Is the Gold Correction Over? Two Asset Management Giants Weigh In

Is the Gold Correction Over? Two Asset Management Giants Weigh In
Published on: Aug 10, 2026

Spot gold traded near $4,358.71 an ounce in late U.S. trading Monday, up 0.4%, while front-month silver futures settled at $65.106 an ounce, a gain of 2.80% on the session. Markets weighed last week’s soft labor data against a rebound in oil prices, firmer Treasury yields and a recovery in Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations. The Strait of Hormuz remained the dominant geopolitical channel feeding inflation anxiety, with Iran’s latest stance eroding optimism for a quick resumption of normal tanker flows.

It was against this backdrop that two heavyweight institutions made fresh assessments of the precious metals outlook, intensifying the debate over whether the correction has run its course.

Sprott: A Cyclical Correction, Not a Trend Reversal

Maria Smirnova, Chief Investment Officer at Sprott Asset Management, asserted in her latest report that the multi-month pullback in gold represents a cyclical correction rather than a trend reversal. Soaring debt, persistent fiscal deficits, central bank buying and geopolitical fragmentation continue to reinforce gold’s strategic role, while silver remains underpinned by constrained mine supply and expanding industrial demand.

Gold rallied more than 64.58% in 2025 and silver surged 147.95%. After both metals extended gains to new all-time highs in January 2026, they experienced a meaningful correction. By the end of the second quarter, gold had stabilized between $4,000 and $4,100 an ounce, with silver finding support in the $55–$60 range. Smirnova stressed that the selloff reflected cyclical forces, not deteriorating fundamentals. Official-sector purchases throughout the decline established a durable floor beneath the market, confirming that long-term structural demand never faded. In silver, solar energy, AI infrastructure and grid investment have fueled consecutive years of structural market deficits, steadily drawing down above-ground inventories. The recent bounce, she noted, signals that investors are once again pricing in these supply-demand dynamics. In her view, the volatility has tested conviction and improved the long-term risk-reward profile for both metals.

Citadel Securities: Five Catalysts Align for the Most Compelling Setup in Months

Scott Rubner, Head of Equity and Equity Derivatives Strategy at Citadel Securities, described the current environment as “one of the more compelling upside setups we have seen in precious metals in months” and, for the first time in 2026, called for structural exposure to gold while flagging enormous potential in silver on the retail side.

Rubner identified five positive catalysts now converging: the Fed’s rate path is being repriced in a more dovish direction; central bank purchases are accelerating; CTAs are net short both gold and silver; put/call skew in GLD and SLV options has inverted to its deepest level since February, a combination that historically signals building bullish conviction; and retail participation, long absent amid the dominance of the AI trade, has ample capacity to re-enter. The net-short positioning, he argued, is not a headwind but rather fuel for a short-covering rally should prices break out. China’s monthly gold purchases have been accelerating since at least December 2024, amplifying the broader strengthening in global official-sector demand. The simultaneous alignment of these five catalysts, according to Rubner, points to a new leg higher for the precious metals complex.

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