated as the most defensive bet among technology mega-caps.

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