Trump Slaps 50% Tariffs on Canadian Dairy and Alcohol — 3 TSX Stocks That Offer Shelter

Trump Slaps 50% Tariffs on Canadian Dairy and Alcohol — 3 TSX Stocks That Offer Shelter
Published on: Jul 22, 2026

The Canada-U.S. trade conflict entered a dangerous new phase this week as President Donald Trump signed three proclamations imposing 50% tariffs on a fresh list of Canadian goods. Milk, cream, other dairy products, beer, wine, cider, whisky and assorted spirits are all in the crosshairs. The duties are scheduled to take effect on August 19, following a 30-day implementation window during which trade talks will continue. Notably, some goods that previously enjoyed duty-free treatment under the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement could now be caught in the crossfire, though energy, potash, critical minerals and fish were explicitly excluded from the latest measures.

Against this increasingly hostile backdrop, investors are turning their attention to Canadian companies with deep domestic roots and resilient operating momentum — businesses that can largely sidestep the turmoil. Three names stand out.

Loblaw: the essential-spending anchor

Loblaw Companies (TSX:L) is a consumer staple giant whose grocery, pharmacy, healthcare and financial-product operations have minimal exposure to cross-border goods trade. The stock recently traded at C$64.98, giving it a market capitalization of about C$75.2 billion. It has gained 19% over the past year and more than doubled in three years, while offering an annualized dividend yield of roughly 0.9%.

First-quarter 2026 results underlined that domestic strength. Revenue rose 4.2% year-over-year to C$14.5 billion, with food retail same-store sales up 2.4%, drug retail up 4.1% and the pharmacy and healthcare services segment delivering a standout 6.7% increase. E-commerce sales jumped 20.3%, powered by PC Express delivery and third-party options. Operating leverage and lower expenses as a percentage of sales helped lift adjusted EBITDA by 6.5% to C$1.6 billion. Loblaw continued to expand, opening five hard discount stores and eight drug stores during the quarter. It plans about C$2.4 billion in gross capital spending for 2026 and is returning cash through share buybacks and dividends. For investors seeking a business built on everyday necessities, Loblaw’s model looks well-equipped to weather trade-induced uncertainty.

Franco-Nevada: record earnings without the operational burden

Toronto-based Franco-Nevada (TSX:FNV) is not a traditional miner. It holds a diversified portfolio of royalties and streams — primarily in gold — which means it collects revenue tied to production from assets run by other companies and largely avoids direct exposure to mine-level cost inflation. The stock has surged 37% over the past year to C$292.74, representing a market cap of about C$57 billion and a 0.9% dividend yield. A 14% pullback over the past three months has created a more attractive entry point for patient investors.

The company delivered a record-breaking first quarter. Revenue soared 77% year-over-year to US$651 million, driven by all-time high gold and silver prices, robust output from assets such as Antamina and South Arturo, and contributions from recently acquired or newly producing streams including Côté Gold, Porcupine and Valentine. Gold-equivalent ounces sold rose 8% to 136,353 ounces. Operating cash flow climbed 80% to US$520 million, a figure that included a C$49.5 million tax refund from the Canada Revenue Agency. Adjusted EBITDA hit a record US$592 million, up 84%, and adjusted net profit more than doubled to US$458.3 million. With US$3.4 billion in available capital at quarter-end, Franco-Nevada has ample flexibility to keep expanding its portfolio. A short-term risk looms in Burkina Faso, where the company is challenging a court decision involving its Karma Mine stream, but its highly diversified asset base and fortress balance sheet reinforce its appeal as a haven in a tense trade environment.

Hydro One: regulated power, insulated earnings

Hydro One (TSX:H) owns and operates Ontario’s electricity transmission and distribution network, serving roughly 1.5 million customers. Its revenue is derived from regulated, essential provincial infrastructure, making the business virtually immune to export tariffs or trade-sensitive goods. The stock has climbed 22% over the past year to C$59.08, giving it a market cap of C$35.5 billion and a healthy 2.4% annualized dividend yield.

First-quarter revenue grew 10% year-over-year to approximately C$2.6 billion, while net profit attributable to common shareholders rose 9.2% to C$391 million, lifting earnings per share to C$0.65 from C$0.60 a year earlier. The advance was fuelled by Ontario Energy Board-approved rate increases and higher peak electricity demand. Lower operating, maintenance and administration costs provided additional support, although higher financing and depreciation expenses partially offset the gains. Hydro One invested C$715 million during the quarter and placed C$484 million of new assets into service. It was also selected to develop major transmission projects in Greenstone, Red Lake and along the Sudbury-to-Barrie corridor — developments that should underpin long-term earnings growth as Ontario’s electricity needs expand. With virtually zero direct trade exposure, Hydro One offers a defensive stream of regulated income that can hold its own no matter how trade disputes evolve.

As the tariff clouds darken, these three Canadian names — one driven by essential spending, one by precious-metal royalties and one by regulated electricity — are drawing attention not for tariff immunity, but for business models that can remain resilient even when trade relations fracture.

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