Canada’s Total Crude Oil Export Value Reaches CAD 140 Billion, Two TSX Energy Stocks Show Strong Performance

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Published on: Jul 8, 2026
Author: Amy Liu

Canadian investors should not overlook the energy sector in 2026, and this recommendation is backed by a tangible CAD 140 billion reality. According to data from the Canada Energy Regulator, Canada’s total crude oil export value reached this level in 2025. That year, Canada exported an average of 4.3 million barrels of crude oil per day, with 90.1 percent flowing to the U.S. market.

This growth trajectory has not slowed. The Canada Energy Regulator stated that Canada’s average daily production of crude oil and equivalent products reached a record 5.35 million barrels in 2025, up from 5.14 million barrels in 2024. In December 2025, monthly production reached 5.64 million barrels per day.

Against this backdrop, Canadian Natural Resources (TSX:CNQ) and Enbridge (TSX:ENB) offer investors robust avenues to capitalize on the current opportunity.

CNQ possesses a vast asset base encompassing oil sands mining, thermal in-situ production, conventional oil and gas, and offshore assets. In the first quarter of 2026, CNQ achieved average daily production of approximately 1.6 million barrels of oil equivalent, a 4 percent increase year-over-year. During the same period, the company generated adjusted funds flow of CAD 4.4 billion. This demonstrates that CNQ not only holds reserves but also effectively converts production into cash. In that quarter, CNQ returned approximately CAD 1.5 billion directly to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. Its annual dividend increased to CAD 2.50 per share in 2026, marking the company’s 26th consecutive year of dividend increases, with a dividend yield of approximately 4.4 percent based on the share price at the time of writing and a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.7 times.

On the risk side, the primary concern lies in oil price volatility. When commodity prices are strong, CNQ can generate substantial cash flow, but weaker oil prices may pressure earnings, share buybacks, and investor confidence. Additionally, regulatory uncertainty surrounding large-scale oil sands growth projects warrants attention. However, for investors seeking direct exposure to Canada’s production advantage, CNQ represents one of the clearest choices on the TSX today.

Enbridge, by contrast, is not a major producer but rather an energy infrastructure giant. The company is responsible for the transportation of oil and natural gas, operates natural gas utilities, owns storage assets, and invests in renewable energy. This makes its investment case more dependent on cash flows from energy delivery and transportation rather than forecasting next month’s oil price. Canada can produce more oil, but production only matters if energy can reach refineries, export terminals, utilities, and end users. Enbridge stock sits at the core of this system.

Enbridge reaffirmed its 2026 financial guidance, projecting adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) between CAD 20.2 billion and CAD 20.8 billion, and distributable cash flow per share between CAD 5.70 and CAD 6.10. Its dividend track record is equally noteworthy. Enbridge raised its quarterly dividend by 3 percent to CAD 0.97 per share in 2026, representing an annual dividend of CAD 3.88. This marks the company’s 31st consecutive year of annual dividend increases, with a dividend yield of approximately 5.1 percent based on the current share price and a price-to-earnings ratio of roughly 26 times. More importantly, Enbridge’s business is deeply tied to energy demand across North America, rather than relying solely on any single oil price cycle, which makes it a more stable path for investing in Canada’s energy advantage.

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