Gold Races to $4,427, Silver Soars 2.5% as US CPI Keeps Fed on Edge

Gold Races to $4,427, Silver Soars 2.5% as US CPI Keeps Fed on Edge
Published on: Aug 12, 2026

Spot gold and silver surged in early U.S. trading Wednesday after July’s consumer price index matched expectations across the board, easing immediate concerns over a September rate hike but leaving the policy outlook far from resolved. Spot gold traded at $4,427.72 an ounce, up 1.36% on the session, while silver jumped 2.51% to $66.20. Both metals extended to fresh session highs following the inflation report.

Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed headline CPI rose 0.1% month-on-month in July, reversing June’s 0.4% decline. The annual rate eased to 3.4% from 3.5%. Core CPI, which strips out food and energy, gained 0.2% for the month and 2.5% from a year earlier, fully in line with consensus forecasts. The modest cooling offered precious metals a rate-relief bid, though it did not extinguish the Federal Reserve risk.

The 10-year Treasury yield fell back to around 4.7%, off recent highs, while the U.S. dollar softened, lending additional support to gold and silver. Still, the market-implied probability of a 25-basis-point September rate hike remained near 48%, indicating the rate path has not decisively shifted.

Energy kept the inflation debate alive. The Strait of Hormuz remained effectively shut, with Brent crude holding near $89 a barrel and U.S. crude around $84. Elevated fuel costs capped how far markets could price out further tightening, while the geopolitical strain simultaneously reinforced gold’s defensive demand.

Shipping stress extended well beyond Hormuz. Attacks around the Bab el-Mandeb Strait kept alternative routes under pressure, and energy agencies have warned that inventory buffers are shrinking. Against this backdrop, crude, yields and gold are trading the same policy question: whether oil-driven inflation is strong enough to offset the weaker labor-market signal from last week’s payrolls report. That calculus will determine the path of rate expectations and dictate the near-term rhythm of precious metals.

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